Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $53.5200 (-4.14%) ($53.0300 - $55.5900) on Fri. Jun. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.57% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $53.5200(-4.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(32%)    OIH(28%)    XLE(26%)    IYT(24%)    USO(24%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.285% (StdDev 2.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

Resistance Level   $56.39
5 Day Moving Average   $56.04(-4.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.18(-4.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.39(-5.09%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $642.561b

$. APA price fluctuates within 2.71% (three month std-dev: 2.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.24%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.96%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 5.59%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.78%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 9.86%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.95%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2016	53.13	56.39	56.18	56.04	56.42	55.25	53.52(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-44	-120	-41	-52	3.24	63%	0	37.3	2.57%	0	-1.9	39	INF
2	Jun_9_2016	53.13	56.45	56.64	56.04	56.7	57.05	55.83(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	70	-8	-31	3.07	67%	0.09	41.9	2.53%	0	-0.4	46	INF
3	Jun_8_2016	53.08	56.38	56.85	56.25	56.47	57.59	57(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	23	150	34	-10	3.5	67%	0.11	49.5	2.53%	0	0.4	53	INF
4	Jun_7_2016	53.02	56.19	56.96	56.08	55.88	56.35	58.21(4.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	18	50	26	-6	4.09	67%	0.17	45.5	2.53%	0	1.2	65	INF
5	Jun_6_2016	52.93	55.9	56.88	55.87	55.61	55.35	55.62(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-50	-16	-17	2.46	65%	0.09	34.3	2.49%	0	-0.2	58	INF

6	Jun_3_2016	52.88	55.82	57.04	56.4	56.23	55.4	54.58(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-19	-110	-27	6	2.87	65%	0.06	40.4	2.5%	0	-0.7	64	INF
7	Jun_2_2016	52.85	55.85	57.31	57.09	56.87	55.87	55.84(-0.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-20	-130	-37	30	2.68	65%	0.09	50.1	2.5%	0	-0	61	INF
8	Jun_1_2016	52.8	55.62	57.41	57.51	57.53	57.05	56.17(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-60	-29	54	3.82	65%	0.11	34.7	2.52%	0	0.3	64	INF
9	May_31_2016	52.74	55.43	57.35	57.92	58.12	57.88	57.14(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-20	-5	83	4.07	65%	0.15	31.2	2.53%	0	0.7	73	INF
10	May_27_2016	52.66	55.28	57.14	58.02	58.18	58.01	58.29(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-10	-2	100	2.52	65%	0.21	33.5	2.53%	0	1.4	83	INF

11	May_26_2016	52.55	55.07	56.64	57.78	58.01	58.37	58.03(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	60	7	96	2.41	65%	0.19	28.3	2.55%	0	1.4	68	INF
12	May_25_2016	52.45	54.92	56.27	57.57	57.72	58.35	57.91(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	80	24	98	3.15	65%	0.21	27.7	2.58%	0	1.5	61	INF
13	May_24_2016	52.34	54.87	55.88	57.31	57.1	57.65	58.25(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	60	23	106	4.39	65%	0.23	32	2.6%	0	1.7	74	INF
14	May_23_2016	52.22	54.72	55.36	56.68	56.8	57.1	57.6(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	40	24	97	3.11	65%	0.21	27.3	2.63%	0	1.6	66	INF
15	May_20_2016	52.11	54.55	54.81	56.12	56.25	56.55	57.11(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	40	18	74	3.24	65%	0.19	22.4	2.65%	0	1.5	57	INF

16	May_19_2016	52.01	54.48	54.47	55.31	55.69	56.5	56.98(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	120	25	56	6.36	65%	0.21	21.3	2.68%	0	1.5	56	INF
17	May_18_2016	51.9	54.35	54.22	54.77	55.02	55.95	56.61(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	130	33	45	12.95	65%	0.19	18.2	2.71%	0	1.5	52	INF
18	May_17_2016	51.8	54.24	53.63	54.25	54.48	54.88	55.12(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	60	24	4	4.08	65%	0.15	16.6	2.72%	0	0.6	43	INF
19	May_16_2016	51.72	54.23	53.33	53.84	54.1	54.09	54.8(3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	10	13	-23	4.04	65%	0.14	14	2.75%	0	0.4	47	INF
20	May_13_2016	51.65	54.16	53.25	53.31	53.59	54.08	53.02(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	80	-1	-42	2.97	63%	0.06	14.1	2.74%	0	-0.7	48	INF

21	May_12_2016	51.62	54.13	53.37	53.47	53.41	54.1	54.3(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	90	18	-38	5.07	63%	0.12	21.4	2.74%	0	0.1	46	INF
22	May_11_2016	51.56	54.07	53.46	53.58	53.28	53.1	54.01(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-40	16	-35	5.91	63%	0.12	33.9	2.77%	0	-0	49	INF
23	May_10_2016	51.5	54	53.76	52.92	53.25	52.73	53.09(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-50	-7	-49	4.84	63%	0.08	30.4	2.8%	0	-0.6	47	INF
24	May_9_2016	51.46	54.02	54.03	52.73	52.92	53.46	52.12(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	80	-11	-52	4.54	63%	0.04	39	2.82%	0	-1.1	44	INF
25	May_6_2016	51.44	53.94	54.28	53.15	52.9	53.78	53.84(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	100	24	-26	6.56	66%		52	2.8%	0	-0.1	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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