Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 4, 2024

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $177.6600 (-0.34%) ($177.6600 - $177.6600) on Mon. Mar. 4, 2024.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $177.6600(-0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(86%)    QQQ(82%)    SPY(77%)    SMH(65%)    DIA(52%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-53%)    VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-1%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $175.82(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $174.04(2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $172.32(3.1%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $89.008b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(32%) Average negative next day return: -0.75%(68%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 1.45%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(54%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 1.89%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.73%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2024	151.49	172.32	174.04	175.82	176.27	177.69	177.66(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	60	37	74	28.56	72%	0.33	112.2	1.69%	0.5	1.6	58	1.6
2	Mar_1_2024	150.99	172.01	173.24	175.23	175.22	177.22	178.26(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	86	80	88	80	31.95	72%	0.32	138.2	1.7%	1.6	2.1	54	1.4
3	Feb_29_2024	150.51	171.06	172.36	174.53	174.44	174.85	176.73(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	10	60	62	28.99	72%	0.31	104.5	1.69%	2	1.5	60	1.5
4	Feb_28_2024	150.04	170.03	171.74	174.11	173.96	173.22	172.97(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-30	-26	25	21.64	70%	0.3	77.9	1.67%	-1.2	0.6	55	1.4
5	Feb_27_2024	149.59	169.37	171.29	173.24	174.37	174.04	173.47(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	10	11	29	24.45	70%	0.32	69.9	1.68%	-1.4	0.8	58	1.6

6	Feb_26_2024	149.12	168.76	171.16	171.88	173.16	174.7	174.73(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	80	43	31	40.12	70%	0.33	66.5	1.67%	0.4	1.1	57	1.3
7	Feb_23_2024	148.63	168	171.07	170.9	171.17	174.69	174.78(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	106	150	122	56	35.38	70%	0.34	63.5	1.67%	0.8	1.2	53	1.8
8	Feb_22_2024	148.12	167.14	170.54	169.89	169.92	171.61	174.6(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	127	70	145	74	44.77	70%	0.33	60.6	1.68%	1.7	1.3	70	0.9
9	Feb_21_2024	147.63	166.27	170.07	169.16	168.71	167.65	168.63(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-14	-50	-28	27	35.91	67%	0.31	60.8	1.64%	-0	0.4	70	-0.3
10	Feb_20_2024	147.17	165.68	170.13	169.09	169.3	168.24	166.68(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-38	-40	-62	33	31.76	67%	0.4	60.2	1.65%	-1.2	0.2	62	0.1

11	Feb_16_2024	146.58	165.13	170.52	170.27	169.71	169.76	169.79(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-10	-38	78	40.49	71%	0.31	61.2	1.63%	0.2	0.7	62	1.4
12	Feb_15_2024	146.13	164.43	170.73	171.23	170.4	170.36	169.74(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-20	-1	134	41.1	71%	0.31	63.9	1.63%	0.4	0.7	63	1.6
13	Feb_14_2024	145.68	163.63	169.76	171.25	171.61	169.65	170.96(1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-70	-18	132	34.53	73%	0.32	62	1.65%	0	1	67	1.2
14	Feb_13_2024	145.21	162.68	168.3	171.13	171.32	170.44	168.31(-2.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-55	-30	-105	96	43.59	73%	0.26	62.3	1.66%	-1.6	0.8	65	-0.3
15	Feb_12_2024	144.83	161.94	167.45	171.26	171.84	173.56	172.57(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	91	80	62	177	41.26	79%	0.31	65.4	1.63%	-0.1	1.4	72	1.6

16	Feb_9_2024	144.38	161.02	166.29	170.77	170.93	172.2	174.56(2.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	116	50	88	198	48.34	81%	0.32	73.2	1.64%	2	1.9	76	1.3
17	Feb_8_2024	143.92	159.98	164.72	170.25	169.82	170.12	169.85(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	61	0	21	180	34.64	79%	0.25	86.8	1.62%	0.4	1.5	72	2.3
18	Feb_7_2024	143.56	159.14	163.48	168.02	170.36	169.65	170.39(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	108	10	81	188	37.76	80%	0.24	85.4	1.62%	1.5	1.8	74	2.3
19	Feb_6_2024	143.22	158.17	162.11	164.97	167.43	169.53	168.92(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	130	32	141	31.98	80%	0.21	78.2	1.64%	-0.6	1.9	75	2.3
20	Feb_5_2024	142.92	157.17	160.8	162.97	163.96	171.06	170.15(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	233	320	241	208	44.61	80%	0.21	70.5	1.63%	0.6	2.4	73	1.9

21	Feb_2_2024	142.62	155.91	159.2	161.14	161.16	165.33	171.97(8.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	305	180	332	224	103.05	80%	0.2	58.5	1.62%	1.4	3.1	72	-0.4
22	Feb_1_2024	142.34	154.52	157.42	158.58	158.41	156.87	158.69(2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-70	-5	75	49.31	76%	0.11	46.1	1.26%	0.8	1	58	-0.3
23	Jan_31_2024	142.19	154.01	156.9	158.33	158.54	156.99	155.13(-2.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-94	-60	-132	19	49.02	74%	0.1	38.8	1.29%	-1.7	0.3	55	-0.3
24	Jan_30_2024	142.05	153.76	156.63	158.7	159.13	159.96	158.92(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	40	12	89	34.49	85%	0.11	37.4	1.24%	-0.9	1.2	70	1.2
25	Jan_29_2024	141.89	153.39	156.05	158.14	158.65	160.09	160.99(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	112	70	107	125	35	90%		32.5	1.32%	1.6	1.8	80	0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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