Trading Signals: AMTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 28, 2006

Trading Signals: AMTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jun. 27, 2006 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Aemetis Inc)
AMTX latest price $160.0000 (-5.88%) ($160.0000 - $160.0000) on Thu. Sep. 28, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.92% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $160.0000(-5.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMTX advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMTX declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(6%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(5%)    TLT(4%)    LQD(2%)
Factors Impacting AMTX price   AMTX will decline at least -3.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(-5%)    SPY(-4%)    FXI(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    XLP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.46% (StdDev 6.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $145.03(-9.36%)
Resistance Level   $169.29
5 Day Moving Average   $157(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $158.32(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $169.29(-5.49%)
To recent high   -33.3%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $3.309b

Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable fuels and biochemicals company. The firm focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of technologies that replace traditional petroleum-based products by the conversion of ethanol and biodiesel plants into biorefineries. It operates through the North America and India segments. The North America segment comprises of the Keyes Plant in California, the cellulosic ethanol facility in Riverbank, the cluster of biogas digesters on dairies near Keyes, the Goodland Plant, and the research and development facility in Minnesota. The India segment includes the Kakinada plant, administrative offices in Hyderabad, and holding companies in Nevada and Mauritius. Its products include glycerin, ethanol, food and feed, biodiesel, and edible oils. The company was founded by Eric Armstrong McAfee in 2005 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AMTX price fluctuates within 8.95% (three month std-dev: 6.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2006	186.51	169.29	158.32	157	153.13	155.31	160(-5.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	36	30	54	-19	0	73%	-0.22	-23.1	6.92%	0	-0.6	41	0
2	Sep_27_2006	186.92	169.29	158.97	154	151.25	149.69	170(15.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	-130	3	-54	0	73%	-0.14	-31.7	6.88%	0	0	45	0
3	Sep_26_2006	187.18	169.85	158.96	150	150.16	150.94	147.5(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	40	-26	-87	0	70%	-0.34	-43.2	6.67%	0	-1.5	25	0
4	Sep_25_2006	187.81	170.89	161.7	154	151.16	152.81	152.5(-1.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	20	8	-67	0	70%	-0.3	-46.5	6.71%	0	-1.3	31	0
5	Sep_22_2006	188.38	172	163.71	156.5	154.13	149.38	155(6.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-260	-21	-82	0	70%	-0.29	-53.1	6.76%	0	-1.3	28	0

6	Sep_21_2006	188.93	172.86	166.17	160	157.25	149.5	145(-3.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-103	-400	-100	-113	0	69%	-0.38	-52.3	6.76%	0	-2.2	18	0
7	Sep_20_2006	189.66	174.74	169.8	164.5	162.25	158.88	150(-10.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-69	-190	-64	-83	0	69%	-0.35	-54.2	6.8%	0	-2.2	45	0
8	Sep_19_2006	190.33	176.58	173.85	169	164.84	165	167.5(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-70	-17	-45	0	75%	-0.21	-48.3	6.72%	0	-0.9	52	0
9	Sep_18_2006	190.73	177.69	175.58	170.5	167.03	165.63	165(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-120	-9	-30	0	75%	-0.24	-44	6.77%	0	-1.3	54	0
10	Sep_15_2006	191.18	179.4	178.52	172	170	164.69	172.5(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-250	-37	-27	0	75%	-0.17	-33.8	6.81%	0	-0.7	53	0

11	Sep_14_2006	191.51	179.81	181.14	173.5	171.56	168.44	167.5(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	65	-160	75	35	0	75%	-0.23	-34.8	6.86%	0	-1.2	52	0
12	Sep_13_2006	191.95	180.96	181.68	176	142.03	175.31	172.5(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	1060	-8	4	0	75%	-0.19	-25.1	6.91%	0	-0.8	49	0
13	Sep_12_2006	192.31	181.39	181.66	179.5	143.59	174.69	175(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	385	920	450	190	0	75%	-0.17	-25.1	6.97%	0	-0.6	47	0
14	Sep_11_2006	192.64	182.13	180.91	181.5	148.13	108.75	172.5(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-2410	-50	-15	0	75%	-0.2	-30.7	7.03%	0	-1	43	0
15	Sep_8_2006	193.02	183.02	181.09	186	151.88	112.5	180(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-590	-2370	-696	-273	0	75%	-0.13	-32.2	7.07%	0	-0.3	41	0

16	Sep_7_2006	193.28	183.51	180.21	190	189.38	187.5	180(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-80	-34	-2	0	75%	-0.13	-38.8	7.14%	0	-0.4	52	0
17	Sep_6_2006	193.54	183.55	180.2	188	191.88	187.5	190(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	40	32	15	0	75%	-0.04	-69.9	7.17%	0	0.6	51	0
18	Sep_5_2006	193.62	183.92	179.53	184	185.63	191.25	185(-5.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	240	20	2	0	75%	-0.09	-88	7.23%	0	0.1	54	0
19	Sep_1_2006	193.8	185.26	179.85	180	180.31	192.5	195(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	101	480	123	33	0	75%	0.02	-74.3	7.26%	0	0.7	52	0
20	Aug_31_2006	193.77	186.27	179.97	175.5	173.13	180	200(17.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	87	240	109	20	0	75%	0.07	-69	7.33%	0	0.8	54	0

21	Aug_30_2006	193.63	187.47	177.73	169.5	168.75	168.13	170(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-40	17	-38	0	70%	-0.27	-63.8	6.96%	0	-0.9	41	0
22	Aug_29_2006	194.16	190.8	179.71	171.5	167.19	166.25	170(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-110	-44	-53	0	70%	-0.28	-54	7.03%	0	-1	48	0
23	Aug_28_2006	194.71	193.69	180.84	174.5	171.25	169.38	165(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-130	-16	-43	0	70%	-0.35	-47.8	7.1%	0	-1.4	37	0
24	Aug_25_2006	195.4	196.48	183.45	179.5	175.31	168.13	172.5(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-360	-64	-60	0	70%	-0.28	-44.1	7.15%	0	-1.2	35	0
25	Aug_24_2006	195.95	198.66	185.27	185	180.31	173.13	170(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-91	-350	-97	-71	0	70%		-39.5	7.24%	0	-1.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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