Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMZN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $628.3500 (0.39%) ($620.4100 - $628.6300) on Mon. Nov. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $628.3500(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(46%)    XLY(46%)    IVW(45%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $621.78(1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $601.32(4.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $576.95(8.91%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   35.6%
Market Cap   $314.803b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 5.66% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 4.63%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -3.62%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 3.84%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.5%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2015	511.86	576.95	601.32	621.78	622.23	626.55	628.35(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	133	50	111	197	2.82	59%	0.39	82.2	2.18%	0	1.6	81	INF
2	Oct_30_2015	509.86	572.57	595.72	617.83	618.19	624.39	625.9(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	239	70	235	251	3.87	59%	0.38	89	2.18%	0	1.7	80	INF
3	Oct_29_2015	507.91	567.78	590.06	612.46	612.51	617.91	626.55(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	213	60	203	242	3.9	59%	0.39	89.3	2.18%	0	1.9	82	INF
4	Oct_28_2015	505.93	562.38	583.45	599.93	609.03	612	617.1(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	297	80	307	266	3.93	59%	0.38	79.6	2.18%	0	1.9	82	INF
5	Oct_27_2015	504	557.05	576.17	587.67	596.3	607.11	611.01(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	210	170	214	199	3.79	59%	0.38	64.1	2.18%	0	1.9	75	INF

6	Oct_26_2015	502.1	551.29	569.78	577.64	583.65	606.07	608.61(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	548	300	617	341	4.27	59%	0.37	49.7	2.18%	0	2.1	76	INF
7	Oct_23_2015	500.27	545.96	563.64	570.55	573.91	585.49	599.03(6.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	533	160	606	312	10.69	66%	0.34	40	2.47%	0	2.2	70	INF
8	Oct_22_2015	498.57	542.01	557.51	564.89	565.08	561.23	563.91(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-13	-50	-34	50	7.78	62%	0.26	35.4	2.37%	0	1.1	66	INF
9	Oct_21_2015	497.28	540.41	554.59	564.6	566.01	562.32	555.77(-0.91%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-87	-40	-123	21	3.36	62%	0.25	35.5	2.36%	0	0.8	68	INF
10	Oct_20_2015	496.02	539.35	553.31	562.41	564.93	568.93	560.88(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	58	60	45	97	4.35	62%	0.26	35.2	2.36%	0	1.1	73	INF

11	Oct_19_2015	494.71	538.09	551.02	560.02	560.37	569.7	573.15(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	256	120	274	203	4.38	62%	0.29	36.9	2.34%	0	1.9	83	INF
12	Oct_16_2015	493.26	536.58	547.86	555.42	554.19	560.93	570.76(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	271	80	289	217	4.32	64%	0.3	40.5	2.35%	0	2	77	INF
13	Oct_15_2015	491.8	534.84	543.9	549.23	548.78	551.04	562.44(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	144	30	143	147	4.94	64%	0.27	37.5	2.37%	0	1.8	63	INF
14	Oct_14_2015	490.48	533.47	539.72	543.38	544.17	547.45	544.83(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	76	50	68	98	3.58	63%	0.25	34.6	2.35%	0	0.8	53	INF
15	Oct_13_2015	489.27	532.56	536.63	542.8	540.48	546.53	548.9(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	145	70	153	121	2.94	65%	0.12	37.9	2.35%	0	1.2	54	INF

16	Oct_12_2015	488.66	531.19	531.59	540.51	538.19	540.89	550.19(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	135	20	148	96	2.78	65%	0.26	36	2.37%	0	1.4	53	INF
17	Oct_9_2015	487.41	529.69	527.01	539.21	537.38	534.44	539.8(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-24	-50	-32	2	3.54	65%	0.23	43.3	2.37%	0	0.8	45	INF
18	Oct_8_2015	486.31	529.12	525.3	537.76	538.39	535.48	533.16(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-30	-64	-22	4.68	65%	0.23	49.8	2.37%	0	0.3	47	INF
19	Oct_7_2015	485.19	528.58	525.17	535.27	535.71	540.32	541.94(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	60	65	20	3.81	65%	0.25	48.2	2.37%	0	1	50	INF
20	Oct_6_2015	483.96	527.31	524.26	529.26	529.7	541.3	537.48(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	281	160	336	116	4.55	65%	0.24	43.4	2.37%	0	0.8	54	INF

21	Oct_5_2015	482.82	526.31	524.05	520.98	521.2	531.1	543.68(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	343	130	413	132	3.39	65%	0.25	27.2	2.37%	0	1.3	58	INF
22	Oct_2_2015	481.62	524.12	524.04	513.06	511.29	518.09	532.54(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	145	80	183	30	4.6	65%	0.21	3.5	2.38%	0	0.6	55	INF
23	Oct_1_2015	480.6	522.78	524.56	511.4	508.32	511.29	520.72(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	59	20	82	-12	3.77	65%	0.2	-4.1	2.36%	0	-0.1	47	INF
24	Sep_30_2015	479.64	522.35	526.3	514	512.85	504.48	511.89(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-91	-120	-98	-71	4	65%	0.17	4	2.36%	0	-0.7	47	INF
25	Sep_29_2015	478.81	521.77	528.03	518.84	518.47	505.34	496.07(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-404	-180	-471	-203	4.46	63%		21.9	2.33%	0	-1.7	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.