Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $543.6800 (2.09%) ($536.0000 - $545.9100) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $543.6800(2.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(46%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $520.98(4.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $524.05(3.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $526.31(3.3%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   26.5%
Market Cap   $272.384b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.37%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.66%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.51%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2015	482.82	526.31	524.05	520.98	521.2	531.1	543.68(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	343	130	413	132	3.39	65%	0.25	27.2	2.37%	0	1.3	58	0
2	Oct_2_2015	481.62	524.12	524.04	513.06	511.29	518.09	532.54(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	145	80	183	30	4.6	65%	0.21	3.5	2.38%	0	0.6	55	0
3	Oct_1_2015	480.6	522.78	524.56	511.4	508.32	511.29	520.72(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	59	20	82	-12	3.77	65%	0.2	-4.1	2.36%	0	-0.1	47	0
4	Sep_30_2015	479.64	522.35	526.3	514	512.85	504.48	511.89(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-91	-120	-98	-71	4	65%	0.17	4	2.36%	0	-0.7	47	0
5	Sep_29_2015	478.81	521.77	528.03	518.84	518.47	505.34	496.07(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-404	-180	-471	-203	4.46	63%	0.13	21.9	2.33%	0	-1.7	43	0

6	Sep_28_2015	478.17	522.81	531.12	527.31	527.56	521.21	504.06(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-278	-80	-330	-122	5.43	63%	0.15	56.4	2.33%	0	-1.3	46	0
7	Sep_25_2015	477.45	523.63	533.28	536.17	534.79	531.59	524.25(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-72	-50	-98	7	4.03	68%	0.21	86.2	2.28%	0	0	68	0
8	Sep_24_2015	476.46	523.35	533.95	539.37	537.98	533.91	533.75(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-83	-60	-117	21	3.5	68%	0.25	94.7	2.26%	0	0.8	68	0
9	Sep_23_2015	475.29	521.75	532.91	540.4	539.9	537.99	536.07(-0.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-47	-30	-78	47	2.24	69%	0.25	83.9	2.27%	0	1	65	0
10	Sep_22_2015	474.11	518.47	531.1	538.66	539.27	542.05	538.4(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	70	40	58	107	3.84	69%	0.25	46.3	2.28%	0	1.1	72	0

11	Sep_21_2015	472.94	514.88	529.05	535.46	535.63	541.82	548.39(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	193	80	203	161	3.28	69%	0.27	20.4	2.26%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Sep_18_2015	471.66	512.09	524.16	530.05	529.92	536.48	540.26(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	184	90	200	137	6.16	70%	0.26	5.4	2.27%	0	1.4	59	0
13	Sep_17_2015	470.45	510.67	520.59	527.89	526.76	529.45	538.87(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	157	30	171	114	4.17	70%	0.24	-0.8	2.28%	0	1.5	58	0
14	Sep_16_2015	469.33	510.08	517.62	524.56	524.33	523.37	527.39(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10	3	43	2.25	70%	0.21	-4.2	2.27%	0	0.9	62	0
15	Sep_15_2015	468.33	510.22	514.62	522.46	523.22	524.07	522.37(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-5	20	-21	43	2.87	70%	0.18	-5.5	2.27%	0	0.7	72	0

16	Sep_14_2015	467.47	510.66	513.58	521.5	522.91	525.3	521.38(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	114	40	112	118	3.13	70%	0.16	-4.2	2.28%	0	0.6	73	0
17	Sep_11_2015	466.7	511	513.1	517.02	519.87	522.36	529.44(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	133	50	135	127	3.23	70%	0.31	-8.5	2.28%	0	0.9	60	0
18	Sep_10_2015	465.27	510.8	511.73	512.08	513.28	520.53	522.24(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	106	110	107	104	2.58	70%	0.29	-15.5	2.27%	0	0.6	51	0
19	Sep_9_2015	463.92	510.84	509.57	509.74	510.74	517.37	516.89(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	272	100	308	163	4.37	70%	0.28	-21.4	2.27%	0	0.3	45	0
20	Sep_8_2015	462.64	511.26	504.85	505.67	506.88	506.03	517.54(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	-0	89	32	3.81	70%	0.47	-27.7	2.27%	0	0.3	45	0

21	Sep_4_2015	460.47	511.48	499.68	504.74	503.51	504.1	499(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-130	0	-141	-97	2.69	68%	0.25	-32.1	2.22%	0	-0.6	40	0
22	Sep_3_2015	459.32	512.68	499.28	508.54	507.42	507.73	504.72(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	53	-0	76	-18	3.15	68%	0.27	-30.1	2.23%	0	-0.4	43	0
23	Sep_2_2015	458.1	513.89	500.14	511.27	509.45	502.92	510.55(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-117	-100	-123	-97	3.71	68%	0.28	-27.7	2.22%	0	-0.2	45	0
24	Sep_1_2015	456.83	515.11	501.92	509.32	511.83	507.12	496.54(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-152	-50	-163	-117	3.86	67%	0.25	-28.7	2.2%	0	-0.9	42	0
25	Aug_31_2015	455.68	516.91	505.5	503.28	509.84	515.98	512.89(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	97	120	134	-14	3	71%		-35.8	2.16%	0	-0.2	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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