Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $305.4600 (2.14%) ($301.5000 - $305.7200) on Fri. Oct. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $305.4600(2.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $296.72(-2.86%)
Resistance Level   $306.3
5 Day Moving Average   $296.84(2.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $301.61(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $306.3(-0.27%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $153.035b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 3.29% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2014	326.27	306.3	301.61	296.84	297.63	300.37	305.46(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	162	70	206	30	4.55	48%	-0.06	-58.1	1.7%	0	-0.1	50	0
2	Oct_30_2014	326.48	307.08	301.36	293.16	293.46	296.38	299.07(1.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	40	70	72	-55	4.06	45%	-0.11	-67	1.71%	0	-0.8	41	0
3	Oct_29_2014	326.85	308.04	301.76	295.98	291.21	294.88	294.12(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	11	40	37	-66	4.88	45%	-0.12	-62.3	1.7%	0	-1.4	35	0
4	Oct_28_2014	327.23	309.25	303.01	299.75	295.52	290.53	295.59(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-160	-23	-85	5.58	45%	-0.1	-58.4	1.7%	0	-1.3	31	0
5	Oct_27_2014	327.55	310.61	304.32	303.7	300.95	287.55	289.97(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-446	-340	-506	-264	5.95	42%	-0.13	-50.5	1.68%	0	-2.1	33	0

6	Oct_24_2014	327.96	312.26	306.13	306.95	307	300.51	287.06(-8.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-363	-150	-413	-213	19.81	34%	-0.11	-48.1	2.04%	0	-2.8	28	0
7	Oct_23_2014	328.32	314.17	308.74	310.27	311.28	314.35	313.18(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	44	80	65	-21	9.04	41%	0.02	-54.6	1.78%	0	-0.1	39	0
8	Oct_22_2014	328.26	314.57	308.84	308.2	309.27	313.5	312.97(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	171	110	220	25	3.13	41%	0.02	-60.9	1.78%	0	-0.2	44	0
9	Oct_21_2014	328.2	315.28	309.62	306.8	305.36	308.21	315.33(2.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	90	50	126	-17	3.56	41%	0.02	-62.5	1.78%	0	0	47	0
10	Oct_20_2014	328.14	315.65	309.65	305.4	303.44	305.05	306.21(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	26	20	55	-62	3.24	36%	-0.02	-68.7	1.74%	0	-1.2	34	0

11	Oct_17_2014	328.2	316.58	311.17	305.45	304.48	302.51	303.64(0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-19	-50	3	-83	4.41	36%	-0.03	-66.8	1.75%	0	-1.6	31	0
12	Oct_16_2014	328.3	317.96	313.07	307	305.12	301.83	302.86(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-192	-90	-203	-158	4.73	36%	-0.02	-66.2	1.75%	0	-2	29	0
13	Oct_15_2014	328.38	319.13	314.7	309.5	308.7	306.45	305.97(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-126	-60	-129	-118	5.35	36%	-0.02	-68.6	1.75%	0	-2	33	0
14	Oct_14_2014	328.43	320.08	315.94	312.84	312.22	308.41	308.31(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-121	-90	-125	-108	3.39	40%	-0.06	-66.1	1.75%	0	-1.9	30	0
15	Oct_13_2014	328.63	321.09	317.39	314.58	314.92	310.94	306.45(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-181	-90	-198	-129	4.37	40%	-0.02	-67.4	1.78%	0	-2.7	35	0

16	Oct_10_2014	328.69	322.03	319.02	317.73	317.55	316.03	311.39(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-108	-40	-117	-79	3.68	48%	0.02	-77.7	1.91%	0	-2.2	37	0
17	Oct_9_2014	328.62	323.04	320.25	320	319.73	318.9	315.37(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-20	-21	-36	3.59	48%	0.03	-88.1	1.9%	0	-1.8	34	0
18	Oct_8_2014	328.52	323.8	320.95	320.61	320.61	319.08	322.7(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-27	-30	-23	-37	3.46	47%	0.07	-103.1	1.9%	0	-0.3	48	0
19	Oct_7_2014	328.3	324.2	321.41	319.56	319.84	320.56	316.98(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	20	-47	-49	2.37	47%	0.06	-115.7	1.92%	0	-1.7	44	0
20	Oct_6_2014	328.09	324.86	322.11	320.65	319.98	322.15	322.2(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	40	83	5	2.29	47%	0.08	-98.2	1.91%	0	-0.5	44	0

21	Oct_3_2014	327.84	325.79	322.32	320.57	319.74	319.12	322.74(1.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	24	-20	37	-14	3.04	47%	0.09	-76.4	1.93%	0	-0.4	49	0
22	Oct_2_2014	327.56	326.89	323.09	320.67	319.57	317.8	318.41(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-82	-50	-88	-64	3.55	47%	0.06	-63.6	1.93%	0	-1.1	38	0
23	Oct_1_2014	327.35	328.22	323.79	321.37	320.81	320.37	317.46(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-10	-54	-51	3.1	50%	0.04	-60.2	1.93%	0	-1.4	38	0
24	Sep_30_2014	327.22	329.3	324.52	323.52	322.23	321.35	322.44(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-30	-13	-31	2.64	50%	0.06	-54.8	1.94%	0	-0.9	40	0
25	Sep_29_2014	327.02	330.28	325.05	323.76	323.2	321.25	321.82(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-50	-59	-50	1.93	50%		-50.4	1.94%	0	-1.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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