Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $58.1600 (3.07%) ($56.5400 - $58.1800) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $58.1600(3.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(32%)    OIH(28%)    XLE(26%)    IYT(24%)    USO(24%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.08(3.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.09(5.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.81(4.21%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   24.2%
Market Cap   $698.269b

$. APA price fluctuates within 2.88% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 7.42%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.16%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.81%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.04%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2016	53.39	55.81	55.09	56.08	56.17	56.96	58.16(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	100	44	20	3.88	62%	0.13	-20.1	2.5%	0	1.5	60	0
2	Jun_22_2016	53.32	55.77	54.81	55.05	55.28	56.05	56.43(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	18	110	28	-11	2.81	60%	0.08	-34.5	2.55%	0	0.4	52	0
3	Jun_21_2016	53.28	55.84	54.82	54.67	54.43	55.39	56.63(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	15	110	26	-19	2.9	60%	0.09	-31.2	2.55%	0	0.5	51	0
4	Jun_20_2016	53.23	55.88	54.92	54.3	54.14	54.5	55.32(2.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	15	40	27	-23	2.25	60%	0.06	-29.7	2.54%	0	-0.3	44	0
5	Jun_17_2016	53.2	55.97	54.94	54	53.94	53.48	53.87(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-60	-4	-54	3.16	60%	0.02	-24.1	2.53%	0	-1.2	36	0

6	Jun_16_2016	53.19	56.13	55.03	53.93	53.84	53.77	53(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10	-25	-77	3.03	62%	0	-19.3	2.54%	0	-1.9	34	0
7	Jun_15_2016	53.19	56.33	55.33	54.5	54.16	54.41	54.53(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	10	-2	-64	2.55	63%	0.04	-3.4	2.53%	0	-1.2	38	0
8	Jun_14_2016	53.17	56.37	55.5	54.99	54.58	54.41	54.76(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-110	-20	-69	3.35	63%	0.06	12.5	2.53%	0	-1.1	38	0
9	Jun_13_2016	53.14	56.37	55.73	55.68	55.48	53.91	53.84(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-48	-210	-42	-64	3.04	63%	0.02	34.2	2.55%	0	-1.8	37	0
10	Jun_10_2016	53.13	56.39	56.18	56.04	56.42	55.25	53.52(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-44	-120	-41	-52	3.24	63%	0	37.3	2.57%	0	-1.9	39	0

11	Jun_9_2016	53.13	56.45	56.64	56.04	56.7	57.05	55.83(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	70	-8	-31	3.07	67%	0.09	41.9	2.53%	0	-0.4	46	0
12	Jun_8_2016	53.08	56.38	56.85	56.25	56.47	57.59	57(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	23	150	34	-10	3.5	67%	0.11	49.5	2.53%	0	0.4	53	0
13	Jun_7_2016	53.02	56.19	56.96	56.08	55.88	56.35	58.21(4.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	18	50	26	-6	4.09	67%	0.17	45.5	2.53%	0	1.2	65	0
14	Jun_6_2016	52.93	55.9	56.88	55.87	55.61	55.35	55.62(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-50	-16	-17	2.46	65%	0.09	34.3	2.49%	0	-0.2	58	0
15	Jun_3_2016	52.88	55.82	57.04	56.4	56.23	55.4	54.58(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-19	-110	-27	6	2.87	65%	0.06	40.4	2.5%	0	-0.7	64	0

16	Jun_2_2016	52.85	55.85	57.31	57.09	56.87	55.87	55.84(-0.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-20	-130	-37	30	2.68	65%	0.09	50.1	2.5%	0	-0	61	0
17	Jun_1_2016	52.8	55.62	57.41	57.51	57.53	57.05	56.17(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-60	-29	54	3.82	65%	0.11	34.7	2.52%	0	0.3	64	0
18	May_31_2016	52.74	55.43	57.35	57.92	58.12	57.88	57.14(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-20	-5	83	4.07	65%	0.15	31.2	2.53%	0	0.7	73	0
19	May_27_2016	52.66	55.28	57.14	58.02	58.18	58.01	58.29(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-10	-2	100	2.52	65%	0.21	33.5	2.53%	0	1.4	83	0
20	May_26_2016	52.55	55.07	56.64	57.78	58.01	58.37	58.03(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	60	7	96	2.41	65%	0.19	28.3	2.55%	0	1.4	68	0

21	May_25_2016	52.45	54.92	56.27	57.57	57.72	58.35	57.91(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	80	24	98	3.15	65%	0.21	27.7	2.58%	0	1.5	61	0
22	May_24_2016	52.34	54.87	55.88	57.31	57.1	57.65	58.25(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	60	23	106	4.39	65%	0.23	32	2.6%	0	1.7	74	0
23	May_23_2016	52.22	54.72	55.36	56.68	56.8	57.1	57.6(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	40	24	97	3.11	65%	0.21	27.3	2.63%	0	1.6	66	0
24	May_20_2016	52.11	54.55	54.81	56.12	56.25	56.55	57.11(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	40	18	74	3.24	65%	0.19	22.4	2.65%	0	1.5	57	0
25	May_19_2016	52.01	54.48	54.47	55.31	55.69	56.5	56.98(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	120	25	56	6.36	65%		21.3	2.68%	0	1.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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