Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 6, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $358.6600 (1.76%) ($352.0800 - $359.6800) on Fri. Jul. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.21% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $358.6600(1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.105% (StdDev 2.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $355.35(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $344.53(4.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $336.62(6.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.4%
Market Cap   $179.689b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 3.68% (three month std-dev: 2.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2014	330.11	336.62	344.53	355.35	354.75	354.88	358.66(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	-0	27	117	3.41	56%	-0.01	60.3	2.21%	0	1.8	73	0
2	Jul_17_2014	330.13	334.95	342.3	352.86	353.42	354.76	352.45(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	78	30	60	130	3.64	56%	-0.02	60.5	2.22%	0	1.5	70	0
3	Jul_16_2014	330.2	333.94	340.29	347.96	350.19	354.62	355.9(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	168	110	171	158	3.51	57%	-0.01	51.7	2.22%	0	2.1	70	0
4	Jul_15_2014	330.23	332.34	337.82	342.77	342.76	352.08	354.44(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	228	190	246	172	4.18	57%	0.01	39.7	2.23%	0	2.4	71	0
5	Jul_14_2014	330.2	330.89	334.77	336.64	336.19	345.76	355.32(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	322	200	365	191	5.62	57%	0.03	26.2	2.23%	0	3.1	68	0

6	Jul_11_2014	330.11	329.32	331.54	332.29	330.47	333.44	346.2(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	156	50	176	97	8.31	54%	-0.01	12.7	2.22%	0	3.1	66	0
7	Jul_10_2014	330.15	328.22	329.37	330.55	329.13	326.62	327.92(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-70	-58	-4	2.67	45%	-0.06	7.7	2.12%	0	-0.1	52	0
8	Jul_9_2014	330.35	328.55	329.36	331.53	331.56	327.51	329.97(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-96	-90	-118	-29	3.17	45%	-0.07	45.2	2.19%	0	0.3	45	0
9	Jul_8_2014	330.59	328.64	328.82	332.02	333.21	331.65	323.81(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-76	-20	-95	-18	4.28	47%	-0.02	75.2	2.19%	0	-1.1	50	0
10	Jul_7_2014	330.66	328.86	329.23	332.21	333.49	335.6	333.55(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	60	60	45	2.13	49%	-0.15	100.8	2.19%	0	1.1	55	0

11	Jul_3_2014	331.17	328.63	328.29	330.42	330.86	334.77	337.49(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	105	90	120	59	1.94	44%	-0.04	110.7	2.21%	0	2.2	61	0
12	Jul_2_2014	331.29	327.91	327.14	328.06	328.14	331.38	332.85(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	108	70	127	52	2.68	44%	-0.09	75.1	2.23%	0	0.9	57	0
13	Jul_1_2014	331.59	326.69	327.15	326.97	326.3	326.94	332.39(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	10	63	21	3.18	46%	-0.09	55.9	2.23%	0	0.8	46	0
14	Jun_30_2014	331.88	325.5	326.42	325.33	325.37	324.9	324.78(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10	-23	-26	2.67	44%	-0.11	42.9	2.2%	0	-0.1	42	0
15	Jun_27_2014	332.25	324.79	326.72	325.82	325.69	325.65	324.57(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-0	-3	-16	2.42	43%	-0.02	40.9	2.2%	0	-0	48	0

16	Jun_26_2014	332.33	324.26	326.92	325.75	325.64	325.83	325.69(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-0	0	5	-16	2.7	41%	-0.02	44.1	2.21%	0	0.2	47	0
17	Jun_25_2014	332.4	323.7	326.97	326.01	325.37	325.73	327.44(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	0	-19	-23	2.33	41%	-0.02	47.8	2.24%	0	0.4	55	0
18	Jun_24_2014	332.45	322.88	327.66	327.4	326.96	325.46	324.16(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-40	-7	9	2.63	39%	-0.03	55.7	2.24%	0	0.1	66	0
19	Jun_23_2014	332.54	322.27	328.48	327.69	328.15	325.02	327.24(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-64	-60	-85	-2	2.61	39%	-0.02	63.1	2.26%	0	0.5	68	0
20	Jun_20_2014	332.59	321.54	328.53	327.76	328.79	328.47	324.2(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-45	0	-66	20	6.06	38%	-0.03	70.2	2.27%	0	0.3	64	0

21	Jun_19_2014	332.68	320.64	329.12	328.18	329.04	331.28	327(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	72	60	66	89	5.33	37%	-0.02	72.7	2.27%	0	0.6	62	0
22	Jun_18_2014	332.75	319.58	328.86	327.96	327.73	329.11	334.38(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	62	30	52	92	6.41	37%	0.01	73.5	2.26%	0	1.4	67	0
23	Jun_17_2014	332.73	317.93	326.25	328.12	327.64	326.8	325.62(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-20	-24	62	2.92	35%	-0.02	72.9	2.24%	0	0.7	65	0
24	Jun_16_2014	332.81	316.54	324.6	329.48	329.89	326.35	327.62(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-34	-70	-63	53	2.45	35%	-0.02	69.7	2.24%	0	1	66	0
25	Jun_13_2014	332.87	315.07	322.83	329.46	331.04	328.48	326.27(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-85	-40	-122	28	2.77	35%		70.7	2.24%	0	1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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