Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $818.3600 (-0.51%) ($815.4300 - $831.7200) on Thu. Oct. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $818.3600(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(46%)    IWF(45%)    IVW(44%)    XLK(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $828.81
5 Day Moving Average   $826.64(-1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $821.68(-0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $828.81(-1.26%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $409.998b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.15%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.36%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 7.67%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.14%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 6.74%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.02%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2016	769.15	828.81	821.68	826.64	829.99	825.69	818.36(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-229	-20	-262	-130	7.41	70%	0.12	23.1	0.99%	0	-1	39	0
2	Oct_26_2016	768.23	829.41	822.73	825.03	827.49	832.45	822.59(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	19	50	34	-27	4	70%	0.13	30.5	0.99%	0	-0.7	39	0
3	Oct_25_2016	767.23	829.76	823.77	824.05	823.39	834.29	835.18(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	635	90	763	252	3.25	74%	0.14	44.6	0.97%	0	0.5	42	0
4	Oct_24_2016	766.13	828.85	823.77	820.55	818.59	822.54	838.09(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	508	30	619	176	4.06	74%	0.15	44.1	0.97%	0	0.8	51	0
5	Oct_21_2016	765	827.01	823.14	815.52	815.74	812.49	818.99(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-143	-30	-140	-150	2.79	71%	0.12	39.7	0.93%	0	-0.6	39	0

6	Oct_20_2016	764.08	826.51	825.09	816.31	816.45	814.63	810.32(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-357	-20	-393	-248	3.15	70%	0.12	48.8	0.93%	0	-1.2	32	0
7	Oct_19_2016	763.16	826.44	828.25	820.11	821.05	819	817.69(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-55	-10	-45	-86	2.09	70%	0.13	61.9	0.92%	0	-0.6	44	0
8	Oct_18_2016	762.2	825.28	830.9	823.39	823.39	818.27	817.65(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-341	-40	-388	-200	2.51	70%	0.07	65.9	0.92%	0	-0.4	44	0
9	Oct_17_2016	761.64	823.68	832.68	826.06	827	823.11	812.95(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-395	-30	-458	-204	3.36	70%	0.14	66	0.92%	0	-0.5	52	0
10	Oct_14_2016	760.61	822.1	835.26	831.81	831.6	828.5	822.96(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-205	-30	-250	-69	3	74%	0.14	69.3	0.91%	0	0	69	0

11	Oct_13_2016	759.51	820.09	836.83	835.1	834.95	830.89	829.28(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-267	-30	-334	-64	3.09	74%	0.16	70.9	0.91%	0	0.4	67	0
12	Oct_12_2016	758.27	817.31	836.98	837.58	838.54	834.69	834.09(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-246	-30	-319	-27	2.38	74%	0.17	65.3	0.91%	0	0.6	70	0
13	Oct_11_2016	756.95	813.84	836.56	839.63	840.87	839.01	831(-1.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-161	-10	-230	47	3.59	74%	0.18	60.3	0.92%	0	0.6	75	0
14	Oct_10_2016	755.58	810.5	835.34	840.24	842.27	842.38	841.71(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	70	10	31	188	1.83	77%	0.19	55.9	0.9%	0	1.1	85	0
15	Oct_7_2016	754.16	806.99	831.35	839.24	840.84	842.72	839.43(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	118	20	82	225	2.43	77%	0.19	54.3	0.91%	0	1.1	86	0

16	Oct_6_2016	752.72	803.07	828.13	838.82	839.3	842.17	841.66(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	264	30	247	315	2.68	77%	0.2	54.4	0.91%	0	1.3	84	0
17	Oct_5_2016	751.25	800.04	824.48	836.3	837.36	838.96	844.36(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	260	20	237	329	3.47	77%	0.2	57.6	0.92%	0	1.6	87	0
18	Oct_4_2016	749.73	796.85	819.1	833.17	834.57	836.43	834.03(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	196	20	156	314	2.95	76%	0.17	62.2	0.91%	0	1.4	87	0
19	Oct_3_2016	748.47	794.41	813.9	829.59	831.22	835.77	836.74(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	409	40	407	416	2.77	76%	0.17	64.4	0.92%	0	1.7	89	0
20	Sep_30_2016	747.18	791.05	807.82	822.07	824.46	832.71	837.31(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	583	80	620	473	4.43	76%	0.16	61.3	0.93%	0	2	79	0

21	Sep_29_2016	745.96	787.54	801.85	815.76	815.82	826.67	829.05(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	724	90	788	533	4.92	75%	0.16	63	0.92%	0	2	80	0
22	Sep_28_2016	744.78	784.39	795.88	810.89	809.52	816.2	828.72(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	741	50	816	514	4.42	78%	0.17	66.1	0.93%	0	2.4	64	0
23	Sep_27_2016	743.5	781.15	789.04	803.09	803.6	804.97	816.11(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	301	10	314	260	3.82	76%	0.19	66.5	0.95%	0	2.2	61	0
24	Sep_26_2016	742.1	778.75	783.45	795.91	797.79	802.85	799.16(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	214	50	227	176	2.65	74%	0.17	66.9	0.94%	0	1.5	53	0
25	Sep_23_2016	740.83	777.17	780.59	791.1	792.13	802.23	805.75(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	595	90	683	332	2.35	63%		65	1.02%	0	2.3	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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