Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $308.3100 (0.61%) ($305.7500 - $312.2400) on Tue. Oct. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $308.3100(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $320.08
5 Day Moving Average   $312.84(-1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $315.94(-2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $320.08(-3.68%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $154.463b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.99%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.18%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.09%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -1.09%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 4.07%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.18%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2014	328.43	320.08	315.94	312.84	312.22	308.41	308.31(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-121	-90	-125	-108	3.39	40%	-0.06	-66.1	1.75%	0	-1.9	30	INF
2	Oct_13_2014	328.63	321.09	317.39	314.58	314.92	310.94	306.45(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-181	-90	-198	-129	4.37	40%	-0.02	-67.4	1.78%	0	-2.7	35	INF
3	Oct_10_2014	328.69	322.03	319.02	317.73	317.55	316.03	311.39(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-108	-40	-117	-79	3.68	48%	0.02	-77.7	1.91%	0	-2.2	37	INF
4	Oct_9_2014	328.62	323.04	320.25	320	319.73	318.9	315.37(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-20	-21	-36	3.59	48%	0.03	-88.1	1.9%	0	-1.8	34	INF
5	Oct_8_2014	328.52	323.8	320.95	320.61	320.61	319.08	322.7(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-27	-30	-23	-37	3.46	47%	0.07	-103.1	1.9%	0	-0.3	48	INF

6	Oct_7_2014	328.3	324.2	321.41	319.56	319.84	320.56	316.98(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	20	-47	-49	2.37	47%	0.06	-115.7	1.92%	0	-1.7	44	INF
7	Oct_6_2014	328.09	324.86	322.11	320.65	319.98	322.15	322.2(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	40	83	5	2.29	47%	0.08	-98.2	1.91%	0	-0.5	44	INF
8	Oct_3_2014	327.84	325.79	322.32	320.57	319.74	319.12	322.74(1.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	24	-20	37	-14	3.04	47%	0.09	-76.4	1.93%	0	-0.4	49	INF
9	Oct_2_2014	327.56	326.89	323.09	320.67	319.57	317.8	318.41(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-82	-50	-88	-64	3.55	47%	0.06	-63.6	1.93%	0	-1.1	38	INF
10	Oct_1_2014	327.35	328.22	323.79	321.37	320.81	320.37	317.46(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-10	-54	-51	3.1	50%	0.04	-60.2	1.93%	0	-1.4	38	INF

11	Sep_30_2014	327.22	329.3	324.52	323.52	322.23	321.35	322.44(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-30	-13	-31	2.64	50%	0.06	-54.8	1.94%	0	-0.9	40	INF
12	Sep_29_2014	327.02	330.28	325.05	323.76	323.2	321.25	321.82(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-50	-59	-50	1.93	50%	0.09	-50.4	1.94%	0	-1.1	42	INF
13	Sep_26_2014	326.72	331.15	325.3	324.3	323.82	323.1	323.21(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-75	-20	-76	-70	3.64	50%	0.11	-45.1	1.94%	0	-1	33	INF
14	Sep_25_2014	326.36	331.99	326.07	325.92	324.98	325.16	321.93(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-0	-3	-46	2.93	50%	0.09	-36	1.94%	0	-1.3	29	INF
15	Sep_24_2014	326.06	333.06	326.94	326.53	326.07	324.54	328.21(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-40	-4	-57	2.65	50%	0.1	-30.5	1.93%	0	-0.6	32	INF

16	Sep_23_2014	325.75	333.72	327.19	325.69	326.06	324.81	323.63(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-86	-20	-81	-100	2.35	50%	0.04	-29.7	1.93%	0	-1.3	37	INF
17	Sep_22_2014	325.61	334.31	327.82	326.52	326.46	327.6	324.5(-2.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	20	13	-69	3.12	50%	0.05	-28.6	1.93%	0	-1.3	35	INF
18	Sep_19_2014	325.44	334.73	329.51	326.39	326.14	327.31	331.32(1.94%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	36	20	64	-49	6.89	52%	0.07	-31.8	1.91%	0	-0.5	43	INF
19	Sep_18_2014	325.2	334.85	330.83	326.37	325.38	325.32	325(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10	-15	-76	2.58	53%	0.06	-32.9	1.92%	0	-1.4	36	INF
20	Sep_17_2014	324.99	335.44	332.85	327.47	326.7	324.96	324(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-40	-35	-77	4.14	53%	0.07	-24.4	1.95%	0	-1.7	33	INF

21	Sep_16_2014	324.75	336.07	334.41	328.94	327.86	325.44	327.76(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-108	-60	-109	-103	3.27	53%	0.1	-8.7	1.94%	0	-1.3	37	INF
22	Sep_15_2014	324.43	336.46	335.88	329.34	329.8	328.45	323.89(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-94	-20	-95	-89	4.01	53%	0.06	5.1	1.94%	0	-2.1	44	INF
23	Sep_12_2014	324.22	337.04	337.52	333.03	332.13	330.29	331.19(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-50	-80	-60	3.43	52%	-0.02	40	1.92%	0	-1.1	52	INF
24	Sep_11_2014	324.29	337.19	338.46	336.06	335.21	331.16	330.52(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-122	-90	-141	-63	2.72	52%	0.02	77.6	1.95%	0	-1.3	50	INF
25	Sep_10_2014	324.22	337.08	339.78	339.15	339.09	333.97	331.33(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-159	-110	-191	-62	3.8	52%		100.6	1.95%	0	-1.1	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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