Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMZN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $764.7200 (0.71%) ($757.2500 - $768.2400) on Tue. Dec. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.59% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $764.7200(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(46%)    IWF(45%)    IVW(44%)    XLK(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $751.73(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $762.7(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $759.07(0.74%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $383.125b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 6.55%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.72%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.32%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2016	779.89	759.07	762.7	751.73	751.15	757.76	764.72(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	304	60	363	126	3.79	54%	0.04	-27	1.59%	0	0.3	61	0
2	Dec_5_2016	779.6	759.91	764.05	751.29	749.7	747.1	759.36(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-30	14	12	4.31	54%	0.03	-28.2	1.61%	0	-0	69	0
3	Dec_2_2016	779.36	759.72	764.24	752.77	753.06	744.55	740.34(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-330	-80	-394	-138	3.56	52%	-0	-31	1.59%	0	-1	53	0
4	Dec_1_2016	779.37	761.13	766.23	760.78	760.32	752.3	743.65(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-391	-80	-474	-140	4.67	52%	0	-32.8	1.59%	0	-1	53	0
5	Nov_30_2016	779.36	762.31	766.99	768.07	769.32	761.58	750.57(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-263	-70	-327	-71	4.63	52%	0	-36.6	1.58%	0	-0.7	44	0

6	Nov_29_2016	779.33	764	766.69	775.02	774.69	768.34	762.52(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-312	-60	-385	-93	3.27	52%	0.01	-37.8	1.57%	0	-0.1	42	0
7	Nov_28_2016	779.25	765.23	762.85	778.52	780.01	777.07	766.77(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-102	-20	-132	-10	4.44	52%	0.03	-42.5	1.57%	0	0.1	44	0
8	Nov_25_2016	779.03	765.65	760.24	777.2	780.41	781.03	780.37(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	20	49	52	1.84	54%	0.11	-54.5	1.56%	0	0.8	57	0
9	Nov_23_2016	778.18	767.18	756.35	772.4	775.1	782.95	780.12(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	207	80	241	104	3.54	54%	0.07	-46.7	1.55%	0	0.5	53	0
10	Nov_22_2016	777.66	768.95	755.06	765.68	768.51	779.8	785.33(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	534	110	631	244	5.31	54%	0.01	-47.3	1.55%	0	0.6	55	0

11	Nov_21_2016	777.58	771.01	754.6	757.26	757.57	767.25	780(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	438	90	524	178	4.61	54%	0.07	-47.8	1.54%	0	0.3	47	0
12	Nov_18_2016	777.04	773.52	754.49	745.07	748.48	757.22	760.16(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	382	100	470	118	4.37	51%	0.06	-53.1	1.52%	0	-0.4	41	0
13	Nov_17_2016	776.59	776.32	753.92	740.84	740.61	747.88	756.4(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	278	70	355	48	3.69	51%	0.05	-56.6	1.51%	0	-0.6	45	0
14	Nov_16_2016	776.17	778.98	754.83	738.04	736.59	739.73	746.49(0.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	93	20	146	-68	3.65	51%	0.05	-60.8	1.51%	0	-1	34	0
15	Nov_15_2016	775.78	782.54	756.75	743.12	739.46	733.34	743.24(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-186	-70	-177	-211	6.76	51%	0.07	-60.1	1.51%	0	-1.2	32	0

16	Nov_14_2016	775.26	786.33	760.87	752.02	747.42	733.45	719.07(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-657	-150	-730	-438	7.32	48%	0.03	-56.9	1.45%	0	-2.1	23	0
17	Nov_11_2016	775.06	791.29	768.18	765.19	761.35	745.58	739.01(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-707	-160	-791	-453	6.62	51%	0.02	-56.5	1.41%	0	-1.8	25	0
18	Nov_10_2016	774.89	795.64	772.2	768.4	771.87	761.4	742.38(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-541	-80	-593	-386	12.75	51%	0.04	-60.3	1.41%	0	-1.9	33	0
19	Nov_9_2016	774.56	800.14	779.71	773.33	773.08	777.13	771.88(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-199	40	-193	-218	8.56	55%	0.07	-62.8	1.33%	0	-1.1	41	0
20	Nov_8_2016	774	803.25	784.47	772.06	773.06	782.35	787.75(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	455	90	579	83	3.41	58%	0.1	-67.3	1.3%	0	-0.6	42	0

21	Nov_7_2016	773.25	805.37	788.69	771.6	770.2	769.04	784.93(3.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	77	-20	133	-90	5.98	58%	0.1	-67.2	1.3%	0	-0.8	41	0
22	Nov_4_2016	772.46	808.15	793.59	772.57	773.12	763.77	755.05(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-451	-80	-489	-335	5.12	53%	0.05	-65.5	1.21%	0	-2	33	0
23	Nov_3_2016	772.08	812.53	800.24	776.83	779.84	771.36	767.03(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-510	-60	-562	-355	3.87	56%	0.07	-67.4	1.2%	0	-1.9	33	0
24	Nov_2_2016	771.55	816.38	804.9	787.09	782.93	782.47	765.56(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-519	-20	-579	-340	5.03	56%	0.06	-58.8	1.2%	0	-2.3	31	0
25	Nov_1_2016	771.08	820.48	810.49	798.5	795.36	788.33	785.41(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-59	-70	-45	-101	5.31	60%		-49.8	1.17%	0	-1.9	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.