Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $374.0900 (-0.27%) ($372.2700 - $375.2400) on Tue. Mar. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $374.0900(-0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)    SPY(40%)    VT(40%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $377.33
5 Day Moving Average   $375.21(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $373.38(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $377.33(-0.86%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   30.4%
Market Cap   $187.419b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2015	334.77	377.33	373.38	375.21	375.75	375.69	374.09(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	0	-33	-26	2.23	74%	0.21	-16.8	2.24%	0	-0.6	42	0
2	Mar_23_2015	334.06	377.57	372.95	374.78	375.26	377.5	375.11(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	42	50	57	-2	2.24	74%	0.22	-16.9	2.25%	0	-0.4	41	0
3	Mar_20_2015	333.34	377.83	373.21	374.43	373.84	375.81	378.49(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	30	88	4	3.76	75%	0.25	-19.9	2.23%	0	0.1	42	0
4	Mar_19_2015	332.51	378.06	373.24	372.85	372.24	373.03	373.24(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	22	10	37	-23	1.92	75%	0.25	-22.4	2.25%	0	-0.8	44	0
5	Mar_18_2015	331.68	378.37	374.55	373.05	371.38	371.87	375.14(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-0	15	-30	2.65	75%	0.25	-18.6	2.25%	0	-0.5	42	0

6	Mar_17_2015	330.86	378.33	375.23	371.29	371.28	371.45	371.92(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	0	22	-37	2.04	75%	0.26	-26.9	2.25%	0	-1.1	38	0
7	Mar_16_2015	330	378.56	376.45	370.81	370.61	370.9	373.35(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	0	-15	-50	2.35	70%	0.27	-25.8	2.25%	0	-0.9	47	0
8	Mar_13_2015	329.1	379	377.64	371.85	371.21	371.11	370.58(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10	-11	-42	2.61	70%	0.18	-15.8	2.29%	0	-1.5	43	0
9	Mar_12_2015	328.51	379.39	378.66	373.75	373.01	370.33	374.24(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-64	-60	-65	-59	2.81	70%	0.2	-4.2	2.3%	0	-0.9	43	0
10	Mar_11_2015	327.87	379.49	379.72	376.47	375.85	371.31	366.37(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-141	-90	-160	-83	2.5	70%	0.16	18.3	2.29%	0	-2.4	41	0

11	Mar_10_2015	327.34	379.93	381.73	379.74	380.17	375.69	369.51(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-124	-80	-146	-58	3.12	67%	0.2	49.6	2.28%	0	-2.2	50	0
12	Mar_9_2015	326.68	380.09	382.82	382.76	382.96	380.38	378.56(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-96	-50	-117	-33	2.31	71%	0.24	75.4	2.28%	0	-0.3	55	0
13	Mar_6_2015	325.9	379.91	383.06	384.18	384.5	384.65	380.09(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	10	-20	11	2.63	69%	0.25	101.6	2.29%	0	0	49	0
14	Mar_5_2015	325.09	379.63	383.44	384.2	384.53	385.53	387.83(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	20	40	39	2.69	69%	0.26	157.7	2.28%	0	1.7	60	0
15	Mar_4_2015	324.24	378.5	382.55	383.59	383.54	384.35	382.72(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	10	14	29	2.26	69%	0.24	192.4	2.29%	0	0.8	58	0

16	Mar_3_2015	323.46	377.59	381.7	384.12	383.73	383.52	384.61(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10	28	38	1.95	65%	0.25	216.3	2.29%	0	1.1	62	0
17	Mar_2_2015	322.65	376.61	380.81	382.92	383.15	382.73	385.66(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	-10	-9	22	2.14	65%	0.24	242.9	2.33%	0	1.4	65	0
18	Feb_27_2015	321.88	375.11	380.35	381.81	382.02	383.93	380.16(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	40	9	30	2.53	61%	0.21	230.9	2.35%	0	0.7	56	0
19	Feb_26_2015	321.2	371.99	380.08	382.51	381.78	383.57	384.8(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	85	30	91	68	2.69	61%	0.2	117.8	2.36%	0	0.8	61	0
20	Feb_25_2015	320.55	368.22	379.11	381.35	380.55	380.11	385.37(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10	23	43	3.17	61%	0.22	88.3	2.36%	0	0.8	70	0

21	Feb_24_2015	319.84	364.51	377.85	378.95	379.35	380	378.59(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	20	-6	29	1.92	61%	0.18	77.9	2.35%	0	0.6	67	0
22	Feb_23_2015	319.25	361.25	377.11	378.32	378.28	380.99	380.14(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	50	64	59	2.18	61%	0.19	74.8	2.35%	0	0.7	67	0
23	Feb_20_2015	318.66	358	376.51	378.66	377.01	378.7	383.66(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	73	20	71	77	3.26	61%	0.21	76.6	2.35%	0	0.9	78	0
24	Feb_19_2015	317.98	354.41	375.47	377.36	376.91	375.57	379(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-30	10	89	2.95	61%	0.2	76.6	2.35%	0	0.8	89	0
25	Feb_18_2015	317.34	350.47	374.1	376.59	376.67	375.32	373.37(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-21	-20	-61	100	2.65	61%		72.8	2.34%	0	0.7	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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