Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $312.2400 (2.4%) ($304.9000 - $312.3500) on Fri. May. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.12% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $312.2400(2.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.06% (StdDev 2.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $304.02(2.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $301.97(3.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $300.83(3.79%)
To recent high   -17.6%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $156.432b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 2.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.88%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.65%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2014	335.43	300.83	301.97	304.02	304.42	307.06	312.24(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	106	60	113	85	3.06	35%	-0.1	-74.4	2.12%	0	1.9	49	0
2	May_22_2014	335.75	300.32	299.93	301.11	301.31	304.53	304.91(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	94	80	107	54	2.58	33%	-0.12	-65.6	2.11%	0	0.5	46	0
3	May_21_2014	336.17	301.72	298.33	299.17	298.78	301.78	305.01(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	97	70	119	32	3.41	33%	-0.13	-58.7	2.13%	0	0.3	46	0
4	May_20_2014	336.61	302.56	297.07	297.69	296.78	298.1	301.19(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	35	20	51	-13	4.1	33%	-0.15	-53	2.12%	0	-0.1	47	0
5	May_19_2014	337.12	303.84	296.63	298.38	296.9	295.78	296.76(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-40	-22	-42	2.29	32%	-0.17	-43.1	2.11%	0	-0.5	48	0

6	May_16_2014	337.7	305.45	297.82	299.6	298.67	295.47	297.7(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-63	-80	-69	-44	3.64	32%	-0.17	-34.4	2.11%	0	-0.6	52	0
7	May_15_2014	338.29	306.76	298.76	298.51	299.53	298.03	295.19(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-20	-67	-45	4.3	32%	-0.19	-33.4	2.12%	0	-0.8	44	0
8	May_14_2014	338.94	308.17	299.98	297.14	298.16	301.88	297.62(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	36	100	57	-27	3.33	32%	-0.18	-38.5	2.14%	0	-0.7	30	0
9	May_13_2014	339.56	309.12	300.63	296.15	295.71	301.03	304.64(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	149	120	197	6	3.51	35%	-0.16	-44.6	2.12%	0	-0.3	40	0
10	May_12_2014	340.1	309.68	300.16	294.7	293.07	294.44	302.86(3.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	36	20	73	-75	3.74	34%	-0.17	-48.4	2.14%	0	-0.5	38	0

11	May_9_2014	340.68	310.16	299.54	296.14	294.26	290.39	292.24(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-122	-110	-105	-171	4.06	30%	-0.23	-50	2.09%	0	-1.3	31	0
12	May_8_2014	341.45	311.48	300.75	299.29	298.69	291.7	288.32(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-229	-170	-231	-224	3.85	30%	-0.25	-51.9	2.1%	0	-1.8	33	0
13	May_7_2014	342.31	313.69	305.43	303.21	303.3	298.14	292.71(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-226	-120	-235	-197	7.02	30%	-0.24	-49.6	2.11%	0	-1.7	36	0
14	May_6_2014	343.12	315.46	308.58	305.49	306.75	305.68	297.38(-4.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-73	-10	-60	-110	4.68	30%	-0.22	-53.9	2.12%	0	-1.5	43	0
15	May_5_2014	343.88	316.58	311.72	306.09	306.19	308.46	310.05(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	34	50	62	-50	2.52	32%	-0.17	-63.8	2.08%	0	-0.6	48	0

16	May_2_2014	344.46	317.23	313.64	303.4	303.53	307.82	308.01(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	96	100	135	-20	4	32%	-0.18	-77	2.09%	0	-0.8	50	0
17	May_1_2014	345.08	318.49	315.3	302.56	300.84	303.92	307.89(1.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	51	50	81	-40	4.33	32%	-0.19	-79.7	2.11%	0	-0.9	47	0
18	Apr_30_2014	345.74	320.13	316.9	308.41	301.64	299.25	304.13(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-85	-120	-85	-86	4.09	32%	-0.21	-63.5	2.12%	0	-1.3	38	0
19	Apr_29_2014	346.48	322.05	318.27	312.5	309.28	297.76	300.38(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-243	-290	-274	-150	6.51	32%	-0.24	-57.8	2.13%	0	-1.7	39	0
20	Apr_28_2014	347.32	323.91	320.08	318.29	317.1	304.03	296.58(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-454	-300	-530	-227	14.48	32%	-0.27	-54.5	2.14%	0	-2.3	43	0

21	Apr_25_2014	348.26	326.08	321.96	325.15	325.52	320.81	303.83(-9.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-245	-100	-291	-107	16.19	33%	-0.24	-54.6	2.14%	0	-2.2	43	0
22	Apr_24_2014	349.1	327.88	323.55	329.37	329.84	330.17	337.15(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	10	46	40	9.29	40%	-0.06	-63.9	1.69%	0	1	50	0
23	Apr_23_2014	349.32	328.06	322.77	326.67	327.71	330.24	324.58(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	54	60	65	22	3.6	35%	-0.14	-82.9	1.62%	0	-0.4	39	0
24	Apr_22_2014	349.81	329.45	322.95	324.97	325.79	329.51	329.32(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	185	90	227	59	3.71	35%	-0.12	-85.5	1.62%	0	-0	40	0
25	Apr_21_2014	350.22	330.47	321.76	322.29	321.34	325.17	330.87(1.83%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	118	70	158	-4	3	35%		-93.4	1.64%	0	0	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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