Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $901.9900 (1.96%) ($887.5000 - $902.3800) on Mon. Apr. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $901.9900(1.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(46%)    VUG(46%)    IWF(45%)    IVW(44%)    XLK(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $898.46(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $899.2(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $880.01(2.5%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $451.897b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.68% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 0.97%(53%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(47%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -0.89%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 1.42%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.86%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2017	822.7	880.01	899.2	898.46	896.98	891.87	901.99(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-146	-40	-203	24	2.85	62%	0.15	49.3	0.9%	0	0.9	74	INF
2	Apr_13_2017	821.44	877.53	897.74	897.04	899.16	894.28	884.67(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-401	-30	-511	-71	3.17	58%	0.13	48	0.88%	0	0.3	71	INF
3	Apr_12_2017	820.35	876.03	897.28	899.76	900.93	902.1	896.23(-0.68%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-103	10	-172	103	2.46	66%	0.14	51.3	0.87%	0	0.8	76	INF
4	Apr_11_2017	819.19	873.86	895.32	902.37	902.5	904.04	902.36(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	199	10	174	274	3.01	66%	0.16	55.9	0.88%	0	1.2	80	INF
5	Apr_10_2017	817.92	871.3	890.98	903.26	904.46	899.76	907.04(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	36	-30	-24	215	3.18	66%	0.19	60.6	0.88%	0	1.6	84	INF

6	Apr_7_2017	816.39	868.54	885.18	900.16	903.39	900.96	894.88(-0.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-300	-10	-416	48	3.71	63%	0.18	62.7	0.86%	0	1.2	69	INF
7	Apr_6_2017	814.95	866.34	880.5	898.49	901.8	909.15	898.28(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	395	70	404	366	6.34	67%	0.2	63.9	0.87%	0	1.5	72	INF
8	Apr_5_2017	813.36	863.95	875.49	894.1	895.97	905.82	909.28(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	881	80	982	576	7.51	76%	0.21	63.4	0.88%	0	2.3	78	INF
9	Apr_4_2017	811.63	860.81	869.2	887.11	886.63	894.45	906.83(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	651	60	724	433	4.98	76%	0.24	61.7	0.94%	0	2.7	78	INF
10	Apr_3_2017	809.68	857.57	862.62	876.94	878.61	886.12	891.51(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	620	70	701	378	3.42	74%	0.2	58.1	0.93%	0	2.6	74	INF

11	Mar_31_2017	808.09	855.18	858.85	868	869.73	878.82	886.54(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	664	80	762	368	3.96	74%	0.19	47.6	0.93%	0	2.9	70	INF
12	Mar_30_2017	806.59	853.19	855.14	859.82	859.61	871.1	876.34(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	682	90	793	347	2.76	65%	0.14	37.5	0.93%	0	2.8	67	INF
13	Mar_29_2017	805.5	851.7	852.6	854.03	852.9	860.64	874.32(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	687	60	807	328	4.49	65%	0.11	21.9	0.97%	0	3.6	65	INF
14	Mar_28_2017	804.6	850.5	850.19	848.77	848.06	848.13	856(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	201	-0	241	82	3.04	61%	0.09	-4.5	0.95%	0	1.5	56	INF
15	Mar_27_2017	803.86	849.95	849.75	846.21	845.59	845.16	846.82(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-201	-10	-230	-113	2.76	58%	0.12	-40.5	0.94%	0	-0.9	53	INF

16	Mar_24_2017	802.9	850.07	850.52	848.24	847.93	847.99	845.61(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	42	-0	51	13	2.14	58%	0.1	-18.6	0.96%	0	-1.2	51	INF
17	Mar_23_2017	802.08	850.1	851.25	849.58	849.48	846.02	847.38(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-117	-30	-137	-55	1.95	58%	0.11	-9.5	0.96%	0	-0.8	48	INF
18	Mar_22_2017	801.23	850.34	851.84	850.79	850.66	847.88	848.06(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-284	-20	-336	-128	2.66	58%	0.08	11.6	0.97%	0	-0.6	50	INF
19	Mar_21_2017	800.58	850.71	852.15	851.77	853.03	852.93	843.2(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-29	0	-37	-6	4.38	58%	0.07	42.2	0.97%	0	-2	39	INF
20	Mar_20_2017	800.02	851.38	852.6	853.64	853.2	853.45	856.97(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	0	38	34	2.28	64%	0.11	87.8	0.94%	0	1.6	67	INF

21	Mar_17_2017	799.18	850.79	851.57	853.16	852.58	853.13	852.31(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	0	3	17	3.38	64%	0.04	107.3	0.95%	0	0.4	55	INF
22	Mar_16_2017	798.83	850.4	851.33	853.19	852.8	852.95	853.42(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-0	41	35	1.84	64%	0.04	129.5	0.95%	0	0.8	61	INF
23	Mar_15_2017	798.51	849.89	850.88	853.11	853.03	852.03	852.97(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-25	-10	-34	3	2.56	64%	0.02	143.8	0.96%	0	0.8	50	INF
24	Mar_14_2017	798.32	849.11	850.84	852.62	853.15	852.64	852.53(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-0	-51	-7	2.13	64%	0.02	139.7	0.97%	0	0.7	45	INF
25	Mar_13_2017	798.17	848.36	850.12	851.31	852.58	854.04	854.59(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	70	20	82	33	1.91	68%		143.1	0.97%	0	1.1	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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