Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $383.5400 (0.61%) ($378.7950 - $384.4200) on Thu. Apr. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $383.5400(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)    SPY(40%)    VT(40%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $377.69(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $374.59(2.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $374.11(2.52%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   33.7%
Market Cap   $192.154b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.13%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.36%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.92%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150509

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_9_2015	342.2	374.11	374.59	377.69	377.51	379.94	383.54(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	97	40	110	59	2.39	82%	0.18	14	2.18%	0	2.5	60	0
2	Apr_8_2015	341.6	373.24	373.25	375.03	374.86	377	381.2(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	63	40	73	31	2.64	82%	0.17	-27.5	2.19%	0	2.3	55	0
3	Apr_7_2015	341.01	372.62	372.43	373.21	373.09	375.08	374.41(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	40	62	20	1.95	82%	0.16	-72.2	2.18%	0	0.6	53	0
4	Apr_6_2015	340.47	372.79	372.45	373.25	372.51	372.72	377.04(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	-0	42	13	3.05	77%	0.22	-76.7	2.18%	0	1.3	54	0
5	Apr_2_2015	339.71	372.88	372.48	371.95	372.35	371.11	372.25(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-20	-18	-11	1.88	73%	0.19	-61.3	2.21%	0	-0.1	53	0

6	Apr_1_2015	339.07	373.58	372.58	370.97	371.87	372.3	370.26(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	20	-21	-17	2.46	73%	0.18	-60.4	2.21%	0	-0.7	46	0
7	Mar_31_2015	338.47	374.18	373.07	371.11	371.26	373.59	372.1(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	50	46	16	2.51	73%	0.21	-58.3	2.22%	0	-0.4	58	0
8	Mar_30_2015	337.77	374.76	373.08	371.51	371.4	371.44	374.59(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	-0	55	23	1.82	73%	0.23	-47.7	2.22%	0	-0	56	0
9	Mar_27_2015	336.99	375.26	372.93	371.61	371.49	368.93	370.56(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-50	-86	-36	2.61	73%	0.23	-43.3	2.21%	0	-0.8	42	0
10	Mar_26_2015	336.22	375.75	372.99	373.2	373.52	371.36	367.35(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-80	-40	-94	-39	2.93	74%	0.22	-37.7	2.22%	0	-1.4	38	0

11	Mar_25_2015	335.48	376.62	373.74	374.38	375.78	374.06	370.96(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-20	-38	-21	3.43	74%	0.21	-28.8	2.23%	0	-0.9	34	0
12	Mar_24_2015	334.77	377.33	373.38	375.21	375.75	375.69	374.09(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	0	-33	-26	2.23	74%	0.21	-16.8	2.24%	0	-0.6	42	0
13	Mar_23_2015	334.06	377.57	372.95	374.78	375.26	377.5	375.11(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	42	50	57	-2	2.24	74%	0.22	-16.9	2.25%	0	-0.4	41	0
14	Mar_20_2015	333.34	377.83	373.21	374.43	373.84	375.81	378.49(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	30	88	4	3.76	75%	0.25	-19.9	2.23%	0	0.1	42	0
15	Mar_19_2015	332.51	378.06	373.24	372.85	372.24	373.03	373.24(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	22	10	37	-23	1.92	75%	0.25	-22.4	2.25%	0	-0.8	44	0

16	Mar_18_2015	331.68	378.37	374.55	373.05	371.38	371.87	375.14(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-0	15	-30	2.65	75%	0.25	-18.6	2.25%	0	-0.5	42	0
17	Mar_17_2015	330.86	378.33	375.23	371.29	371.28	371.45	371.92(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	0	22	-37	2.04	75%	0.26	-26.9	2.25%	0	-1.1	38	0
18	Mar_16_2015	330	378.56	376.45	370.81	370.61	370.9	373.35(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	0	-15	-50	2.35	70%	0.27	-25.8	2.25%	0	-0.9	47	0
19	Mar_13_2015	329.1	379	377.64	371.85	371.21	371.11	370.58(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10	-11	-42	2.61	70%	0.18	-15.8	2.29%	0	-1.5	43	0
20	Mar_12_2015	328.51	379.39	378.66	373.75	373.01	370.33	374.24(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-64	-60	-65	-59	2.81	70%	0.2	-4.2	2.3%	0	-0.9	43	0

21	Mar_11_2015	327.87	379.49	379.72	376.47	375.85	371.31	366.37(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-141	-90	-160	-83	2.5	70%	0.16	18.3	2.29%	0	-2.4	41	0
22	Mar_10_2015	327.34	379.93	381.73	379.74	380.17	375.69	369.51(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-124	-80	-146	-58	3.12	67%	0.2	49.6	2.28%	0	-2.2	50	0
23	Mar_9_2015	326.68	380.09	382.82	382.76	382.96	380.38	378.56(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-96	-50	-117	-33	2.31	71%	0.24	75.4	2.28%	0	-0.3	55	0
24	Mar_6_2015	325.9	379.91	383.06	384.18	384.5	384.65	380.09(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	10	-20	11	2.63	69%	0.25	101.6	2.29%	0	0	49	0
25	Mar_5_2015	325.09	379.63	383.44	384.2	384.53	385.53	387.83(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	20	40	39	2.69	69%		157.7	2.28%	0	1.7	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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