Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. May. 29, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $437.3900 (0.76%) ($435.5800 - $440.0000) on Wed. Jul. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.12% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $437.3900(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)    SPY(40%)    VT(40%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.06% (StdDev 2.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $435.91(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $437.61(-0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $433.05(1%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $219.132b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 2.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.09%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.15%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.06%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2015	403.91	433.05	437.61	435.91	435.99	435.83	437.39(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	-0	57	45	1.99	89%	0.16	21.6	2.12%	0	0.7	54	INF
2	Jun_30_2015	403.25	432.96	436.75	436.6	436.35	433.15	434.09(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-88	-50	-110	-20	2.6	89%	0.16	29.9	2.11%	0	0.2	54	INF
3	Jun_29_2015	402.61	432.81	436.19	438.98	438.74	436.16	429.86(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-86	-40	-111	-10	2.75	89%	0.14	45.3	2.11%	0	-0.5	56	INF
4	Jun_26_2015	402.04	432.89	435.77	440.26	440.7	439.56	438.1(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	-20	-30	28	2.62	89%	0.16	54.7	2.1%	0	0.9	64	INF
5	Jun_25_2015	401.38	432.43	434.98	439.63	439.97	441.32	440.1(-0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	20	-8	37	2.24	89%	0.19	50.4	2.1%	0	1.3	61	INF

6	Jun_24_2015	400.61	431.74	434.21	439.49	439.68	441.85	440.84(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	106	40	112	87	2.62	89%	0.2	55	2.1%	0	1.6	57	INF
7	Jun_23_2015	399.83	431.21	433.16	436.88	437.58	438.63	445.99(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	75	20	79	61	3.25	89%	0.21	52.8	2.1%	0	2.7	55	INF
8	Jun_22_2015	398.99	430.13	431.02	433.13	434.45	437.52	436.29(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	60	69	41	1.82	88%	0.21	42	2.09%	0	1.4	54	INF
9	Jun_19_2015	398.16	429.67	429.75	430.61	431.66	436.53	434.92(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	145	90	171	68	4.5	88%	0.32	29.8	2.09%	0	1.3	53	INF
10	Jun_18_2015	396.9	429.47	428.91	429.61	428.45	431.39	439.39(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	107	40	128	45	3.38	88%	0.35	23.1	2.09%	0	2.5	58	INF

11	Jun_17_2015	395.52	428.66	427.9	428.33	427.38	426.79	427.81(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	5	-20	8	-5	2.19	87%	0.31	12.8	2.07%	0	-0.3	52	INF
12	Jun_16_2015	394.29	428.4	428.7	428.92	428.84	425.51	427.26(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-61	-50	-71	-32	2.3	87%	0.31	4.7	2.07%	0	-0.3	46	INF
13	Jun_15_2015	393.09	428.32	429.07	428.56	429.66	427.98	423.67(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-81	-20	-95	-39	2.05	87%	0.29	-6.9	2.07%	0	-1.2	50	INF
14	Jun_12_2015	391.95	428.48	429.84	428.53	429.22	432.18	429.92(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	44	18	2.05	87%	0.31	-16.5	2.06%	0	0.4	53	INF
15	Jun_11_2015	390.73	428.57	429.78	427.93	427.7	431.34	432.97(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	121	60	143	54	2.92	87%	0.36	-14.9	2.07%	0	1.2	50	INF

16	Jun_10_2015	389.34	428.24	429.13	427.5	426.34	426.27	430.77(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10	36	12	2.17	78%	0.37	-9.5	2.08%	0	0.7	57	INF
17	Jun_9_2015	387.9	428.23	429.15	428.66	427.35	424.05	425.48(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-84	-60	-101	-33	2.29	78%	0.1	11.9	2.1%	0	-0.8	55	INF
18	Jun_8_2015	387.52	428.59	429.24	429.76	430.29	426.41	423.5(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-103	-60	-125	-38	2.17	78%	0.35	32.6	2.1%	0	-1.4	50	INF
19	Jun_5_2015	386.15	429.1	429.73	431.25	431.74	430.64	426.95(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-73	-10	-91	-18	1.91	78%	0.38	57.6	2.11%	0	-0.6	52	INF
20	Jun_4_2015	384.7	429.12	430.22	431.7	432.16	434.17	430.78(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	45	40	47	39	2.51	78%	0.37	68.2	2.11%	0	0.5	48	INF

21	Jun_3_2015	383.29	428.58	429.58	430.86	431.22	432.83	436.59(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	82	30	92	52	2.73	78%	0.38	42.9	2.11%	0	1.9	58	INF
22	Jun_2_2015	381.82	427.8	428.08	429.83	429.41	430.15	430.99(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	10	20	15	1.67	78%	0.38	28.4	2.1%	0	0.8	49	INF
23	Jun_1_2015	380.38	427.41	427.49	428.72	429.11	429.61	430.92(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	10	42	15	2.25	78%	0.36	4.2	2.11%	0	0.9	47	INF
24	May_29_2015	379	427.01	426.97	428.06	427.86	428.66	429.23(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	10	-2	-10	3.02	78%	0.35	-23.7	2.13%	0	0.5	45	INF
25	May_28_2015	377.68	426.65	427.2	428.54	428.05	428.6	426.57(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	10	27	6	1.91	78%		13	2.14%	0	-0	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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