Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMZN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $321.9300 (-1.91%) ($321.4000 - $328.5400) on Thu. Sep. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.94% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $321.9300(-1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

Resistance Level   $331.99
5 Day Moving Average   $325.92(-1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $326.07(-1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $331.99(-3.03%)
To recent high   -10.8%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $161.287b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.36% (three month std-dev: 1.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.07%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.58%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.55%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.74%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.75%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141025

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_25_2014	326.36	331.99	326.07	325.92	324.98	325.16	321.93(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-0	-3	-46	2.93	50%	0.09	-36	1.94%	0	-1.3	29	INF
2	Sep_24_2014	326.06	333.06	326.94	326.53	326.07	324.54	328.21(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-40	-4	-57	2.65	50%	0.1	-30.5	1.93%	0	-0.6	32	INF
3	Sep_23_2014	325.75	333.72	327.19	325.69	326.06	324.81	323.63(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-86	-20	-81	-100	2.35	50%	0.04	-29.7	1.93%	0	-1.3	37	INF
4	Sep_22_2014	325.61	334.31	327.82	326.52	326.46	327.6	324.5(-2.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	20	13	-69	3.12	50%	0.05	-28.6	1.93%	0	-1.3	35	INF
5	Sep_19_2014	325.44	334.73	329.51	326.39	326.14	327.31	331.32(1.94%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	36	20	64	-49	6.89	52%	0.07	-31.8	1.91%	0	-0.5	43	INF

6	Sep_18_2014	325.2	334.85	330.83	326.37	325.38	325.32	325(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10	-15	-76	2.58	53%	0.06	-32.9	1.92%	0	-1.4	36	INF
7	Sep_17_2014	324.99	335.44	332.85	327.47	326.7	324.96	324(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-40	-35	-77	4.14	53%	0.07	-24.4	1.95%	0	-1.7	33	INF
8	Sep_16_2014	324.75	336.07	334.41	328.94	327.86	325.44	327.76(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-108	-60	-109	-103	3.27	53%	0.1	-8.7	1.94%	0	-1.3	37	INF
9	Sep_15_2014	324.43	336.46	335.88	329.34	329.8	328.45	323.89(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-94	-20	-95	-89	4.01	53%	0.06	5.1	1.94%	0	-2.1	44	INF
10	Sep_12_2014	324.22	337.04	337.52	333.03	332.13	330.29	331.19(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-50	-80	-60	3.43	52%	-0.02	40	1.92%	0	-1.1	52	INF

11	Sep_11_2014	324.29	337.19	338.46	336.06	335.21	331.16	330.52(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-122	-90	-141	-63	2.72	52%	0.02	77.6	1.95%	0	-1.3	50	INF
12	Sep_10_2014	324.22	337.08	339.78	339.15	339.09	333.97	331.33(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-159	-110	-191	-62	3.8	52%	0.01	100.6	1.95%	0	-1.1	48	INF
13	Sep_9_2014	324.2	336.6	340.92	340.68	342.41	339.25	329.75(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-124	-50	-154	-33	4.65	52%	-0.01	96.4	1.96%	0	-1	47	INF
14	Sep_8_2014	324.22	336.16	341.55	343.21	343.67	344.22	342.34(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	20	-24	33	2.96	57%	0.06	97.3	1.91%	0	0.8	61	INF
15	Sep_5_2014	324.03	334.95	340.56	342.55	343.06	345.58	346.38(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	86	60	90	75	2.11	62%	0.07	91.3	1.91%	0	1.4	67	INF

16	Sep_4_2014	323.81	333.25	339.21	341.28	341.7	343.12	345.95(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	81	30	86	65	3.97	62%	0.07	78.6	2.02%	0	1.4	68	INF
17	Sep_3_2014	323.58	331.67	338.14	340.72	340.33	340.55	339(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	0	-5	35	2	60%	0.07	70.9	2.01%	0	0.8	70	INF
18	Sep_2_2014	323.34	330.39	337.77	341.29	341.01	340.29	342.38(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-20	13	59	2.33	60%	0.12	65.5	2.01%	0	1.2	81	INF
19	Aug_29_2014	322.95	328.97	336.96	339.62	340.75	340.11	339.04(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-0	-14	54	1.94	60%	0.07	53.8	2%	0	0.9	80	INF
20	Aug_28_2014	322.73	327.42	336.42	338.13	339.27	341.74	340.02(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	60	42	85	2.25	60%	0.02	43.3	2%	0	1.1	83	INF

21	Aug_27_2014	322.65	326.06	335.73	336.71	337.32	341.38	343.18(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	149	90	152	141	2.96	60%	0.05	22.6	2%	0	1.6	91	INF
22	Aug_26_2014	322.48	324.94	334.04	335.23	335.13	336.81	341.83(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	113	30	108	129	3.65	60%	0.07	4.5	2%	0	1.7	84	INF
23	Aug_25_2014	322.24	323.77	331.83	333.89	334.13	333.27	334.02(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-20	-7	84	1.96	58%	0.04	-18.8	2%	0	1.1	82	INF
24	Aug_22_2014	322.12	323.04	330.37	333.99	334.26	333.46	331.59(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-19	-10	-50	73	2.21	60%	-0.01	-38.7	2.01%	0	0.9	77	INF
25	Aug_21_2014	322.14	322.6	329	334.4	335.02	334.98	332.91(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	0	5	109	1.98	60%		-42.1	2.01%	0	0.9	84	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.