Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 25, 2022

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. May. 15, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $3295.1700 (0.83%) ($3295.1700 - $3295.1700) on Fri. Mar. 25, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.04% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $3295.1700(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(31%)    VUG(31%)    IWF(29%)    XLK(29%)    XLY(29%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-16%)    TBT(-10%)    UNG(-7%)    VXX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.52% (StdDev 3.04%)
Hourly BBV 0.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $3272.8(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3165.99(4.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3042.32(8.31%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   21%
Market Cap   $1650.88b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 5.89% (three month std-dev: 3.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 1.46%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.59%(43%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 3.31%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.18%(48%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 4.7%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.8%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2022	3235.2	3042.32	3165.99	3272.8	3279.59	3281.54	3295.17(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	334	10	349	290	2.07	52%	-0.06	41.8	3.04%	0.5	1.4	80	-0.9
2	Mar_24_2022	3237.14	3029.65	3128.24	3259.37	3262.78	3270.55	3267.9(-0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	20	-14	144	2.28	52%	-0.04	41.6	3.06%	-0.6	1.4	66	-0.7
3	Mar_23_2022	3238.33	3016.24	3096.45	3235.29	3252.9	3277.65	3273.19(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	668	70	744	441	2.35	52%	-0.01	35.7	3.09%	0.4	1.6	63	-0.8
4	Mar_22_2022	3238.74	2996.52	3047.79	3189.83	3214.92	3255.01	3298.24(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	895	110	1019	521	3.16	52%	-0	23	3.09%	1.4	2	58	-1
5	Mar_21_2022	3238.87	2980.04	2990.23	3120.09	3156.25	3228.15	3229.5(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1343	190	1559	695	3.3	53%	-0.04	7.6	3.07%	1.1	1.8	57	-1.2

6	Mar_18_2022	3240.27	2969.39	2941.59	3041.75	3087.26	3174.84	3228.02(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	2092	240	2454	1005	3.91	52%	-0.07	-9.1	3.07%	1.5	2	54	0.2
7	Mar_17_2022	3242.56	2960.53	2906.17	2978.11	2988.34	3084.35	3147.5(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	1618	240	1906	752	3.59	52%	-0.08	-28.6	3.07%	1.7	1.6	51	-0.9
8	Mar_16_2022	3245.09	2959.3	2883.7	2938.92	2935.33	2999.68	3045.89(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1705	150	2015	776	3.59	49%	-0.11	-39.7	3.04%	1.7	0.7	50	-0.6
9	Mar_15_2022	3248.52	2962.15	2880.11	2885.44	2911.35	2892.33	2949.52(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	663	-20	792	275	3.19	48%	-0.12	-54.1	3.03%	0.8	-0.1	54	-2.8
10	Mar_14_2022	3252.29	2969.53	2885.15	2840.14	2867.99	2870.97	2837.8(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-620	40	-712	-344	3.67	46%	-0.16	-64.2	3%	-1.8	-1	43	-1.8

11	Mar_11_2022	3257.42	2981.12	2907.15	2822.7	2840.57	2930.38	2909.85(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	1265	240	1508	537	3.38	46%	-0.16	-73.8	2.96%	0.6	-0.6	43	0.6
12	Mar_10_2022	3262.79	2994.13	2922.2	2822.14	2800.77	2865.01	2951.53(6.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1702	140	2022	741	5.97	46%	-0.15	-58	2.99%	1.6	-0.3	43	0.9
13	Mar_9_2022	3267.56	3006.66	2928.65	2823.52	2789.65	2750.75	2778.48(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-208	-130	-221	-168	2.72	42%	-0.21	-48.7	2.87%	0.8	-1.7	29	-0.8
14	Mar_8_2022	3274.42	3029.71	2942.79	2877.09	2833.3	2736.53	2723.02(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-2127	-280	-2480	-1067	4.07	42%	-0.23	-32.7	2.85%	-1.1	-2.3	29	-1.2
15	Mar_7_2022	3281.9	3052.67	2973.19	2936.89	2914.13	2828.56	2750.61(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-2137	-230	-2496	-1059	4.25	44%	-0.21	-17.6	2.85%	-1.7	-2.6	31	-1.6

16	Mar_4_2022	3288.69	3074.52	3005.43	3000.68	2980.64	2930.08	2907.07(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1418	-140	-1657	-701	2.6	47%	-0.12	11.3	2.79%	-1.2	-1.8	42	-1.2
17	Mar_3_2022	3292.74	3070.66	3024.45	3034.56	3017.94	2999.7	2958.42(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-714	-60	-831	-364	3.24	46%	-0.1	18.1	2.81%	-2.7	-1	37	-0.8
18	Mar_2_2022	3296.08	3074.5	3044.6	3048.61	3042.97	3031.21	3046.32(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-30	-39	-45	2.03	48%	-0.06	32.6	2.79%	0.6	-0.3	39	-1
19	Mar_1_2022	3298.13	3074.09	3052.12	3018.75	3038.96	3036.18	3022.04(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-100	10	-103	-89	2.23	47%	-0.07	34.8	2.79%	-1.6	-0.5	36	-1.8
20	Feb_28_2022	3300.44	3073.1	3060.76	3015.45	3017.65	3054.73	3069.56(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	294	90	362	91	2.86	47%	-0.07	38.7	2.76%	0.4	-0	45	-1

21	Feb_25_2022	3302.7	3064.16	3060	3012.22	3006.07	3041.75	3076.44(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	909	80	1088	373	3.11	46%	-0.07	36.2	2.77%	1.4	0.1	45	-0.7
22	Feb_24_2022	3305.04	3051.59	3069.15	3015.71	3007.49	2980.57	3028.71(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-70	7	-34	4.37	46%	-0.07	25.4	2.79%	1	-0.2	65	-1.1
23	Feb_23_2022	3307.42	3040.75	3087.31	3043.11	3023.18	2970.39	2897(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1565	-140	-1836	-750	3.19	42%	-0.1	17.6	2.72%	-2.1	-1	49	-1.5
24	Feb_22_2022	3310.73	3037.98	3122.09	3089.7	3081.89	3034.42	3005.53(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-941	-120	-1112	-428	3.29	43%	-0.05	14.4	2.69%	-0.8	-0.2	52	-0.8
25	Feb_18_2022	3312.23	3032.34	3138.52	3110.6	3111.89	3075.97	3053.43(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-960	-80	-1140	-419	3.15	46%		7.2	2.68%	-1.1	0.1	56	-1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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