Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $51.2100 (1.51%) ($50.7500 - $52.2100) on Wed. May. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $51.2100(1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(30%)    OIH(26%)    XLE(24%)    IYT(23%)    IVE(22%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    BNDX(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.82(2.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.26(3.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.83(2.77%)
To recent high   -10.8%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $614.827b

$. APA price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.51%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.99%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.99%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -3.64%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.63%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.99%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2017	55.3	49.83	49.26	49.82	49.96	50.72	51.21(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	110	49	39	3.56	44%	-0.29	-47.6	1.7%	0	0.9	61	INF
2	May_9_2017	55.46	49.93	49.11	49.34	49.12	49.96	50.45(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	110	39	21	3.47	44%	-0.31	-44.8	1.69%	0	0.3	57	INF
3	May_8_2017	55.63	50.09	49.06	48.94	48.74	49.19	50.25(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	50	39	4	3.31	44%	-0.29	-39.3	1.68%	0	0.1	47	INF
4	May_5_2017	55.79	50.19	48.9	48.65	48.48	49.19	49.29(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-40	3	-47	4.24	40%	-0.34	-39.8	1.68%	0	-0.4	33	INF
5	May_4_2017	55.98	50.37	48.87	48.52	48.49	48.29	47.9(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-30	-17	-84	7.88	37%	-0.32	-38.6	1.64%	0	-1.2	26	INF

6	May_3_2017	56.16	50.57	48.99	48.6	48.67	48.67	48.8(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	0	-8	-109	4.59	38%	-0.35	-42.6	1.64%	0	-0.9	24	INF
7	May_2_2017	56.36	50.73	49.03	48.85	48.73	48.69	48.47(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-45	-10	-15	-134	3.3	41%	-0.34	-39	1.65%	0	-1.1	21	INF
8	May_1_2017	56.55	50.87	49.22	49.2	49.09	48.67	48.79(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-70	-6	-138	2.92	39%	-0.32	-32.8	1.68%	0	-1.1	22	INF
9	Apr_28_2017	56.73	51.01	49.57	49.19	49.27	48.77	48.64(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-70	-25	-144	2.98	36%	-0.33	-31.9	1.74%	0	-1.3	32	INF
10	Apr_27_2017	56.92	51.19	49.93	49.27	49.36	49.52	48.32(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	30	-11	-141	5.22	36%	-0.33	-27.3	1.75%	0	-1.6	29	INF

11	Apr_26_2017	57.11	51.44	50.46	49.41	49.41	49.78	50.01(-0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	50	24	-114	2.79	38%	-0.3	-19.7	1.71%	0	-0.9	43	INF
12	Apr_25_2017	57.28	51.51	50.82	49.24	49.21	49.21	50.25(3.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-28	-0	2	-117	3.14	38%	-0.28	-20.8	1.73%	0	-0.8	43	INF
13	Apr_24_2017	57.44	51.5	51.17	49.28	49.3	49.05	48.74(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-30	-33	-118	3.85	35%	-0.3	-22.8	1.68%	0	-1.7	41	INF
14	Apr_21_2017	57.61	51.6	51.58	50.04	49.89	49.21	49.02(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-53	-100	-41	-88	3.03	35%	-0.29	-14.1	1.67%	0	-1.6	41	INF
15	Apr_20_2017	57.78	51.68	51.99	50.71	50.73	49.55	49.02(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-69	-160	-69	-68	3.38	35%	-0.31	-5.5	1.69%	0	-1.8	37	INF

16	Apr_19_2017	57.96	51.77	52.3	51.66	51.69	50.57	49.19(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-71	-150	-79	-46	4.95	35%	-0.21	11.6	1.69%	0	-1.9	34	INF
17	Apr_18_2017	58.08	51.85	52.61	52.6	52.72	51.91	50.45(-3.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-39	-100	-53	4	4.85	37%	-0.19	32.4	1.67%	0	-1.1	50	INF
18	Apr_17_2017	58.19	51.89	52.71	53.31	53.29	52.8	52.5(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-70	-29	53	3.1	40%	-0.19	51.8	1.6%	0	0.5	65	INF
19	Apr_13_2017	58.3	51.82	52.62	53.34	53.56	53.54	52.37(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	10	-8	71	4.45	40%	-0.21	57.6	1.61%	0	0.4	61	INF
20	Apr_12_2017	58.42	51.76	52.59	53.45	53.43	53.78	53.81(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	40	23	106	4.39	42%	-0.15	63	1.58%	0	1.6	68	INF

21	Apr_11_2017	58.51	51.61	52.51	53.03	53.07	53.58	53.87(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	70	32	112	2.88	42%	-0.17	62.7	1.58%	0	1.9	65	INF
22	Apr_10_2017	58.61	51.43	52.24	52.64	52.7	53.08	53.99(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	50	40	106	3.54	42%	-0.14	54.6	1.6%	0	2.3	66	INF
23	Apr_7_2017	58.69	51.23	51.82	52.05	52.17	52.57	52.64(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	60	21	70	4.99	39%	-0.15	37.3	1.55%	0	1.5	58	INF
24	Apr_6_2017	58.78	51.11	51.58	51.8	51.82	52.32	52.96(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	70	26	56	3.15	39%	-0.17	22.2	1.56%	0	2.1	58	INF
25	Apr_5_2017	58.88	50.98	51.29	51.62	51.59	51.78	51.7(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	20	3	34	3.86	35%		11.4	1.53%	0	0.8	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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