Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $596.5300 (0.03%) ($594.5600 - $608.5000) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $596.5300(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(46%)    IVW(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    UNG(-2%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $618.26
5 Day Moving Average   $582.84(2.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $589(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $618.26(-3.51%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $298.862b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 6.38% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.75%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 11.45%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -2.18%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 8.07%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.57%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2016	607.17	618.26	589	582.84	583.39	595.86	596.53(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	315	150	400	59	4.4	44%	0.17	-51.3	1.93%	0	-0.6	35	0
2	Jan_22_2016	606.16	621.53	589.8	577.57	577.42	584.37	596.38(3.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	301	80	394	21	5.12	50%	0.16	-55.6	2.08%	0	-0.6	27	0
3	Jan_21_2016	605.2	624.83	590.71	576.89	572.61	570.92	575.02(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-68	-40	-28	-188	4.95	47%	0.11	-55.1	2.03%	0	-1.2	17	0
4	Jan_20_2016	604.53	629.41	596.27	578.25	575.09	570.47	571.77(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-253	-70	-239	-294	7.97	47%	0.13	-55.2	2.04%	0	-1.4	15	0
5	Jan_19_2016	603.75	634.2	602.42	587.47	583.9	574.3	574.48(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-311	-130	-309	-317	4.81	47%	0.25	-49.3	2.06%	0	-1.6	24	0

6	Jan_15_2016	602.23	639.19	608.69	596.12	595.11	579.72	570.18(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-464	-190	-491	-382	7.78	50%	0.09	-46.3	2.05%	0	-1.9	28	0
7	Jan_14_2016	601.69	644.7	619.09	603.5	604.88	593.51	593(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-492	-120	-529	-379	7.24	53%	0.16	-44.2	2.02%	0	-1.6	31	0
8	Jan_13_2016	600.74	648.23	628.35	606.49	611.85	610.51	581.81(-5.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-223	10	-217	-239	7.66	53%	0.2	-47.1	2.01%	0	-2.2	27	0
9	Jan_12_2016	599.55	652.38	639.52	616.65	615.74	616.25	617.89(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	5	0	43	-108	4.72	59%	0.27	-47.3	1.87%	0	-1.3	34	0
10	Jan_11_2016	597.96	653.77	645.2	619.83	617.82	613.19	617.74(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-170	-60	-167	-180	4.89	59%	0.21	-52.2	1.88%	0	-1.4	34	0

11	Jan_8_2016	596.69	656.17	649.9	623.68	624.49	615.23	607.05(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-315	-100	-338	-244	5.51	59%	0.16	-52.1	1.87%	0	-2.1	27	0
12	Jan_7_2016	595.75	659.31	655.99	637.45	632.09	622.46	607.94(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-515	-130	-583	-312	7.07	59%	0.13	-44.7	1.89%	0	-2.5	26	0
13	Jan_6_2016	594.97	662.98	662.04	653.68	648.38	633.75	632.65(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-432	-180	-497	-236	5.33	64%	0.17	-29.7	1.81%	0	-1.8	42	0
14	Jan_5_2016	593.97	664.98	665.58	665.94	663.88	641.71	633.79(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-677	-240	-796	-319	5.82	64%	0.17	-9.2	1.82%	0	-2	43	0
15	Jan_4_2016	592.95	667.07	669.02	674.22	675.83	663.01	636.99(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-624	-130	-744	-265	9.31	64%	0.29	6.5	1.83%	0	-2.2	53	0

16	Dec_31_2015	591.23	668.71	672.75	679.38	682.28	686.05	675.89(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	50	10	60	3.75	74%	0.26	17.3	1.68%	0	0.6	56	0
17	Dec_30_2015	589.7	668.63	672.66	676.95	677.64	688.64	689.07(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	386	120	438	231	3.52	79%	0.28	13.1	1.66%	0	1.8	60	0
18	Dec_29_2015	588.05	667.96	669.55	671.76	670.81	678.5	693.97(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	398	80	459	215	5.73	79%	0.3	0.6	1.69%	0	2.5	54	0
19	Dec_28_2015	586.32	666.36	665.76	665.87	665.27	666.65	675.2(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	114	10	131	61	3.78	71%	0.36	-20	1.69%	0	1	52	0
20	Dec_24_2015	584.2	666.18	662.39	663.66	664.03	663.11	662.79(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10	-48	-32	1.09	69%	0.22	-21.9	1.77%	0	-0.4	45	0

21	Dec_23_2015	582.93	666.78	662.33	665.23	665.42	663.89	663.7(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-77	-20	-87	-45	2.72	69%	0.23	-10.7	1.77%	0	-0.4	49	0
22	Dec_22_2015	581.6	667.15	662.4	667.64	668.57	664.95	663.15(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-65	-30	-74	-38	2.67	69%	0.22	11.5	1.77%	0	-0.5	44	0
23	Dec_21_2015	580.3	667.91	663.65	666.74	669.71	666.95	664.51(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-118	-20	-135	-66	3.25	69%	0.22	23.7	1.79%	0	-0.4	43	0
24	Dec_18_2015	579.01	668.12	664.11	665.42	669.13	672.2	664.14(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	68	50	84	20	6.84	69%	0.22	33.6	1.8%	0	-0.4	51	0
25	Dec_17_2015	577.72	668.04	664.88	660.62	664.11	672.48	670.65(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	250	100	302	93	3.68	69%		16.2	1.79%	0	0.3	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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