Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $342.3800 (0.99%) ($337.1587 - $342.5000) on Tue. Sep. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $342.3800(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $341.29(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $337.77(1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $330.39(3.63%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $171.532b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 3.13% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.95%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.9%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.47%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.84%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.33%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.18%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2014	323.34	330.39	337.77	341.29	341.01	340.29	342.38(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-20	13	59	2.33	60%	0.12	65.5	2.01%	0	1.2	81	INF
2	Aug_29_2014	322.95	328.97	336.96	339.62	340.75	340.11	339.04(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-0	-14	54	1.94	60%	0.07	53.8	2%	0	0.9	80	INF
3	Aug_28_2014	322.73	327.42	336.42	338.13	339.27	341.74	340.02(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	60	42	85	2.25	60%	0.02	43.3	2%	0	1.1	83	INF
4	Aug_27_2014	322.65	326.06	335.73	336.71	337.32	341.38	343.18(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	149	90	152	141	2.96	60%	0.05	22.6	2%	0	1.6	91	INF
5	Aug_26_2014	322.48	324.94	334.04	335.23	335.13	336.81	341.83(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	113	30	108	129	3.65	60%	0.07	4.5	2%	0	1.7	84	INF

6	Aug_25_2014	322.24	323.77	331.83	333.89	334.13	333.27	334.02(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-20	-7	84	1.96	58%	0.04	-18.8	2%	0	1.1	82	INF
7	Aug_22_2014	322.12	323.04	330.37	333.99	334.26	333.46	331.59(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-19	-10	-50	73	2.21	60%	-0.01	-38.7	2.01%	0	0.9	77	INF
8	Aug_21_2014	322.14	322.6	329	334.4	335.02	334.98	332.91(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	0	5	109	1.98	60%	-0.03	-42.1	2.01%	0	0.9	84	INF
9	Aug_20_2014	322.24	323.63	326.97	334.46	334.56	335.06	335.78(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	10	24	118	1.81	60%	-0.02	-34.5	2.01%	0	0.9	75	INF
10	Aug_19_2014	322.31	324.5	324.79	332.56	333.32	335.05	335.13(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	74	40	59	117	1.71	60%	-0	-33.4	2.02%	0	0.7	59	INF

11	Aug_18_2014	322.32	325.53	322.5	329.39	331.63	334.07	334.53(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	130	70	131	125	2.49	60%	-0.01	-34.2	2.02%	0	0.5	61	INF
12	Aug_15_2014	322.36	326.57	320.34	326.15	327.56	331.6	333.63(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	117	100	123	100	3.9	60%	-0.02	-36.2	2.02%	0	0.4	60	INF
13	Aug_14_2014	322.41	327.62	317.65	322.79	324.01	329.19	333.21(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	186	120	213	105	3.42	57%	-0.03	-37.3	2.03%	0	0.3	55	INF
14	Aug_13_2014	322.51	328.42	315.47	318.44	319.94	323.53	326.28(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	141	90	178	30	4.94	55%	-0.09	-36.7	2.04%	0	-0.1	29	INF
15	Aug_12_2014	322.8	329.78	314.89	315.96	316.22	318.82	319.32(0.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	56	60	90	-48	1.92	57%	-0.11	-33.8	2.02%	0	-0.5	24	INF

16	Aug_11_2014	323.14	331.48	314.85	314.56	314.61	316.35	318.33(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	47	40	91	-86	2.47	57%	-0.13	-29	2.07%	0	-0.6	22	INF
17	Aug_8_2014	323.57	333.3	314.96	313.62	313.12	313.61	316.8(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	10	33	-146	2.71	57%	-0.16	-26.1	2.07%	0	-0.8	22	INF
18	Aug_7_2014	324.1	334.81	315.58	311.67	312.52	312.86	311.45(-0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	20	15	-190	2.94	57%	-0.19	-27.5	2.07%	0	-1.2	18	INF
19	Aug_6_2014	324.73	335.81	319.92	311.98	311.83	312.62	313.89(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-55	20	-8	-194	2.3	52%	-0.2	-29.4	2.08%	0	-1.1	26	INF
20	Aug_5_2014	325.39	336.79	324.06	313.71	312.76	312.18	312.32(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-52	-20	-9	-182	2.86	52%	-0.2	-28.4	2.14%	0	-1.3	23	INF

21	Aug_4_2014	326.03	337.58	328.71	315.24	314.94	311.04	313.65(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-119	-90	-90	-205	4.21	52%	-0.19	-27.8	2.14%	0	-1.3	25	INF
22	Aug_1_2014	326.65	338.74	333.22	316.59	317.27	313.34	307.06(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-192	-80	-178	-233	7.44	50%	-0.2	-24.6	2.13%	0	-1.8	19	INF
23	Jul_31_2014	327.3	340.46	338.47	319.98	320.07	318.84	312.99(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-116	-30	-95	-179	5.19	50%	-0.18	-18.3	2.13%	0	-1.7	31	INF
24	Jul_30_2014	327.89	341.65	342.61	329.11	321.03	321.2	322.51(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-160	-70	-162	-152	3.97	53%	-0.14	-1.6	2.1%	0	-1.3	52	INF
25	Jul_29_2014	328.36	342.3	346.08	336.23	330.83	321.29	320(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-135	-250	-147	-97	2.89	53%		14.4	2.1%	0	-1.5	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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