Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $303.0300 (-1.06%) ($302.8750 - $307.0000) on Wed. Dec. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $303.0300(-1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $310.56
5 Day Moving Average   $302.7(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $302.78(0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $310.56(-2.42%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $151.818b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 3.74% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2014	318.96	310.56	302.78	302.7	303.43	305.41	303.03(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	14	50	28	-29	1.52	41%	-0.03	-60.7	1.83%	0	-0.6	36	0
2	Dec_23_2014	319.06	312.08	303.03	301.87	302.2	305.22	306.29(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	112	70	148	2	2.72	41%	-0.02	-55	1.83%	0	-0.5	39	0
3	Dec_22_2014	319.13	313.47	303.52	299.62	299.94	301.46	306.54(2.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	49	40	82	-51	4	39%	-0	-52.7	1.83%	0	-0.5	32	0
4	Dec_19_2014	319.14	314.72	303.47	299.53	298.76	299.17	299.9(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-43	0	-20	-112	8.71	39%	-0.04	-50.2	1.83%	0	-1.1	26	0
5	Dec_18_2014	319.27	316.26	304.7	301.01	300.89	298.43	297.73(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-56	-60	-31	-132	7.74	39%	-0.08	-43.8	1.84%	0	-1.3	18	0

6	Dec_17_2014	319.52	317.77	306.59	302.94	302.49	298.36	298.88(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-191	-100	-188	-201	4.43	39%	-0.07	-37.3	1.84%	0	-1.4	25	0
7	Dec_16_2014	319.73	319.15	308.36	304.33	305.36	303.36	295.06(-3.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-152	-40	-138	-192	6.5	39%	-0.08	-32.5	1.84%	0	-1.9	21	0
8	Dec_15_2014	319.99	320.68	311.47	307.82	307.66	306.61	306.07(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-53	-30	-24	-141	3.84	40%	-0.06	-21	1.79%	0	-1.3	24	0
9	Dec_12_2014	320.17	321.82	313.39	307.93	307.8	307.36	307.32(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-82	-10	-56	-159	3.16	40%	-0.16	-10.1	1.81%	0	-1.4	29	0
10	Dec_11_2014	320.69	322.39	316.36	308.99	308.72	308.7	307.36(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-0	-18	-133	3.27	40%	-0.16	1.3	1.81%	0	-1.5	32	0

11	Dec_10_2014	321.2	322.75	318.93	310.91	310.17	308.25	305.84(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-71	-50	-51	-131	3.25	40%	-0.17	13.9	1.81%	0	-1.7	35	0
12	Dec_9_2014	321.76	323.21	321.86	313.04	311.97	308.73	312.5(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-158	-80	-159	-156	4.05	39%	-0.15	25.7	1.79%	0	-1.2	41	0
13	Dec_8_2014	322.24	323	324.17	315.8	315.29	312.1	306.64(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-158	-80	-166	-133	3.64	36%	-0.16	32.1	1.83%	0	-1.7	38	0
14	Dec_5_2014	322.76	322.88	326.91	319.67	319.38	315.22	312.63(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-166	-90	-183	-115	3.27	38%	-0.12	38.8	1.82%	0	-1	38	0
15	Dec_4_2014	323.16	322.27	328.85	324.88	323.97	318.49	316.93(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-205	-130	-241	-97	3.3	41%	-0.12	46.8	1.81%	0	-0.5	54	0

16	Dec_3_2014	323.56	321.41	329.98	328.2	329.44	323.54	316.5(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-184	-110	-226	-59	5.69	41%	-0.12	51.4	1.83%	0	-0.4	58	0
17	Dec_2_2014	323.94	320.85	331.04	331.91	332.59	329.46	326.31(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-157	-60	-204	-15	2.79	43%	-0.09	60.3	1.8%	0	0.4	67	0
18	Dec_1_2014	324.23	319.86	330.85	333.78	334.65	335.33	326(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	20	-26	85	4.94	43%	-0.06	69.1	1.81%	0	0.4	71	0
19	Nov_28_2014	324.44	318.86	331.12	335.1	335.32	335.71	338.64(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	95	10	71	166	3.05	47%	0.02	77.9	1.75%	0	1.4	87	0
20	Nov_26_2014	324.39	316.86	328.95	333.48	334.43	333.96	333.57(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-0	2	154	1.99	50%	0.03	69.6	1.73%	0	1.2	87	0

21	Nov_25_2014	324.29	314.9	326.85	332.08	332.98	334.92	335.04(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	76	50	41	179	2.56	50%	0.01	61.5	1.75%	0	1.4	89	0
22	Nov_24_2014	324.27	312.91	324.59	330.06	331	334.91	335.64(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	179	90	162	229	2.75	50%	0.03	51.6	1.75%	0	1.6	78	0
23	Nov_21_2014	324.16	310.6	321.58	327.54	328.52	331.05	332.63(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	176	60	162	217	4.47	50%	-0.02	42.2	1.75%	0	1.6	72	0
24	Nov_20_2014	324.21	308.31	318.37	326.58	325.88	327.09	330.54(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	87	20	59	169	3.44	50%	-0.01	38.1	1.75%	0	1.7	72	0
25	Nov_19_2014	324.23	307.28	315.04	323.76	324.86	325.99	326.54(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	118	30	101	170	3.28	50%		38.7	1.74%	0	1.6	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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