Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $780.0000 (2.61%) ($765.1100 - $780.3500) on Mon. Nov. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $780.0000(2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(46%)    IWF(45%)    IVW(44%)    XLK(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $757.26(3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $754.6(3.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $771.01(1.17%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $390.78b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 4.08% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.9%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.4%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.88%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.56%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2016	777.58	771.01	754.6	757.26	757.57	767.25	780(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	438	90	524	178	4.61	54%	0.07	-47.8	1.54%	0	0.3	47	0
2	Nov_18_2016	777.04	773.52	754.49	745.07	748.48	757.22	760.16(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	382	100	470	118	4.37	51%	0.06	-53.1	1.52%	0	-0.4	41	0
3	Nov_17_2016	776.59	776.32	753.92	740.84	740.61	747.88	756.4(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	278	70	355	48	3.69	51%	0.05	-56.6	1.51%	0	-0.6	45	0
4	Nov_16_2016	776.17	778.98	754.83	738.04	736.59	739.73	746.49(0.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	93	20	146	-68	3.65	51%	0.05	-60.8	1.51%	0	-1	34	0
5	Nov_15_2016	775.78	782.54	756.75	743.12	739.46	733.34	743.24(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-186	-70	-177	-211	6.76	51%	0.07	-60.1	1.51%	0	-1.2	32	0

6	Nov_14_2016	775.26	786.33	760.87	752.02	747.42	733.45	719.07(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-657	-150	-730	-438	7.32	48%	0.03	-56.9	1.45%	0	-2.1	23	0
7	Nov_11_2016	775.06	791.29	768.18	765.19	761.35	745.58	739.01(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-707	-160	-791	-453	6.62	51%	0.02	-56.5	1.41%	0	-1.8	25	0
8	Nov_10_2016	774.89	795.64	772.2	768.4	771.87	761.4	742.38(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-541	-80	-593	-386	12.75	51%	0.04	-60.3	1.41%	0	-1.9	33	0
9	Nov_9_2016	774.56	800.14	779.71	773.33	773.08	777.13	771.88(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-199	40	-193	-218	8.56	55%	0.07	-62.8	1.33%	0	-1.1	41	0
10	Nov_8_2016	774	803.25	784.47	772.06	773.06	782.35	787.75(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	455	90	579	83	3.41	58%	0.1	-67.3	1.3%	0	-0.6	42	0

11	Nov_7_2016	773.25	805.37	788.69	771.6	770.2	769.04	784.93(3.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	77	-20	133	-90	5.98	58%	0.1	-67.2	1.3%	0	-0.8	41	0
12	Nov_4_2016	772.46	808.15	793.59	772.57	773.12	763.77	755.05(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-451	-80	-489	-335	5.12	53%	0.05	-65.5	1.21%	0	-2	33	0
13	Nov_3_2016	772.08	812.53	800.24	776.83	779.84	771.36	767.03(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-510	-60	-562	-355	3.87	56%	0.07	-67.4	1.2%	0	-1.9	33	0
14	Nov_2_2016	771.55	816.38	804.9	787.09	782.93	782.47	765.56(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-519	-20	-579	-340	5.03	56%	0.06	-58.8	1.2%	0	-2.3	31	0
15	Nov_1_2016	771.08	820.48	810.49	798.5	795.36	788.33	785.41(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-59	-70	-45	-101	5.31	60%	0.09	-49.8	1.17%	0	-1.9	33	0

16	Oct_31_2016	770.37	823.05	813.96	808.45	804.54	783.39	789.82(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-1003	-200	-1163	-523	5.41	60%	0.09	-34.3	1.17%	0	-2	36	0
17	Oct_28_2016	769.65	825.53	816.59	818.11	817.42	802.4	776.32(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-1155	-130	-1347	-580	10.84	60%	0.07	-9.8	1.16%	0	-3.3	27	0
18	Oct_27_2016	769.15	828.81	821.68	826.64	829.99	825.69	818.36(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-229	-20	-262	-130	7.41	70%	0.12	23.1	0.99%	0	-1	39	0
19	Oct_26_2016	768.23	829.41	822.73	825.03	827.49	832.45	822.59(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	19	50	34	-27	4	70%	0.13	30.5	0.99%	0	-0.7	39	0
20	Oct_25_2016	767.23	829.76	823.77	824.05	823.39	834.29	835.18(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	635	90	763	252	3.25	74%	0.14	44.6	0.97%	0	0.5	42	0

21	Oct_24_2016	766.13	828.85	823.77	820.55	818.59	822.54	838.09(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	508	30	619	176	4.06	74%	0.15	44.1	0.97%	0	0.8	51	0
22	Oct_21_2016	765	827.01	823.14	815.52	815.74	812.49	818.99(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-143	-30	-140	-150	2.79	71%	0.12	39.7	0.93%	0	-0.6	39	0
23	Oct_20_2016	764.08	826.51	825.09	816.31	816.45	814.63	810.32(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-357	-20	-393	-248	3.15	70%	0.12	48.8	0.93%	0	-1.2	32	0
24	Oct_19_2016	763.16	826.44	828.25	820.11	821.05	819	817.69(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-55	-10	-45	-86	2.09	70%	0.13	61.9	0.92%	0	-0.6	44	0
25	Oct_18_2016	762.2	825.28	830.9	823.39	823.39	818.27	817.65(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-341	-40	-388	-200	2.51	70%		65.9	0.92%	0	-0.4	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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