Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $839.9500 (0.91%) ($828.2600 - $842.4900) on Thu. Feb. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $839.9500(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(46%)    IWF(45%)    IVW(44%)    XLK(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $832.39(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $829.03(1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $816.53(2.87%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $420.815b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(39%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.63%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 3.98%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.58%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2017	791.85	816.53	829.03	832.39	829.66	833.45	839.95(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	221	20	244	152	7.35	58%	0.1	109.4	1.4%	0	1.4	66	INF
2	Feb_1_2017	791.04	812.56	826	832.23	829.45	826.76	832.35(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-30	-12	54	3.85	58%	0.09	88.2	1.43%	0	1	71	INF
3	Jan_31_2017	790.3	808.81	823.61	833.06	831.4	825.88	823.48(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-204	-50	-260	-36	3.14	60%	0.07	77	1.43%	0	0.6	69	INF
4	Jan_30_2017	789.77	805.34	822.36	832.85	833.36	832.15	830.38(-0.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-85	-10	-122	26	3.75	60%	0.09	73.3	1.44%	0	1.1	74	INF
5	Jan_27_2017	789.04	802.12	820.97	830.35	831.46	836.93	835.77(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	186	50	197	151	3	53%	0.07	62.9	1.58%	0	1.3	79	INF

6	Jan_26_2017	788.51	798.89	818.64	824.86	825.48	834.57	839.15(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	364	80	406	236	3.59	52%	0.07	57.8	1.58%	0	1.6	86	INF
7	Jan_25_2017	787.95	795.39	814.56	818.84	818.88	825.99	836.52(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	366	60	408	240	4.02	52%	0.06	55.2	1.6%	0	1.7	89	INF
8	Jan_24_2017	787.45	791.53	810.41	813.03	813.56	816.4	822.44(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	199	30	210	166	2.97	52%	0.05	53.1	1.58%	0	1.3	89	INF
9	Jan_23_2017	787.09	788.66	807.84	810.49	810.44	811.77	817.88(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	10	37	112	2.8	52%	0.06	52.8	1.61%	0	1.3	89	INF
10	Jan_20_2017	786.62	786.21	805.64	810.34	810.23	810.72	808.33(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	0	27	123	3.38	53%	0.05	53.5	1.61%	0	1	72	INF

11	Jan_19_2017	786.22	784.29	803.06	811.4	811.39	809.11	809.04(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-20	-2	121	2.54	53%	0.05	55.3	1.61%	0	1.1	67	INF
12	Jan_18_2017	785.81	782.08	798.24	809.4	810.62	809.73	807.48(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-22	-0	-59	90	2.35	53%	0.05	56.4	1.61%	0	1.2	67	INF
13	Jan_17_2017	785.39	779.56	793.17	807.08	807.42	813.67	809.72(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	152	60	147	167	3.67	52%	0.07	53.4	1.61%	0	1.5	72	INF
14	Jan_13_2017	784.83	777.03	787.39	804.52	803.36	811.51	817.14(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	379	70	417	263	3.79	52%	0.08	51.2	1.61%	0	2	71	INF
15	Jan_12_2017	784.23	774.42	782.02	800.29	798.61	801.16	813.64(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	258	20	278	196	4.87	52%	0.07	51.3	1.61%	0	2.2	67	INF

16	Jan_11_2017	783.65	772.22	777.55	793.66	794.15	795.22	799.02(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	103	10	101	110	2.99	49%	0.05	51	1.59%	0	1.8	63	INF
17	Jan_10_2017	783.27	770.18	774.57	785.29	788.09	796.06	795.9(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	253	80	283	163	2.56	49%	0.05	39.7	1.6%	0	1.9	64	INF
18	Jan_9_2017	782.9	768.67	770.91	776.84	778.68	793.09	796.92(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	534	140	620	277	3.45	49%	0.05	35.4	1.6%	0	2.3	68	INF
19	Jan_6_2017	782.49	767.03	767.57	767.43	768.03	780.12	795.99(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	555	110	651	266	5.99	49%	0.04	27.3	1.6%	0	2.9	65	INF
20	Jan_5_2017	782.16	765.56	764.65	761.26	760.26	764.26	780.45(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	238	30	283	103	5.83	48%	0.02	25.8	1.57%	0	2	55	INF

21	Jan_4_2017	782	764.7	763.47	759.6	759.46	755.94	757.18(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-89	-30	-100	-57	2.51	45%	-0.01	24.1	1.53%	0	-1.1	39	INF
22	Jan_3_2017	782.07	764.88	764.41	762.44	763.8	756.26	753.67(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-245	-60	-286	-121	3.52	45%	-0.01	32.1	1.53%	0	-1.7	48	INF
23	Dec_30_2016	782.13	764.41	765.02	763.83	767.08	762.98	749.87(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-258	-20	-301	-128	4.14	46%	-0.03	8.6	1.53%	0	-1.8	42	INF
24	Dec_29_2016	782.34	764.29	766.36	767.12	768.19	771.34	765.15(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	30	7	2	3.16	48%	-0.01	0	1.52%	0	0.1	49	INF
25	Dec_28_2016	782.38	763.62	766.72	768.21	767.99	771.19	772.13(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	196	30	230	93	3.3	50%		-13.3	1.51%	0	0.9	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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