Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Jan. 28, 2018

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Jul. 5, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $1402.0500 (1.75%) ($1380.9100 - $1402.5300) on Sun. Jan. 28, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.94% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $1402.0500(1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $1365.47(2.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1334.16(5.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1281.02(9.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 4.99% (three month std-dev: 1.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 1.66%(61%) Average negative next day return: -1.56%(39%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 3%(49%) Average negative next three day return: -1.82%(51%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 3.79%(66%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.27%(34%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2018	1113.41	1281.02	1334.16	1365.47	1370.05	1382.43	1402.05(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	645	70	718	426	4.86	82%	0.39	78.8	1.94%	0	1.9	92	136.8
2	Jan_25_2018	1109.05	1269.8	1321.32	1343.98	1349.49	1367.55	1377.95(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	481	110	528	340	4.75	82%	0.38	72.8	1.94%	0	1.8	92	137.4
3	Jan_24_2018	1104.82	1259.56	1308.9	1327.05	1332.66	1357.67	1357.51(-0.37%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.5	845	140	959	504	6.81	82%	0.37	67.2	1.94%	0	1.7	92	-1.4
4	Jan_23_2018	1100.78	1249.97	1298.35	1314.55	1315	1331.43	1362.54(2.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	727	90	820	449	5.17	77%	0.25	62.8	1.93%	0	2	94	0.1
5	Jan_22_2018	1098.05	1240.28	1286.48	1303.01	1302.45	1307.65	1327.31(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	226	30	228	218	4.14	75%	0.33	63.4	1.93%	0	1.7	94	0.9

6	Jan_19_2018	1094.42	1232.59	1276.7	1298.59	1303.17	1298.56	1294.58(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	111	-10	91	171	4.58	72%	0.3	64.6	1.92%	0	1.3	83	1
7	Jan_18_2018	1091.15	1227.07	1268.62	1295.01	1299.74	1297.25	1293.32(-0.13%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0	-104	-0	-163	74	4.03	69%	0.31	65.8	1.93%	0	1.3	83	0
8	Jan_17_2018	1087.75	1221.71	1260.01	1287.21	1293.1	1307.78	1295(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	336	90	354	280	5.25	69%	0.33	65.7	1.94%	0	1.5	84	0
9	Jan_16_2018	1084.2	1215.69	1249.64	1278.75	1279.91	1302.23	1304.86(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	773	120	869	483	7.22	69%	0.48	66.8	1.93%	0	2	89	0
10	Jan_12_2018	1079.07	1208.83	1236.17	1267.16	1264.32	1278.42	1305.2(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	659	70	740	417	5.44	69%	0.34	70.5	1.92%	0	2.4	85	0

11	Jan_11_2018	1075.43	1201.43	1223.87	1251.94	1252.46	1257.59	1276.68(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	355	30	387	260	3.13	66%	0.31	73.9	1.9%	0	2.3	81	0
12	Jan_10_2018	1072.15	1195.58	1214.16	1238.53	1240.97	1250.22	1254.33(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	225	60	239	182	2.69	66%	0.28	75.6	1.9%	0	2.1	72	0
13	Jan_9_2018	1069.18	1191.09	1206.24	1228.5	1231.22	1247.33	1252.7(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	564	100	643	327	3.66	66%	0.29	80	1.9%	0	2.4	69	0
14	Jan_8_2018	1066.1	1186.34	1197.59	1215.76	1217.2	1231.72	1246.87(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	602	90	694	327	4.28	66%	0.28	79.6	1.9%	0	2.8	71	0
15	Jan_5_2018	1063.12	1181.76	1189.97	1200.28	1201.8	1215.11	1229.14(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	447	80	518	235	3.54	68%	0.26	71.8	1.89%	0	2.8	69	0

16	Jan_4_2018	1060.36	1177.79	1184.45	1191.67	1190.39	1202.68	1209.59(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	400	70	465	204	3.02	68%	0.23	69.9	1.89%	0	2.4	68	0
17	Jan_3_2018	1057.97	1174.39	1181.88	1186.21	1185.04	1188.48	1204.2(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	291	20	338	151	3.11	68%	0.22	44.8	1.9%	0	2.4	67	0
18	Jan_2_2018	1055.69	1170.91	1180.16	1180.72	1181.22	1178.11	1189.01(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-41	-20	-52	-7	2.69	68%	0.28	10.3	1.89%	0	1.4	60	0
19	Dec_29_2017	1052.69	1169.51	1179.07	1176.59	1178.87	1181.61	1169.47(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	20	-53	-10	2.69	68%	0.21	-6.6	1.89%	0	-0	56	0
20	Dec_28_2017	1050.52	1169.83	1179.72	1177.65	1177.6	1184.33	1186.1(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	237	40	273	127	1.84	68%	0.2	1.6	1.87%	0	1.1	67	0

21	Dec_27_2017	1048.44	1168.53	1177.6	1175.95	1174.34	1176.13	1182.26(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	115	10	130	70	1.87	70%	0.19	5.9	1.87%	0	1	69	0
22	Dec_26_2017	1046.48	1168.88	1175.95	1176.98	1174.97	1170.86	1176.76(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-89	-30	-112	-19	2.01	70%	0.24	28	1.88%	0	0.5	72	0
23	Dec_22_2017	1044.02	1169.64	1175.22	1179.74	1179.01	1172.55	1168.36(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-199	-40	-246	-59	1.59	66%	0.18	49.6	1.88%	0	-0.1	73	0
24	Dec_21_2017	1042.19	1170.44	1174.8	1181.9	1183.43	1179.07	1174.76(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-145	-20	-183	-30	2.12	66%	0.17	66.7	1.88%	0	0.3	55	0
25	Dec_20_2017	1040.38	1169.56	1173.44	1181.8	1184.23	1185.47	1177.62(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	10	-3	39	2.37	66%		75	1.89%	0	0.5	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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