Trading Signals: AMTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 26, 2007

Trading Signals: AMTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jun. 27, 2006 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Aemetis Inc)
AMTX latest price $155.0000 (4.03%) ($145.0000 - $155.0000) on Mon. Feb. 26, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.24% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $155.0000(4.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMTX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMTX advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(6%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(5%)    TLT(5%)    LQD(2%)
Factors Impacting AMTX price   AMTX will decline at least -2.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(-5%)    SPY(-4%)    FXI(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    XLP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.62% (StdDev 5.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $151.3(2.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $147.87(4.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $144.2(7.49%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   24%
Market Cap   $3.206b

Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable fuels and biochemicals company. The firm focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of technologies that replace traditional petroleum-based products by the conversion of ethanol and biodiesel plants into biorefineries. It operates through the North America and India segments. The North America segment comprises of the Keyes Plant in California, the cellulosic ethanol facility in Riverbank, the cluster of biogas digesters on dairies near Keyes, the Goodland Plant, and the research and development facility in Minnesota. The India segment includes the Kakinada plant, administrative offices in Hyderabad, and holding companies in Nevada and Mauritius. Its products include glycerin, ethanol, food and feed, biodiesel, and edible oils. The company was founded by Eric Armstrong McAfee in 2005 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AMTX price fluctuates within 3.99% (three month std-dev: 5.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.69%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.03%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.51%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.94%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.38%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2007	145.14	144.2	147.87	151.3	120.73	148.71	155(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	1020	19	52	0	46%	0.03	85	5.24%	0	1.9	66	0
2	Feb_23_2007	145.09	142.95	146.34	149.8	120.23	147.4	149(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	591	990	684	311	0	46%	-0.04	79.8	5.21%	0	1	60	0
3	Feb_22_2007	145.15	142.14	145.01	149.5	92.59	92.75	147.5(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-1130	2	32	0	46%	-0.06	70.6	5.26%	0	0.9	59	0
4	Feb_21_2007	145.23	141.3	144.5	148.52	92.17	93.06	152.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-111	-1070	-138	-28	0	50%	-0.02	53.8	5.24%	0	1.7	68	0
5	Feb_20_2007	145.26	140.62	143.42	146.44	118.28	92.44	152.5(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-2110	25	28	0	47%	-0.14	51.4	5.44%	0	2	68	0

6	Feb_16_2007	145.46	139.47	142.31	143.94	116.85	91.28	147.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-484	-2100	-574	-215	0	49%	-0.09	32.1	5.85%	0	1.3	79	0
7	Feb_15_2007	145.59	138.38	141.75	142.4	141.44	144.11	147.5(3.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	27	110	27	28	0	45%	-0.16	22.9	5.94%	0	1.5	79	0
8	Feb_14_2007	145.83	137.94	141.17	139.9	139.99	142.43	142.6(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	120	43	31	0	45%	-0.03	21.8	6.21%	0	0.8	69	0
9	Feb_13_2007	145.88	137.88	141.13	139.88	137.17	138.78	142.1(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	123	20	138	77	0	45%	-0.08	22.1	6.22%	0	0.8	71	0
10	Feb_12_2007	145.99	137.62	141.14	139.96	110.5	137.55	140(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	121	1080	135	78	0	45%	-0.1	20.7	6.24%	0	0.4	51	0

11	Feb_9_2007	146.14	137.48	140.26	140.46	85.59	135.56	139.8(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	467	2910	541	243	0	45%	-0.04	21.5	6.25%	0	0.4	62	0
12	Feb_8_2007	146.2	137.02	139.38	141	59.54	83.45	135(-5.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	428	1080	494	230	0	47%	-0.11	15.8	6.25%	0	-0.3	64	0
13	Feb_7_2007	146.36	136.71	139.25	141	59.54	83.45	142.5(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-2250	0	35	0	47%	-0.18	13.1	6.25%	0	0.9	53	0
14	Feb_6_2007	146.62	136.64	138.04	141	59.54	83.45	142.5(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-2250	0	28	0	47%	-0.16	15.1	6.26%	0	1	50	0
15	Feb_5_2007	146.85	136.46	137.72	142.5	35.63	83.45	142.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-93	-2250	-118	-17	0	47%	-0.21	6.1	6.26%	0	1	54	0

16	Feb_2_2007	147.16	136.28	136.48	139.98	61.55	83.45	142.5(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	12	-4630	10	19	0	45%	-0.18	-13	6.27%	0	1	54	0
17	Feb_1_2007	147.42	136.1	134.77	137.46	60.76	35.63	142.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-436	-4570	-514	-203	0	45%	-0.22	-42.2	6.33%	0	1.1	60	0
18	Jan_31_2007	147.74	135.91	134.37	135.46	83.88	87.48	142.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-83	-840	-98	-37	0	45%	-0.22	-69.6	6.33%	0	1.2	61	0
19	Jan_30_2007	148.07	135.72	134.19	132.96	108.41	85.9	142.5(9.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	39	-2010	48	12	0	45%	-0.22	-97.1	6.34%	0	1.2	50	0
20	Jan_29_2007	148.39	136.1	133.55	132.48	107.96	80.29	129.9(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-461	-2350	-539	-227	0	43%	-0.35	-103.7	6.22%	0	-1.1	45	0

21	Jan_26_2007	148.91	137.07	134.32	132.5	135.34	130.93	129.9(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-160	-38	-28	0	43%	-0.35	-110.4	6.22%	0	-1.3	45	0
22	Jan_25_2007	149.43	138.61	134.43	131.52	135.82	135.63	132.5(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	90	-27	-34	0	43%	-0.4	-94.5	6.22%	0	-0.9	47	0
23	Jan_24_2007	150.03	140.02	134.04	133.02	133.88	139.76	130(-7.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	12	330	22	-17	0	45%	-0.38	-82.7	6.21%	0	-1.4	45	0
24	Jan_23_2007	150.6	141.47	135.25	135.52	134.35	136.01	140.1(7.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	60	64	11	0	46%	-0.07	-67.2	6.28%	0	-0.2	51	0
25	Jan_22_2007	150.71	142.14	135.14	135	134.47	128	130(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-350	-50	-45	0	43%		-77	6.26%	0	-1.4	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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