Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $817.6500 (0.58%) ($815.0200 - $823.2600) on Tue. Oct. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $817.6500(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(46%)    IWF(45%)    IVW(44%)    SKYY(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $825.28
5 Day Moving Average   $823.39(-0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $830.9(-1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $825.28(-0.92%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $409.643b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.41%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.84%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.01%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.45%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2016	762.2	825.28	830.9	823.39	823.39	818.27	817.65(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-341	-40	-388	-200	2.51	70%	0.07	65.9	0.92%	0	-0.4	44	INF
2	Oct_17_2016	761.64	823.68	832.68	826.06	827	823.11	812.95(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-395	-30	-458	-204	3.36	70%	0.14	66	0.92%	0	-0.5	52	INF
3	Oct_14_2016	760.61	822.1	835.26	831.81	831.6	828.5	822.96(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-205	-30	-250	-69	3	74%	0.14	69.3	0.91%	0	0	69	INF
4	Oct_13_2016	759.51	820.09	836.83	835.1	834.95	830.89	829.28(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-267	-30	-334	-64	3.09	74%	0.16	70.9	0.91%	0	0.4	67	INF
5	Oct_12_2016	758.27	817.31	836.98	837.58	838.54	834.69	834.09(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-246	-30	-319	-27	2.38	74%	0.17	65.3	0.91%	0	0.6	70	INF

6	Oct_11_2016	756.95	813.84	836.56	839.63	840.87	839.01	831(-1.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-161	-10	-230	47	3.59	74%	0.18	60.3	0.92%	0	0.6	75	INF
7	Oct_10_2016	755.58	810.5	835.34	840.24	842.27	842.38	841.71(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	70	10	31	188	1.83	77%	0.19	55.9	0.9%	0	1.1	85	INF
8	Oct_7_2016	754.16	806.99	831.35	839.24	840.84	842.72	839.43(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	118	20	82	225	2.43	77%	0.19	54.3	0.91%	0	1.1	86	INF
9	Oct_6_2016	752.72	803.07	828.13	838.82	839.3	842.17	841.66(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	264	30	247	315	2.68	77%	0.2	54.4	0.91%	0	1.3	84	INF
10	Oct_5_2016	751.25	800.04	824.48	836.3	837.36	838.96	844.36(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	260	20	237	329	3.47	77%	0.2	57.6	0.92%	0	1.6	87	INF

11	Oct_4_2016	749.73	796.85	819.1	833.17	834.57	836.43	834.03(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	196	20	156	314	2.95	76%	0.17	62.2	0.91%	0	1.4	87	INF
12	Oct_3_2016	748.47	794.41	813.9	829.59	831.22	835.77	836.74(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	409	40	407	416	2.77	76%	0.17	64.4	0.92%	0	1.7	89	INF
13	Sep_30_2016	747.18	791.05	807.82	822.07	824.46	832.71	837.31(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	583	80	620	473	4.43	76%	0.16	61.3	0.93%	0	2	79	INF
14	Sep_29_2016	745.96	787.54	801.85	815.76	815.82	826.67	829.05(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	724	90	788	533	4.92	75%	0.16	63	0.92%	0	2	80	INF
15	Sep_28_2016	744.78	784.39	795.88	810.89	809.52	816.2	828.72(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	741	50	816	514	4.42	78%	0.17	66.1	0.93%	0	2.4	64	INF

16	Sep_27_2016	743.5	781.15	789.04	803.09	803.6	804.97	816.11(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	301	10	314	260	3.82	76%	0.19	66.5	0.95%	0	2.2	61	INF
17	Sep_26_2016	742.1	778.75	783.45	795.91	797.79	802.85	799.16(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	214	50	227	176	2.65	74%	0.17	66.9	0.94%	0	1.5	53	INF
18	Sep_23_2016	740.83	777.17	780.59	791.1	792.13	802.23	805.75(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	595	90	683	332	2.35	63%	0.2	65	1.02%	0	2.3	63	INF
19	Sep_22_2016	739.33	774.77	775.91	785.66	785.21	792.73	804.7(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	605	70	703	310	4.08	63%	0.19	58.2	1.04%	0	2.6	63	INF
20	Sep_21_2016	737.96	772.31	773.4	778.65	779.26	782.04	789.74(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	325	30	379	162	2.72	60%	0.16	45.2	1.02%	0	1.8	59	INF

21	Sep_20_2016	736.76	770.89	772.56	772.92	774.1	777.7	780.22(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	159	40	188	72	1.94	58%	0.13	30.4	1.01%	0	1.1	57	INF
22	Sep_19_2016	735.77	769.86	773.18	769.08	770.11	776.49	775.1(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	326	60	385	147	2.3	58%	0.16	13.9	1.02%	0	0.6	52	INF
23	Sep_16_2016	734.59	769	772.9	768.36	767.03	770.51	778.52(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	354	30	419	160	5.5	58%	0.25	4.2	1.04%	0	1	55	INF
24	Sep_15_2016	732.79	768.27	772.07	764.68	764.13	763.72	769.69(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-35	-10	-36	-30	3.04	55%	0.23	-11.2	1.03%	0	0.2	57	INF
25	Sep_14_2016	731.13	768.02	772.08	767.56	765.4	763.55	761.09(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-184	-30	-217	-83	2.53	53%		-4.3	1.03%	0	-0.8	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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