Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $385.6550 (1.45%) ($379.4810 - $385.9000) on Mon. Mar. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $385.6550(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)    SPY(40%)    VT(40%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $382.92(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $380.81(1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $376.61(2.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   34.4%
Market Cap   $193.213b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2015	322.65	376.61	380.81	382.92	383.15	382.73	385.66(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	-10	-9	22	2.14	65%	0.24	242.9	2.33%	0	1.4	65	0
2	Feb_27_2015	321.88	375.11	380.35	381.81	382.02	383.93	380.16(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	40	9	30	2.53	61%	0.21	230.9	2.35%	0	0.7	56	0
3	Feb_26_2015	321.2	371.99	380.08	382.51	381.78	383.57	384.8(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	85	30	91	68	2.69	61%	0.2	117.8	2.36%	0	0.8	61	0
4	Feb_25_2015	320.55	368.22	379.11	381.35	380.55	380.11	385.37(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10	23	43	3.17	61%	0.22	88.3	2.36%	0	0.8	70	0
5	Feb_24_2015	319.84	364.51	377.85	378.95	379.35	380	378.59(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	20	-6	29	1.92	61%	0.18	77.9	2.35%	0	0.6	67	0

6	Feb_23_2015	319.25	361.25	377.11	378.32	378.28	380.99	380.14(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	50	64	59	2.18	61%	0.19	74.8	2.35%	0	0.7	67	0
7	Feb_20_2015	318.66	358	376.51	378.66	377.01	378.7	383.66(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	73	20	71	77	3.26	61%	0.21	76.6	2.35%	0	0.9	78	0
8	Feb_19_2015	317.98	354.41	375.47	377.36	376.91	375.57	379(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-30	10	89	2.95	61%	0.2	76.6	2.35%	0	0.8	89	0
9	Feb_18_2015	317.34	350.47	374.1	376.59	376.67	375.32	373.37(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-21	-20	-61	100	2.65	61%	0.17	72.8	2.34%	0	0.7	90	0
10	Feb_17_2015	316.8	346.44	373.23	376.51	376.53	378.26	375.43(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	61	30	22	176	3.67	61%	0.15	68.9	2.34%	0	0.9	88	0

11	Feb_13_2015	316.32	342.31	372.19	375.54	375.36	378.02	381.83(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	137	50	101	245	3.48	63%	0.2	65.6	2.36%	0	1.2	89	0
12	Feb_12_2015	315.7	337.6	369.51	374.03	373.04	374.81	377.17(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	103	30	52	256	2.79	63%	0.16	62	2.36%	0	1.1	85	0
13	Feb_11_2015	315.2	333.39	363.44	373.37	372.56	372.7	375.14(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	98	-0	43	261	2.79	64%	0.17	61.9	2.36%	0	1.2	85	0
14	Feb_10_2015	314.66	329.3	356.75	371.3	371.93	371.27	373(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	71	-10	10	253	2.29	65%	0.16	61.8	2.37%	0	1.3	87	0
15	Feb_9_2015	314.16	325.15	350.39	369.41	369.55	372.41	370.56(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	86	60	24	273	2.72	65%	0.13	60.6	2.38%	0	1.4	88	0

16	Feb_6_2015	313.76	321.33	344.43	368.19	367.59	372.59	374.28(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	230	90	186	360	3.89	65%	0.16	61.1	2.37%	0	1.7	89	0
17	Feb_5_2015	313.25	317.42	338.16	364.24	363.43	366.68	373.89(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	230	60	182	372	7.25	63%	0.16	61	2.37%	0	1.9	90	0
18	Feb_4_2015	312.74	313.4	331.61	351.82	358.21	362.59	364.75(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	281	140	254	363	4.17	62%	0.12	51.9	2.38%	0	2	82	0
19	Feb_3_2015	312.36	309.71	324.77	339.65	344.45	360.17	363.55(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	340	360	338	347	6.21	62%	0.13	39.6	2.38%	0	2.3	81	0
20	Feb_2_2015	311.95	306.36	317.21	328.29	330.52	353.83	364.47(2.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	650	510	717	449	10.23	62%	0.11	28.9	2.38%	0	3	82	0

21	Jan_30_2015	311.6	303.2	309.5	317.33	317.79	328.72	354.53(13.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	540	250	603	351	23.86	61%	0.08	19.7	2.37%	0	3.6	75	0
22	Jan_29_2015	311.36	300.65	302.4	308.9	307.85	307.21	311.78(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	16	-20	-7	86	8.66	51%	-0.06	8	1.65%	0	1.4	57	0
23	Jan_28_2015	311.56	300.46	300.52	308.61	308.88	306.87	303.91(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-40	-37	70	3.06	50%	-0.09	9.2	1.62%	0	0.4	54	0
24	Jan_27_2015	311.83	300.79	299.61	307.27	308.48	308.49	306.75(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	10	-7	73	2.92	50%	-0.12	10.8	1.63%	0	0.7	59	0
25	Jan_26_2015	312.19	300.83	298.06	303.81	305.62	310.89	309.66(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	165	140	182	113	3.17	50%		5	1.63%	0	1.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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