Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $322.2000 (-0.17%) ($319.6000 - $324.1300) on Mon. Oct. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $322.2000(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $320.23(-0.61%)
Resistance Level   $324.86
5 Day Moving Average   $320.65(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $322.11(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $324.86(-0.82%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $161.422b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.46%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.81%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2014	328.09	324.86	322.11	320.65	319.98	322.15	322.2(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	40	83	5	2.29	47%	0.08	-98.2	1.91%	0	-0.5	44	INF
2	Oct_3_2014	327.84	325.79	322.32	320.57	319.74	319.12	322.74(1.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	24	-20	37	-14	3.04	47%	0.09	-76.4	1.93%	0	-0.4	49	INF
3	Oct_2_2014	327.56	326.89	323.09	320.67	319.57	317.8	318.41(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-82	-50	-88	-64	3.55	47%	0.06	-63.6	1.93%	0	-1.1	38	INF
4	Oct_1_2014	327.35	328.22	323.79	321.37	320.81	320.37	317.46(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-10	-54	-51	3.1	50%	0.04	-60.2	1.93%	0	-1.4	38	INF
5	Sep_30_2014	327.22	329.3	324.52	323.52	322.23	321.35	322.44(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-30	-13	-31	2.64	50%	0.06	-54.8	1.94%	0	-0.9	40	INF

6	Sep_29_2014	327.02	330.28	325.05	323.76	323.2	321.25	321.82(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-50	-59	-50	1.93	50%	0.09	-50.4	1.94%	0	-1.1	42	INF
7	Sep_26_2014	326.72	331.15	325.3	324.3	323.82	323.1	323.21(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-75	-20	-76	-70	3.64	50%	0.11	-45.1	1.94%	0	-1	33	INF
8	Sep_25_2014	326.36	331.99	326.07	325.92	324.98	325.16	321.93(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-0	-3	-46	2.93	50%	0.09	-36	1.94%	0	-1.3	29	INF
9	Sep_24_2014	326.06	333.06	326.94	326.53	326.07	324.54	328.21(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-40	-4	-57	2.65	50%	0.1	-30.5	1.93%	0	-0.6	32	INF
10	Sep_23_2014	325.75	333.72	327.19	325.69	326.06	324.81	323.63(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-86	-20	-81	-100	2.35	50%	0.04	-29.7	1.93%	0	-1.3	37	INF

11	Sep_22_2014	325.61	334.31	327.82	326.52	326.46	327.6	324.5(-2.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	20	13	-69	3.12	50%	0.05	-28.6	1.93%	0	-1.3	35	INF
12	Sep_19_2014	325.44	334.73	329.51	326.39	326.14	327.31	331.32(1.94%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	36	20	64	-49	6.89	52%	0.07	-31.8	1.91%	0	-0.5	43	INF
13	Sep_18_2014	325.2	334.85	330.83	326.37	325.38	325.32	325(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10	-15	-76	2.58	53%	0.06	-32.9	1.92%	0	-1.4	36	INF
14	Sep_17_2014	324.99	335.44	332.85	327.47	326.7	324.96	324(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-40	-35	-77	4.14	53%	0.07	-24.4	1.95%	0	-1.7	33	INF
15	Sep_16_2014	324.75	336.07	334.41	328.94	327.86	325.44	327.76(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-108	-60	-109	-103	3.27	53%	0.1	-8.7	1.94%	0	-1.3	37	INF

16	Sep_15_2014	324.43	336.46	335.88	329.34	329.8	328.45	323.89(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-94	-20	-95	-89	4.01	53%	0.06	5.1	1.94%	0	-2.1	44	INF
17	Sep_12_2014	324.22	337.04	337.52	333.03	332.13	330.29	331.19(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-50	-80	-60	3.43	52%	-0.02	40	1.92%	0	-1.1	52	INF
18	Sep_11_2014	324.29	337.19	338.46	336.06	335.21	331.16	330.52(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-122	-90	-141	-63	2.72	52%	0.02	77.6	1.95%	0	-1.3	50	INF
19	Sep_10_2014	324.22	337.08	339.78	339.15	339.09	333.97	331.33(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-159	-110	-191	-62	3.8	52%	0.01	100.6	1.95%	0	-1.1	48	INF
20	Sep_9_2014	324.2	336.6	340.92	340.68	342.41	339.25	329.75(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-124	-50	-154	-33	4.65	52%	-0.01	96.4	1.96%	0	-1	47	INF

21	Sep_8_2014	324.22	336.16	341.55	343.21	343.67	344.22	342.34(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	20	-24	33	2.96	57%	0.06	97.3	1.91%	0	0.8	61	INF
22	Sep_5_2014	324.03	334.95	340.56	342.55	343.06	345.58	346.38(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	86	60	90	75	2.11	62%	0.07	91.3	1.91%	0	1.4	67	INF
23	Sep_4_2014	323.81	333.25	339.21	341.28	341.7	343.12	345.95(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	81	30	86	65	3.97	62%	0.07	78.6	2.02%	0	1.4	68	INF
24	Sep_3_2014	323.58	331.67	338.14	340.72	340.33	340.55	339(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	0	-5	35	2	60%	0.07	70.9	2.01%	0	0.8	70	INF
25	Sep_2_2014	323.34	330.39	337.77	341.29	341.01	340.29	342.38(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-20	13	59	2.33	60%		65.5	2.01%	0	1.2	81	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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