Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $49.4100 (-3.65%) ($49.2800 - $51.3515) on Wed. Mar. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $49.4100(-3.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(30%)    OIH(26%)    XLE(24%)    IYT(23%)    IVE(22%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    IPO(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $44.39(-10.16%)
Resistance Level   $54
5 Day Moving Average   $51.38(-3.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.12(-5.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54(-8.5%)
To recent high   -26.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $593.216b

$. APA price fluctuates within 4.07% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 2.09%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.05%(50%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 5.07%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.43%(50%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 3.02%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.79%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2017	60.74	54	52.12	51.38	51.58	51.05	49.41(-3.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-96	-60	-64	-190	5.31	7%	-0.23	-76.7	1.35%	0	-2.1	19	INF
2	Mar_7_2017	60.88	54.4	52.67	52.09	51.98	51.99	51.28(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-53	-0	-19	-154	3.38	8%	-0.18	-82	1.29%	0	-1.6	23	INF
3	Mar_6_2017	60.99	54.73	53.12	52.35	52.28	52.1	52.19(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-30	-2	-149	2.13	8%	-0.16	-84.3	1.27%	0	-1.3	21	INF
4	Mar_3_2017	61.09	55.09	53.43	52.5	52.39	51.97	52.09(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-67	-60	-33	-167	2.86	8%	-0.16	-82	1.3%	0	-1.4	19	INF
5	Mar_2_2017	61.19	55.44	53.75	52.76	52.66	52.47	51.92(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-61	-30	-26	-166	4.27	8%	-0.18	-85.2	1.31%	0	-1.6	23	INF

6	Mar_1_2017	61.3	55.74	54.12	52.97	52.98	52.81	52.95(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-53	-20	-15	-166	4.47	9%	-0.16	-95.7	1.29%	0	-1.4	25	INF
7	Feb_28_2017	61.4	56.08	54.38	53.36	53.09	52.85	52.59(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-50	-35	-133	3.66	32%	-0.21	-91.5	1.7%	0	-1.7	22	INF
8	Feb_27_2017	61.53	56.45	54.83	54.02	53.76	53.15	52.93(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-50	-90	-29	-112	5.04	32%	-0.16	-87.2	1.72%	0	-1.7	20	INF
9	Feb_24_2017	61.63	56.9	55.28	54.53	54.49	53.33	53.41(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-63	-150	-46	-115	5.69	32%	-0.18	-75.8	1.72%	0	-1.6	17	INF
10	Feb_23_2017	61.74	57.35	55.64	54.89	54.98	54.37	52.98(-3.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-73	-70	-57	-120	11.7	32%	-0.21	-67.2	1.73%	0	-1.8	19	INF

11	Feb_22_2017	61.87	57.78	56.05	55.42	55.49	55.66	54.91(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	30	-1	-88	4.38	36%	-0.15	-67.4	1.7%	0	-1.3	35	INF
12	Feb_21_2017	61.96	58.08	56.27	55.53	55.53	55.6	55.89(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	10	4	-98	3.24	38%	-0.16	-71.4	1.7%	0	-1	31	INF
13	Feb_17_2017	62.06	58.32	56.46	55.79	55.46	55.32	55.44(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-40	-21	-112	2.52	38%	-0.14	-70.8	1.71%	0	-1.2	27	INF
14	Feb_16_2017	62.15	58.64	56.86	56.18	55.99	55.45	55.25(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-42	-80	-19	-112	2.8	38%	-0.13	-69.5	1.72%	0	-1.5	21	INF
15	Feb_15_2017	62.23	58.99	57.24	56.51	56.46	55.6	55.59(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-110	-40	-129	4.98	51%	-0.08	-69.4	1.72%	0	-1.5	21	INF

16	Feb_14_2017	62.28	59.36	57.48	56.78	56.91	56.53	55.5(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-40	-29	-121	7.44	51%	-0.06	-68	1.98%	0	-1.7	28	INF
17	Feb_13_2017	62.32	59.74	57.91	57.09	57.15	57.32	57.18(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	20	-1	-109	1.88	55%	-0.05	-67.7	1.96%	0	-1.2	35	INF
18	Feb_10_2017	62.35	60.02	58.18	57.23	57.08	57.29	57.38(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	20	-6	-112	2.71	55%	-0.06	-67.5	1.97%	0	-1.2	36	INF
19	Feb_9_2017	62.39	60.31	58.62	57.68	57.44	56.99	56.92(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-70	-12	-102	2.63	55%	-0.06	-63.7	1.97%	0	-1.6	31	INF
20	Feb_8_2017	62.43	60.65	59.17	58.11	57.93	56.87	56.93(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-140	-35	-99	3.08	55%	0	-59.8	1.98%	0	-1.8	30	INF

21	Feb_7_2017	62.43	60.96	59.63	58.28	58.36	57.9	57.03(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-60	-50	-45	-105	4.69	55%	-0.02	-64.7	1.99%	0	-2	28	INF
22	Feb_6_2017	62.44	61.24	60.04	58.84	58.87	59	57.87(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	20	-7	-86	2.67	55%	-0.02	-67.7	2%	0	-1.9	29	INF
23	Feb_3_2017	62.45	61.52	60.35	59.26	59.13	58.82	59.64(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-40	-12	-88	2.84	50%	0.02	-69.6	1.96%	0	-1.2	36	INF
24	Feb_2_2017	62.44	61.7	60.56	59.74	59.51	58.75	59.09(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-100	-39	-86	3.1	50%	0.03	-67.3	2.14%	0	-1.7	32	INF
25	Feb_1_2017	62.42	61.93	60.88	60.44	60.4	59.43	57.78(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-51	-110	-42	-78	5.85	47%		-67.1	2.12%	0	-2.8	21	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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