Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMZN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $351.8500 (-2.43%) ($348.6000 - $361.5000) on Mon. Mar. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $351.8500(-2.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(49%)    XLY(47%)    XLK(46%)    SPY(40%)    VT(40%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $367.35
5 Day Moving Average   $366.69(-4.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $369.06(-4.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $367.35(-4.22%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $176.277b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.79%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.13%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2014	362.62	367.35	369.06	366.69	366.51	360.61	351.85(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-358	-110	-413	-191	4.88	37%	-0.1	51	1.32%	0	-2.1	42	NAN
2	Mar_21_2014	362.98	367.52	371.13	371.33	372.01	367.71	360.62(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-214	-80	-257	-85	5.42	43%	-0.02	61.9	1.27%	0	-0.9	56	NAN
3	Mar_20_2014	363.06	366.97	372.39	373.95	374.61	372.41	368.97(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-149	-40	-190	-25	2.56	50%	0.06	60.8	1.22%	0	0.2	62	NAN
4	Mar_19_2014	362.85	366.08	372.75	374.46	375.73	376.31	373.23(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	20	-17	64	2.65	50%	0.1	58.3	1.21%	0	0.8	70	NAN
5	Mar_18_2014	362.47	364.84	372.66	373.94	375.66	376.82	378.77(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	140	40	139	141	2.48	56%	0.17	49.6	1.2%	0	1.5	80	NAN

6	Mar_17_2014	361.84	363.56	371.19	371.95	373.27	375.14	375.04(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	78	50	69	105	2.31	56%	0.15	42.9	1.21%	0	1.3	80	NAN
7	Mar_14_2014	361.31	362.63	369.73	371.05	371.73	374.5	373.74(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	147	60	149	142	4.4	56%	0.14	39.9	1.23%	0	1.3	84	NAN
8	Mar_13_2014	360.79	361.76	368.58	370.71	370.87	371.39	371.51(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	116	10	108	141	6.83	56%	0.13	0	1.26%	0	1.2	85	NAN
9	Mar_12_2014	360.33	360.66	367.49	370.84	370.36	368.96	370.64(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-43	-30	-84	79	2.22	56%	0.13	0	1.28%	0	1.2	77	NAN
10	Mar_11_2014	359.86	360.14	366.44	371.19	371.53	370.36	368.82(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-20	-39	114	2.25	56%	0.12	0	1.31%	0	1.1	78	NAN

11	Mar_10_2014	359.43	359.69	365.43	370.2	371.1	371.76	370.53(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	20	11	133	2.11	56%	0.15	0	1.34%	0	1.4	68	NAN
12	Mar_7_2014	358.88	359.14	363.63	368.05	369.42	372.7	372.06(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	170	70	168	175	2.28	56%	0.2	0	1.37%	0	1.7	64	NAN
13	Mar_6_2014	358.18	359.14	361.15	366.06	365.84	370.45	372.16(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	191	90	224	90	2.93	56%	0.22	0	1.4%	0	52.9	64	NAN
14	Mar_5_2014	357.41	359.14	358.89	363.66	363.04	366.13	372.37(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	196	50	231	92	3.86	56%	0.25	0	1.44%	0	58.2	70	NAN
15	Mar_4_2014	356.53	359.14	356.33	361.14	360.56	361.24	363.9(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	10	71	28	2.71	45%	0.13	0	1.38%	0	67.1	50	NAN

16	Mar_3_2014	356.07	359.14	355.23	360.03	359.66	359.95	359.78(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	0	22	9	2.8	45%	0.07	0	1.4%	0	68.5	48	NAN
17	Feb_28_2014	355.82	359.14	354.91	358.43	359.04	359.89	362.1(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	83	20	98	39	3.89	45%	0.13	0	1.43%	0	67.9	49	NAN
18	Feb_27_2014	355.37	359.14	354.3	355.36	355.77	359.38	360.13(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	77	70	90	36	3.11	45%	0.1	0	1.48%	0	68.7	50	NAN
19	Feb_26_2014	355	359.14	353.19	353.29	353.68	358.2	359.8(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	225	90	264	106	3.62	45%	0.11	0	1.54%	0	68.4	50	NAN
20	Feb_25_2014	354.6	359.14	353.22	350.81	350.67	352.16	358.32(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	106	30	124	50	3.75	45%	0.1	0	1.6%	0	67.7	50	NAN

21	Feb_24_2014	354.26	359.14	353.34	349.87	349.22	349.17	351.78(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10	-30	-12	3.65	32%	-0.07	0	1.56%	0	65.1	50	NAN
22	Feb_21_2014	354.51	359.14	354.22	350.99	350.52	349.19	346.76(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-30	-46	-18	4.21	32%	-0.24	0	1.53%	0	61.9	50	NAN
23	Feb_20_2014	355.37	359.14	354.22	353.08	352.35	349.26	349.8(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-83	-70	-98	-39	3.5	32%	-0.2	0	1.61%	0	66.9	50	NAN
24	Feb_19_2014	356.07	359.14	354.22	352.97	353.3	351.85	347.38(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-108	-30	-127	-51	4.18	32%	-0.35	0	1.67%	0	67.6	50	NAN
25	Feb_18_2014	357.31	359.14	354.22	355.85	353.87	355.44	353.65(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	10	-17	-7	5	42%		0	1.72%	0	83.6	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.