Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 3, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $1186.1000 (0.32%) ($1184.3800 - $1190.1000) on Thu. Dec. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.87% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $1186.1000(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(46%)    VUG(46%)    IWF(45%)    IVW(44%)    XLK(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-7%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.935% (StdDev 1.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $1177.65(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1179.72(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1169.83(1.39%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   24%
Market Cap   $594.236b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 1.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.04%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.45%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_28_2017	1050.52	1169.83	1179.72	1177.65	1177.6	1184.33	1186.1(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	237	40	273	127	1.84	68%	0.2	1.6	1.87%	0	1.1	67	0
2	Dec_27_2017	1048.44	1168.53	1177.6	1175.95	1174.34	1176.13	1182.26(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	115	10	130	70	1.87	70%	0.19	5.9	1.87%	0	1	69	0
3	Dec_26_2017	1046.48	1168.88	1175.95	1176.98	1174.97	1170.86	1176.76(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-89	-30	-112	-19	2.01	70%	0.24	28	1.88%	0	0.5	72	0
4	Dec_22_2017	1044.02	1169.64	1175.22	1179.74	1179.01	1172.55	1168.36(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-199	-40	-246	-59	1.59	66%	0.18	49.6	1.88%	0	-0.1	73	0
5	Dec_21_2017	1042.19	1170.44	1174.8	1181.9	1183.43	1179.07	1174.76(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-145	-20	-183	-30	2.12	66%	0.17	66.7	1.88%	0	0.3	55	0

6	Dec_20_2017	1040.38	1169.56	1173.44	1181.8	1184.23	1185.47	1177.62(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	10	-3	39	2.37	66%	0.18	75	1.89%	0	0.5	49	0
7	Dec_19_2017	1038.55	1167.77	1171.06	1179.1	1180.68	1187.79	1187.38(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	192	50	215	121	2.59	66%	0.19	67.3	1.88%	0	1.1	59	0
8	Dec_18_2017	1036.53	1164.81	1166.56	1174.64	1175.47	1182.99	1190.58(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	294	50	341	152	2.95	63%	0.17	55.2	1.88%	0	1.4	47	0
9	Dec_15_2017	1034.81	1161.81	1160.91	1170.31	1170.04	1173.58	1179.14(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	169	20	201	74	4.78	63%	0.13	48.8	1.89%	0	0.9	43	0
10	Dec_14_2017	1033.46	1159.74	1158.98	1166.88	1166.93	1167.95	1174.26(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	10	56	5	3.21	63%	0.12	45.9	1.9%	0	0.7	45	0

11	Dec_13_2017	1032.24	1157.45	1158.85	1163.98	1165.92	1166.51	1164.13(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	10	52	4	2.62	65%	0.12	39.3	1.9%	0	0.3	53	0
12	Dec_12_2017	1030.98	1156.15	1158.48	1161.63	1163.76	1165.9	1165.08(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	83	20	102	25	2.24	65%	0.12	38.5	1.91%	0	0.4	58	0
13	Dec_11_2017	1029.71	1154.43	1160.9	1156.93	1158.47	1165.34	1168.92(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	176	50	209	77	2.36	67%	0.14	33.7	1.91%	0	0.7	62	0
14	Dec_8_2017	1028.26	1152.32	1163.16	1149.93	1151.81	1161.61	1162(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	265	60	312	123	3.05	64%	0.13	26.9	1.91%	0	0.4	60	0
15	Dec_7_2017	1026.91	1150.73	1165.36	1150	1148.61	1151.61	1159.79(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	183	10	212	95	2.51	64%	0.13	34.2	1.92%	0	0.4	57	0

16	Dec_6_2017	1025.57	1149.42	1165.18	1153.39	1150.83	1142.02	1152.35(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-158	-60	-193	-54	2.85	64%	0.13	44.4	1.92%	0	0.1	58	0
17	Dec_5_2017	1024.28	1148.07	1164.32	1155.18	1157.08	1145.61	1141.57(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-429	-60	-513	-178	4.08	61%	0.13	49	1.92%	0	-0.3	53	0
18	Dec_4_2017	1022.95	1147.2	1163.45	1165.58	1165.97	1159.63	1133.95(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-345	-40	-418	-124	5.93	61%	0.13	62.4	1.93%	0	-0.6	54	0
19	Dec_1_2017	1021.62	1146.33	1163.73	1177.96	1177.3	1168.56	1162.35(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-185	-50	-236	-30	4.11	66%	0.16	76.7	1.92%	0	0.6	62	0
20	Nov_30_2017	1019.98	1143.09	1161.48	1182.69	1185.87	1172.31	1176.75(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-296	-70	-370	-72	4.51	69%	0.17	97.9	1.9%	0	1.2	65	0

21	Nov_29_2017	1018.26	1139.44	1156.6	1178.57	1186.61	1186.05	1161.27(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-196	20	-251	-30	9.26	69%	0.17	117.7	1.9%	0	0.8	60	0
22	Nov_28_2017	1016.58	1136.67	1154.27	1174.22	1180.5	1199.42	1193.6(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	524	130	596	308	4.56	74%	0.2	135.3	1.86%	0	2.1	75	0
23	Nov_27_2017	1014.58	1132.32	1147.57	1160.76	1164.77	1187.16	1195.83(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	857	140	993	449	6.74	74%	0.22	166	1.86%	0	2.6	77	0
24	Nov_24_2017	1012.39	1127.36	1140.13	1147.57	1146.58	1161.58	1186(2.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	594	90	688	311	3.53	74%	0.26	212.4	1.86%	0	2.9	78	0
25	Nov_22_2017	1009.77	1117.14	1133.98	1137.83	1136.49	1142.37	1156.16(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	316	30	363	176	3.56	73%		85.1	1.84%	0	0.8	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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