Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $63.7900 (-0.25%) ($63.0300 - $65.8100) on Tue. Oct. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.51% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $63.7900(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(31%)    OIH(27%)    XLE(25%)    IVE(23%)    IWD(23%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.255% (StdDev 2.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.81(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.14(2.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.18(6%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   30.8%
Market Cap   $765.863b

$. APA price fluctuates within 5.1% (three month std-dev: 2.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20161104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2016	55.25	60.18	62.14	63.81	64.06	64	63.79(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	10	17	128	6.33	63%	0.16	108.4	2.51%	0	1.2	78	0
2	Oct_3_2016	55.16	59.59	61.53	62.97	63.48	64.03	63.95(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	80	22	113	2.9	63%	0.2	101.8	2.53%	0	1.5	74	0
3	Sep_30_2016	55.05	58.98	60.93	62.17	62.31	64.13	63.87(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	210	45	99	5.29	63%	0.18	84.5	2.53%	0	1.5	61	0
4	Sep_29_2016	54.95	58.29	60.38	61.4	61.38	62.92	63.74(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	170	66	89	7.89	64%	0.18	67.6	2.53%	0	1.5	62	0
5	Sep_28_2016	54.85	57.6	59.85	60.85	60.43	60.49	63.7(6.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10	21	58	8.11	66%	0.2	56.9	2.56%	0	1.6	63	0

6	Sep_27_2016	54.74	57.03	59.14	60.29	60.31	59.84	59.59(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-50	-6	44	4.28	59%	0.13	53.8	2.47%	0	0.7	66	0
7	Sep_26_2016	54.67	56.69	58.94	59.87	60.41	60.36	59.94(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	20	5	60	3.95	59%	0.13	50.2	2.56%	0	0.9	74	0
8	Sep_23_2016	54.6	56.31	58.91	59.45	59.71	60.79	60.02(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	140	15	85	6.19	56%	0.09	45.6	2.66%	0	1	75	0
9	Sep_22_2016	54.55	55.94	58.83	59.16	59.28	60.46	61(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	150	49	129	7.24	56%	0.18	43	2.67%	0	1.4	80	0
10	Sep_21_2016	54.45	55.51	58.61	58.7	58.48	58.62	60.89(5.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	56	10	25	147	7.52	56%	0.17	42.8	2.68%	0	1.5	80	0

11	Sep_20_2016	54.36	55.11	58.04	58.7	58.07	58.1	57.49(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	10	-3	136	3	54%	0.07	42.4	2.59%	0	0.7	64	0
12	Sep_19_2016	54.32	54.89	57.53	57.87	57.97	58.33	57.85(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	50	1	136	3.26	54%	0.06	47.9	2.61%	0	0.9	64	0
13	Sep_16_2016	54.29	54.66	56.93	58.28	57.9	58.03	58.56(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-0	3	148	5.1	53%	0.06	59.9	2.61%	0	1.2	67	0
14	Sep_15_2016	54.26	54.39	56.1	58.45	58.2	57.6	58.7(3.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	30	-80	-7	141	4.96	53%	0.04	70.9	2.64%	0	1.4	66	0
15	Sep_14_2016	54.24	54.03	55.23	58.52	58.48	57.77	56.75(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	21	-90	-17	134	5.05	51%	0	80.2	2.6%	0	0.9	62	0

16	Sep_13_2016	54.24	53.74	54.8	58.2	58.58	58.8	57.51(-3.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	50	13	137	7.54	51%	0.07	79	2.61%	0	1.3	62	0
17	Sep_12_2016	54.2	53.35	54.31	57.03	58.14	59.19	59.9(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	81	180	64	132	6.27	53%	0.06	67.8	2.55%	0	2.2	70	0
18	Sep_9_2016	54.17	52.79	53.5	55.31	56.16	58.37	59.4(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	79	320	75	89	9.47	51%	0.09	55.4	2.61%	0	2.5	67	0
19	Sep_8_2016	54.12	52.28	52.75	53.39	54.13	57.1	59.05(7.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	97	430	112	53	10.86	51%	0.09	40	2.62%	0	3	66	0
20	Sep_7_2016	54.07	51.74	52.04	51.52	52.04	53.96	55.13(6.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	61	290	82	-2	14.58	49%	0	13.6	2.48%	0	2	63	0

21	Sep_6_2016	54.07	51.49	51.82	50.98	50.63	51.16	51.67(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	50	13	-36	2.22	44%	0	6.3	2.41%	0	0.1	56	0
22	Sep_2_2016	54.07	51.44	51.96	51.21	50.99	50.13	51.29(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-130	-8	-25	2.48	44%	-0.04	12.8	2.41%	0	-0.1	60	0
23	Sep_1_2016	54.09	51.37	52.17	51.42	51.39	50.1	49.79(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-180	-56	-20	3.73	42%	-0.04	8.4	2.38%	0	-1	59	0
24	Aug_31_2016	54.11	51.4	52.57	51.96	52.19	51.85	49.7(-5.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-18	-30	-32	23	4.32	42%	-0.07	13.8	2.39%	0	-1.1	55	0
25	Aug_30_2016	54.15	51.51	52.8	52.57	52.61	52.67	52.43(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	10	-0	68	1.56	45%		24.9	2.32%	0	0.6	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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