Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $332.6300 (0.63%) ($331.4700 - $338.3300) on Fri. Nov. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $332.6300(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $327.54(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $321.58(3.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $310.6(7.09%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $166.648b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 4.45% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.84%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -4.51%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.18%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.29%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2014	324.16	310.6	321.58	327.54	328.52	331.05	332.63(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	176	60	162	217	4.47	50%	-0.02	42.2	1.75%	0	1.6	72	INF
2	Nov_20_2014	324.21	308.31	318.37	326.58	325.88	327.09	330.54(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	87	20	59	169	3.44	50%	-0.01	38.1	1.75%	0	1.7	72	INF
3	Nov_19_2014	324.23	307.28	315.04	323.76	324.86	325.99	326.54(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	118	30	101	170	3.28	50%	-0.02	38.7	1.74%	0	1.6	74	INF
4	Nov_18_2014	324.29	306.45	312.07	320.76	321.83	324.66	324.93(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	113	70	99	156	3.55	50%	0	36.4	1.74%	0	1.7	76	INF
5	Nov_17_2014	324.29	305.82	309.78	318.17	318.2	323.72	323.05(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	210	120	215	196	4.78	50%	-0	35.6	1.74%	0	1.7	73	INF

6	Nov_14_2014	324.3	304.87	307.91	314.59	314.36	319.01	327.82(3.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	277	100	294	224	8.88	53%	0.01	28.2	1.73%	0	2.4	81	INF
7	Nov_13_2014	324.28	303.53	305.45	308.99	309.15	312.69	316.48(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	172	80	175	164	3.69	51%	-0.03	9.7	1.69%	0	1.6	79	INF
8	Nov_12_2014	324.39	302.78	303.63	305.03	305.15	309.7	311.51(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	183	110	199	134	2.18	51%	-0.04	-11.6	1.7%	0	1.1	47	INF
9	Nov_11_2014	324.52	302.43	301.89	302.03	301.34	305.61	312.01(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	168	90	193	93	3.81	51%	-0.05	-32.9	1.71%	0	1.3	48	INF
10	Nov_10_2014	324.67	302.16	300.18	300.19	299.07	300.61	305.11(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	85	20	105	25	2.81	49%	-0.06	-46.4	1.68%	0	0.4	42	INF

11	Nov_7_2014	324.87	302.19	298.71	300.31	299.09	297.07	299.86(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-60	-51	-55	2.65	46%	-0.08	-54.5	1.68%	0	-0.3	46	INF
12	Nov_6_2014	325.14	302.74	297.53	301.43	300.92	297.54	296.64(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-136	-80	-147	-104	3.76	46%	-0.12	-54.6	1.68%	0	-0.8	47	INF
13	Nov_5_2014	325.52	303.64	299.03	301.92	303.12	301.11	296.52(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-75	-30	-79	-64	4.67	46%	-0.09	-50	1.68%	0	-0.8	47	INF
14	Nov_4_2014	325.82	304.9	300.57	301.44	302.34	304.3	302.81(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	50	9	-25	3.43	52%	-0.08	-48.5	1.66%	0	-0.2	48	INF
15	Nov_3_2014	326.07	305.56	301.65	299.99	300.76	305.13	305.72(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	171	110	210	53	3.24	52%	-0.06	-52.4	1.68%	0	0	48	INF

16	Oct_31_2014	326.27	306.3	301.61	296.84	297.63	300.37	305.46(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	162	70	206	30	4.55	48%	-0.06	-58.1	1.7%	0	-0.1	50	INF
17	Oct_30_2014	326.48	307.08	301.36	293.16	293.46	296.38	299.07(1.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	40	70	72	-55	4.06	45%	-0.11	-67	1.71%	0	-0.8	41	INF
18	Oct_29_2014	326.85	308.04	301.76	295.98	291.21	294.88	294.12(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	11	40	37	-66	4.88	45%	-0.12	-62.3	1.7%	0	-1.4	35	INF
19	Oct_28_2014	327.23	309.25	303.01	299.75	295.52	290.53	295.59(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-160	-23	-85	5.58	45%	-0.1	-58.4	1.7%	0	-1.3	31	INF
20	Oct_27_2014	327.55	310.61	304.32	303.7	300.95	287.55	289.97(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-446	-340	-506	-264	5.95	42%	-0.13	-50.5	1.68%	0	-2.1	33	INF

21	Oct_24_2014	327.96	312.26	306.13	306.95	307	300.51	287.06(-8.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-363	-150	-413	-213	19.81	34%	-0.11	-48.1	2.04%	0	-2.8	28	INF
22	Oct_23_2014	328.32	314.17	308.74	310.27	311.28	314.35	313.18(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	44	80	65	-21	9.04	41%	0.02	-54.6	1.78%	0	-0.1	39	INF
23	Oct_22_2014	328.26	314.57	308.84	308.2	309.27	313.5	312.97(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	171	110	220	25	3.13	41%	0.02	-60.9	1.78%	0	-0.2	44	INF
24	Oct_21_2014	328.2	315.28	309.62	306.8	305.36	308.21	315.33(2.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	90	50	126	-17	3.56	41%	0.02	-62.5	1.78%	0	0	47	INF
25	Oct_20_2014	328.14	315.65	309.65	305.4	303.44	305.05	306.21(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	26	20	55	-62	3.24	36%		-68.7	1.74%	0	-1.2	34	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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