Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $47.7200 (-3.05%) ($47.2200 - $48.7900) on Wed. Jun. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $47.7200(-3.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(30%)    OIH(26%)    XLE(24%)    IYT(23%)    IVE(22%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    BNDX(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $48.34
5 Day Moving Average   $48.14(-0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.69(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.34(-1.28%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $572.926b

$. APA price fluctuates within 2.79% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.34%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.13%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.22%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.53%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2017	51.86	48.34	47.69	48.14	48.36	48.47	47.72(-3.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	30	3	10	3.79	52%	-0.27	-51.3	1.76%	0	-0.5	40	0
2	Jun_13_2017	52	48.5	47.6	47.95	48.03	48.74	49.22(1.65%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	18	110	27	-9	2.24	55%	-0.21	-50.2	1.72%	0	0.5	44	0
3	Jun_12_2017	52.11	48.57	47.41	47.72	47.6	48.26	48.42(0.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	24	90	42	-29	3.06	55%	-0.27	-50.2	1.71%	0	-0.1	40	0
4	Jun_9_2017	52.25	48.71	47.37	47.38	47.26	47.32	48.34(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	0	22	-71	3.82	57%	-0.27	-46.9	1.71%	0	-0.2	35	0
5	Jun_8_2017	52.39	48.83	47.29	47.11	47.26	46.95	47(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10	-9	-111	4.62	51%	-0.3	-41.8	1.7%	0	-1.1	36	0

6	Jun_7_2017	52.55	49.04	47.56	47.17	46.98	47.19	46.78(-2.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-22	20	5	-103	7.08	50%	-0.32	-34.8	1.76%	0	-1.3	34	0
7	Jun_6_2017	52.72	49.23	47.86	47.16	46.97	47.02	48.04(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-0	11	-109	3	52%	-0.09	-31.5	1.74%	0	-0.7	35	0
8	Jun_5_2017	52.77	49.35	48.04	47.07	46.87	46.76	46.73(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-30	-16	-134	3.8	50%	-0.3	-29.8	1.7%	0	-1.6	26	0
9	Jun_2_2017	52.93	49.49	48.47	47.36	47.11	46.92	46.99(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-40	-10	-124	4.25	48%	-0.32	-25.4	1.7%	0	-1.6	25	0
10	Jun_1_2017	53.1	49.56	48.77	47.5	47.4	46.98	47.3(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-70	-30	-134	2.82	48%	-0.32	-25.1	1.72%	0	-1.5	30	0

11	May_31_2017	53.27	49.65	49.06	48.02	47.86	47.29	46.76(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-65	-90	-44	-128	4.22	50%	-0.32	-20.7	1.73%	0	-2.1	25	0
12	May_30_2017	53.44	49.76	49.49	48.67	48.62	47.81	47.56(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-120	-39	-100	3.78	48%	-0.47	-15	1.72%	0	-1.8	35	0
13	May_26_2017	53.69	49.84	49.84	49.16	49.19	48.42	48.19(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-64	-110	-56	-86	2.9	48%	-0.28	-3.9	1.7%	0	-1.4	40	0
14	May_25_2017	53.84	49.88	50.18	49.75	49.89	49.44	47.71(-4.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-35	-50	-33	-42	3.65	48%	-0.3	8.7	1.71%	0	-1.9	45	0
15	May_24_2017	54	49.93	50.53	50.19	49.89	49.95	49.87(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-40	-14	3	2.91	52%	-0.26	18.8	1.64%	0	-0.1	66	0

16	May_23_2017	54.14	49.94	50.67	50.26	50.32	50.34	50(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	10	-18	20	3	49%	-0.09	24.3	1.64%	0	0.1	59	0
17	May_22_2017	54.19	49.95	50.73	50.45	50.48	50.69	50.02(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	30	5	49	3.52	47%	-0.24	28	1.7%	0	0.1	61	0
18	May_19_2017	54.32	49.89	50.76	50.64	50.55	50.31	51.16(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	12	-40	-5	64	2.9	49%	-0.26	17.4	1.68%	0	1.2	65	0
19	May_18_2017	54.46	49.78	50.59	50.7	50.81	50.27	49.92(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-70	-27	65	3.57	47%	-0.27	5.2	1.66%	0	0.1	61	0
20	May_17_2017	54.61	49.74	50.42	50.93	51.12	50.79	50.19(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-30	-24	74	2.71	47%	-0.29	-8.9	1.67%	0	0.4	65	0

21	May_16_2017	54.77	49.69	50.3	51.13	51.3	51.34	50.97(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	20	-2	86	3.4	47%	-0.07	-23.3	1.66%	0	1.2	55	0
22	May_15_2017	54.81	49.65	50.06	51.03	51.35	51.45	50.97(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	30	16	79	2.92	47%	-0.29	-36.4	1.66%	0	1.1	53	0
23	May_12_2017	54.97	49.7	49.84	50.89	50.99	51.25	51.45(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	40	17	75	2.65	44%	-0.29	-40.7	1.67%	0	1.5	64	0
24	May_11_2017	55.13	49.72	49.55	50.45	50.61	51.26	51.07(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	100	43	67	1.85	44%	-0.31	-50.2	1.68%	0	1.1	60	0
25	May_10_2017	55.3	49.83	49.26	49.82	49.96	50.72	51.21(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	110	49	39	3.56	44%		-47.6	1.7%	0	0.9	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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