Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $598.6900 (0.81%) ($595.0000 - $603.2400) on Wed. Mar. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.76% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $598.6900(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(46%)    IVW(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    UNG(-2%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.38% (StdDev 2.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $585(2.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $573.29(4.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $571.23(4.81%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   24.2%
Market Cap   $299.944b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 2.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 34 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(44%) Sample size 34 Average positive next three day return: 1.36%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.3%(62%) Sample size 34 Average positive next weekly return: 1.43%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.96%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2016	604.04	571.23	573.29	585	585.33	592.5	598.69(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	227	90	256	139	3.89	36%	-0.11	54.8	2.76%	0	2.2	69	INF
2	Mar_29_2016	604.68	570.04	570.76	577.36	577.05	583.87	593.86(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	180	80	204	109	4.39	38%	-0.11	54.2	2.76%	0	2.2	67	INF
3	Mar_28_2016	605.33	567.93	568.4	569.38	568.74	578.16	579.87(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	206	110	238	109	3.12	40%	-0.22	33.5	2.76%	0	1.2	60	INF
4	Mar_24_2016	606.69	566.69	567.22	563.82	560.75	570.24	582.95(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	218	100	256	103	5.19	40%	-0.1	27.1	2.78%	0	1.6	52	INF
5	Mar_23_2016	607.29	565.27	564.71	559.12	555.8	559.33	569.63(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	123	30	149	44	3.98	40%	-0.1	29.4	2.76%	0	0.5	43	INF

6	Mar_22_2016	607.87	564.53	563.69	560.05	555.43	551.26	560.48(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-77	-80	-84	-55	4	40%	-0.12	40.8	2.75%	0	-0.4	36	INF
7	Mar_21_2016	608.58	564.23	563.75	563.36	561.06	552.27	553.98(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-181	-120	-207	-104	5.16	40%	-0.12	65.7	2.74%	0	-1	31	INF
8	Mar_18_2016	609.33	564.59	564.76	567.24	567.29	559.6	552.08(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-200	-90	-232	-103	7.3	40%	-0.13	88.2	2.74%	0	-1.1	53	INF
9	Mar_17_2016	610.1	563.96	567.11	570.74	570.97	569.84	559.44(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-87	-10	-103	-37	5.93	40%	-0.1	91.5	2.74%	0	-0.3	55	INF
10	Mar_16_2016	610.7	562.46	568.91	570.64	571.85	574.99	574.27(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	88	40	100	52	3.54	42%	-0.06	95.5	2.72%	0	0.8	64	INF

11	Mar_15_2016	611.08	560.53	569.32	567.68	567.92	572.11	577.02(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	99	50	112	60	3.88	42%	-0.05	95.4	2.75%	0	1	67	INF
12	Mar_14_2016	611.41	557.84	569.34	564.33	563.73	568.71	573.37(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	60	118	64	3.45	43%	-0.04	101	2.74%	0	0.9	66	INF
13	Mar_11_2016	611.68	554.69	567.38	562.21	561.48	563.74	569.61(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	80	20	91	47	3.77	42%	0.01	85.8	2.77%	0	0.8	57	INF
14	Mar_10_2016	611.62	551.57	566.04	563.32	561.24	558.76	558.93(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-40	-59	-4	3.92	42%	0	71.7	2.78%	0	0.3	67	INF
15	Mar_9_2016	611.59	548.41	565.85	567.03	565.5	559.22	559.47(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-108	-90	-139	-16	4.38	41%	-0	59.5	2.78%	0	0.4	72	INF

16	Mar_8_2016	611.6	544.81	565.5	571.18	570.43	563.72	560.26(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-156	-90	-200	-23	4.73	41%	-0.02	45.6	2.79%	0	0.5	65	INF
17	Mar_7_2016	611.74	541.39	564.95	574.94	575.21	571.77	562.8(-2.15%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-63	-40	-97	39	4.93	41%	-0.01	33.6	2.8%	0	0.7	71	INF
18	Mar_4_2016	611.82	538.42	564.69	572.88	575.52	577.14	575.14(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	30	35	109	3.42	41%	0.02	19	2.79%	0	1.2	81	INF
19	Mar_3_2016	611.69	536.25	560.82	568.9	570.22	578.64	577.49(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	146	110	142	157	2.74	41%	0.06	1.4	2.79%	0	1.4	83	INF
20	Mar_2_2016	611.35	533.7	555.71	564.43	565.38	573.91	580.21(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	277	110	295	224	4.58	41%	0.05	-11	2.79%	0	1.6	86	INF

21	Mar_1_2016	611.02	531.91	551	559.2	558.8	561.8	579.04(4.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	158	40	151	177	5.04	42%	0.05	-25.3	2.79%	0	1.8	87	INF
22	Feb_29_2016	610.72	531.19	545.14	553.98	553.59	556.86	552.52(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	54	40	27	135	4.15	39%	0.02	-34.9	2.72%	0	0.8	79	INF
23	Feb_26_2016	610.59	532.49	540.87	555.37	552.77	555.8	555.23(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	140	20	125	184	4.88	39%	0.04	-32.7	2.72%	0	0.8	70	INF
24	Feb_25_2016	610.36	535.83	535.9	551.31	551.05	550.32	555.15(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	108	-10	93	151	4.53	39%	0.02	-22.1	2.74%	0	0.5	54	INF
25	Feb_24_2016	610.22	536.88	529.63	545.28	544.27	549.74	554.04(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	60	7	89	6.23	39%		-24.7	2.74%	0	0.5	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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