Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $787.7500 (0.36%) ($779.1000 - $791.7399) on Tue. Nov. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $787.7500(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(46%)    IWF(45%)    IVW(44%)    SKYY(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $803.25
5 Day Moving Average   $772.06(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $784.47(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $803.25(-1.93%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $394.663b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 3.12% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.45%(67%) Average negative next day return: 0%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.35%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 8.35%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.58%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2016	774	803.25	784.47	772.06	773.06	782.35	787.75(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	455	90	579	83	3.41	58%	0.1	-67.3	1.3%	0	-0.6	42	0
2	Nov_7_2016	773.25	805.37	788.69	771.6	770.2	769.04	784.93(3.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	77	-20	133	-90	5.98	58%	0.1	-67.2	1.3%	0	-0.8	41	0
3	Nov_4_2016	772.46	808.15	793.59	772.57	773.12	763.77	755.05(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-451	-80	-489	-335	5.12	53%	0.05	-65.5	1.21%	0	-2	33	0
4	Nov_3_2016	772.08	812.53	800.24	776.83	779.84	771.36	767.03(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-510	-60	-562	-355	3.87	56%	0.07	-67.4	1.2%	0	-1.9	33	0
5	Nov_2_2016	771.55	816.38	804.9	787.09	782.93	782.47	765.56(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-519	-20	-579	-340	5.03	56%	0.06	-58.8	1.2%	0	-2.3	31	0

6	Nov_1_2016	771.08	820.48	810.49	798.5	795.36	788.33	785.41(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-59	-70	-45	-101	5.31	60%	0.09	-49.8	1.17%	0	-1.9	33	0
7	Oct_31_2016	770.37	823.05	813.96	808.45	804.54	783.39	789.82(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-1003	-200	-1163	-523	5.41	60%	0.09	-34.3	1.17%	0	-2	36	0
8	Oct_28_2016	769.65	825.53	816.59	818.11	817.42	802.4	776.32(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-1155	-130	-1347	-580	10.84	60%	0.07	-9.8	1.16%	0	-3.3	27	0
9	Oct_27_2016	769.15	828.81	821.68	826.64	829.99	825.69	818.36(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-229	-20	-262	-130	7.41	70%	0.12	23.1	0.99%	0	-1	39	0
10	Oct_26_2016	768.23	829.41	822.73	825.03	827.49	832.45	822.59(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	19	50	34	-27	4	70%	0.13	30.5	0.99%	0	-0.7	39	0

11	Oct_25_2016	767.23	829.76	823.77	824.05	823.39	834.29	835.18(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	635	90	763	252	3.25	74%	0.14	44.6	0.97%	0	0.5	42	0
12	Oct_24_2016	766.13	828.85	823.77	820.55	818.59	822.54	838.09(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	508	30	619	176	4.06	74%	0.15	44.1	0.97%	0	0.8	51	0
13	Oct_21_2016	765	827.01	823.14	815.52	815.74	812.49	818.99(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-143	-30	-140	-150	2.79	71%	0.12	39.7	0.93%	0	-0.6	39	0
14	Oct_20_2016	764.08	826.51	825.09	816.31	816.45	814.63	810.32(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-357	-20	-393	-248	3.15	70%	0.12	48.8	0.93%	0	-1.2	32	0
15	Oct_19_2016	763.16	826.44	828.25	820.11	821.05	819	817.69(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-55	-10	-45	-86	2.09	70%	0.13	61.9	0.92%	0	-0.6	44	0

16	Oct_18_2016	762.2	825.28	830.9	823.39	823.39	818.27	817.65(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-341	-40	-388	-200	2.51	70%	0.07	65.9	0.92%	0	-0.4	44	0
17	Oct_17_2016	761.64	823.68	832.68	826.06	827	823.11	812.95(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-395	-30	-458	-204	3.36	70%	0.14	66	0.92%	0	-0.5	52	0
18	Oct_14_2016	760.61	822.1	835.26	831.81	831.6	828.5	822.96(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-205	-30	-250	-69	3	74%	0.14	69.3	0.91%	0	0	69	0
19	Oct_13_2016	759.51	820.09	836.83	835.1	834.95	830.89	829.28(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-267	-30	-334	-64	3.09	74%	0.16	70.9	0.91%	0	0.4	67	0
20	Oct_12_2016	758.27	817.31	836.98	837.58	838.54	834.69	834.09(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-246	-30	-319	-27	2.38	74%	0.17	65.3	0.91%	0	0.6	70	0

21	Oct_11_2016	756.95	813.84	836.56	839.63	840.87	839.01	831(-1.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-161	-10	-230	47	3.59	74%	0.18	60.3	0.92%	0	0.6	75	0
22	Oct_10_2016	755.58	810.5	835.34	840.24	842.27	842.38	841.71(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	70	10	31	188	1.83	77%	0.19	55.9	0.9%	0	1.1	85	0
23	Oct_7_2016	754.16	806.99	831.35	839.24	840.84	842.72	839.43(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	118	20	82	225	2.43	77%	0.19	54.3	0.91%	0	1.1	86	0
24	Oct_6_2016	752.72	803.07	828.13	838.82	839.3	842.17	841.66(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	264	30	247	315	2.68	77%	0.2	54.4	0.91%	0	1.3	84	0
25	Oct_5_2016	751.25	800.04	824.48	836.3	837.36	838.96	844.36(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	260	20	237	329	3.47	77%		57.6	0.92%	0	1.6	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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