Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 9, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $292.2400 (1.36%) ($284.3800 - $293.6800) on Fri. May. 9, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $292.2400(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(47%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $310.16
5 Day Moving Average   $296.14(-1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $299.54(-2.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $310.16(-5.78%)
To recent high   -22.8%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $146.412b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 4.46% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.31%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.08%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.16%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -3.3%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 8.04%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.07%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2014	340.68	310.16	299.54	296.14	294.26	290.39	292.24(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-122	-110	-105	-171	4.06	30%	-0.23	-50	2.09%	0	-1.3	31	NAN
2	May_8_2014	341.45	311.48	300.75	299.29	298.69	291.7	288.32(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-229	-170	-231	-224	3.85	30%	-0.25	-51.9	2.1%	0	-1.8	33	NAN
3	May_7_2014	342.31	313.69	305.43	303.21	303.3	298.14	292.71(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-226	-120	-235	-197	7.02	30%	-0.24	-49.6	2.11%	0	-1.7	36	NAN
4	May_6_2014	343.12	315.46	308.58	305.49	306.75	305.68	297.38(-4.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-73	-10	-60	-110	4.68	30%	-0.22	-53.9	2.12%	0	-1.5	43	NAN
5	May_5_2014	343.88	316.58	311.72	306.09	306.19	308.46	310.05(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	34	50	62	-50	2.52	32%	-0.17	-63.8	2.08%	0	-0.6	48	NAN

6	May_2_2014	344.46	317.23	313.64	303.4	303.53	307.82	308.01(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	96	100	135	-20	4	32%	-0.18	-77	2.09%	0	-0.8	50	NAN
7	May_1_2014	345.08	318.49	315.3	302.56	300.84	303.92	307.89(1.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	51	50	81	-40	4.33	32%	-0.19	-79.7	2.11%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
8	Apr_30_2014	345.74	320.13	316.9	308.41	301.64	299.25	304.13(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-85	-120	-85	-86	4.09	32%	-0.21	-63.5	2.12%	0	-1.3	38	NAN
9	Apr_29_2014	346.48	322.05	318.27	312.5	309.28	297.76	300.38(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-243	-290	-274	-150	6.51	32%	-0.24	-57.8	2.13%	0	-1.7	39	NAN
10	Apr_28_2014	347.32	323.91	320.08	318.29	317.1	304.03	296.58(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-454	-300	-530	-227	14.48	32%	-0.27	-54.5	2.14%	0	-2.3	43	NAN

11	Apr_25_2014	348.26	326.08	321.96	325.15	325.52	320.81	303.83(-9.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-245	-100	-291	-107	16.19	33%	-0.24	-54.6	2.14%	0	-2.2	43	NAN
12	Apr_24_2014	349.1	327.88	323.55	329.37	329.84	330.17	337.15(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	10	46	40	9.29	40%	-0.06	-63.9	1.69%	0	1	50	NAN
13	Apr_23_2014	349.32	328.06	322.77	326.67	327.71	330.24	324.58(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	54	60	65	22	3.6	35%	-0.14	-82.9	1.62%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
14	Apr_22_2014	349.81	329.45	322.95	324.97	325.79	329.51	329.32(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	185	90	227	59	3.71	35%	-0.12	-85.5	1.62%	0	-0	40	NAN
15	Apr_21_2014	350.22	330.47	321.76	322.29	321.34	325.17	330.87(1.83%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	118	70	158	-4	3	35%	-0.11	-93.4	1.64%	0	0	46	NAN

16	Apr_17_2014	350.61	331.8	320.85	318.46	318.66	322.08	324.91(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	138	80	194	-31	4.3	32%	-0.15	-83.7	1.63%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
17	Apr_16_2014	351.15	333.86	321.55	316.9	316.07	317.52	323.68(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	20	50	-104	4.29	32%	-0.16	-78.3	1.64%	0	-0.6	41	NAN
18	Apr_15_2014	351.73	336.2	323.15	318.53	316.8	315.24	316.08(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-79	-50	-58	-143	5.4	28%	-0.22	-68.6	1.61%	0	-1	33	NAN
19	Apr_14_2014	352.51	339.24	325.74	320.73	320.45	314.63	315.91(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-158	-130	-151	-178	4.29	28%	-0.23	-62	1.63%	0	-1.2	28	NAN
20	Apr_11_2014	353.32	342.15	327.82	321.1	322.33	318.37	311.73(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-271	-70	-280	-244	7.29	28%	-0.27	-60.8	1.63%	0	-1.5	27	NAN

21	Apr_10_2014	354.27	345.28	330.57	323.35	323.9	326.27	317.11(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	60	-29	-152	6.13	30%	-0.24	-60	1.64%	0	-1.4	26	NAN
22	Apr_9_2014	355.13	348.04	332.8	326.65	324.77	326.29	331.81(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	53	20	110	-120	5.06	33%	-0.16	-58.4	1.52%	0	-0.9	27	NAN
23	Apr_8_2014	355.69	349.97	333.88	328.68	326.74	321.53	327.07(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-190	-130	-169	-251	6.59	33%	-0.2	-56.9	1.52%	0	-1.2	22	NAN
24	Apr_7_2014	356.39	352.1	336.53	331.87	331.82	323.25	317.76(-1.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-413	-180	-427	-370	7.08	27%	-0.27	-53.3	1.45%	0	-1.9	12	NAN
25	Apr_4_2014	357.35	354.85	340.02	335.59	337.23	331.95	323(-3.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-360	-90	-365	-346	12.53	29%		-50.1	1.46%	0	-1.9	17	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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