Trading Signals: AMTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 16, 2006

Trading Signals: AMTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jun. 27, 2006 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Aemetis Inc)
AMTX latest price $190.0000 (5.56%) ($180.0000 - $190.0000) on Wed. Aug. 16, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.39% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $190.0000(5.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMTX advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMTX declines -8.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(6%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(5%)    TLT(5%)    LQD(2%)
Factors Impacting AMTX price   AMTX will decline at least -3.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(-5%)    FXI(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    XLP(-3%)    SPY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.695% (StdDev 7.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.6%

Resistance Level   $207.95
5 Day Moving Average   $188(1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $197.64(-3.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $207.95(-8.63%)
To recent high   -20.8%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $3.93b

Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable fuels and biochemicals company. The firm focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of technologies that replace traditional petroleum-based products by the conversion of ethanol and biodiesel plants into biorefineries. It operates through the North America and India segments. The North America segment comprises of the Keyes Plant in California, the cellulosic ethanol facility in Riverbank, the cluster of biogas digesters on dairies near Keyes, the Goodland Plant, and the research and development facility in Minnesota. The India segment includes the Kakinada plant, administrative offices in Hyderabad, and holding companies in Nevada and Mauritius. Its products include glycerin, ethanol, food and feed, biodiesel, and edible oils. The company was founded by Eric Armstrong McAfee in 2005 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AMTX price fluctuates within 8.01% (three month std-dev: 7.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2006	197.91	207.95	197.64	188	186.56	182.5	190(5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-180	-13	-75	0	67%	-0.11	-33.2	7.39%	0	-1.1	40	0
2	Aug_15_2006	198.13	208.61	202.33	186	186.25	185	180(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-40	-50	-84	0	67%	-0.27	-45.3	7.45%	0	-1.8	37	0
3	Aug_14_2006	198.67	209.82	207.27	190	187.97	190.63	190(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	70	-5	-53	0	67%	-0.13	-34.4	7.49%	0	-1.3	41	0
4	Aug_11_2006	198.93	210.05	210.38	195	192.66	187.5	190(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	-220	-12	-46	0	67%	-0.14	-19.7	7.61%	0	-1.3	38	0
5	Aug_10_2006	199.21	211.72	213.1	201	197.34	185.31	190(5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-115	-480	-126	-82	0	67%	-0.15	9.7	7.73%	0	-1.5	38	0

6	Aug_9_2006	199.51	213.64	216.11	209	206.41	197.81	180(-10%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-117	-330	-134	-64	0	67%	-0.32	44.9	7.8%	0	-2.3	46	0
7	Aug_8_2006	200.16	216.25	219.88	221	218.28	209.38	200(-6.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-56	-320	-71	-11	0	75%	0	85.9	7.68%	0	-1.1	55	0
8	Aug_7_2006	200.16	215.31	221.46	226.82	225.47	215	215(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-71	-340	-94	-3	0	75%	0.27	80.8	7.66%	0	-0	63	0
9	Aug_4_2006	199.63	213.07	222.05	227.82	228.85	227.19	220(-4.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-32	-40	-51	27	0	75%	0.38	67.6	7.76%	0	0.3	71	0
10	Aug_3_2006	198.88	210.3	222.08	226.82	227.76	235.94	230(-4.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	59	260	56	67	0	75%	0.61	62.6	7.82%	0	0.9	54	0

11	Aug_2_2006	197.68	207.39	219.2	224.32	222.91	230.51	240(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	89	220	95	69	0	75%	0.86	61	7.89%	0	1.4	54	0
12	Aug_1_2006	195.99	204.11	215.13	218.92	217.66	219.58	229.1(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	40	42	28	0	75%	0.71	60.5	8.03%	0	1.1	49	0
13	Jul_31_2006	194.61	201.62	212.19	218.92	214.63	215.31	220(2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	10	-6	10	0	75%	0.57	0	8.19%	0	0.8	70	0
14	Jul_28_2006	193.5	199.62	209.3	215.62	215.42	215.75	215(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	10	-1	20	0	75%	0.5	0	8.37%	0	0.7	72	0
15	Jul_27_2006	192.53	196.98	209.84	216.62	218.54	213.94	217.5(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	-120	4	45	0	75%	0.62	0	8.54%	0	0.9	74	0

16	Jul_26_2006	191.34	194.17	210.57	213.12	216.61	215.09	213(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-17	0	-36	41	0	75%	0.57	0	8.75%	0	0.8	68	0
17	Jul_25_2006	190.26	191.46	212.05	210.52	214.39	223.15	212.6(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	340	52	89	0	75%	0.62	0	8.97%	0	0.9	65	0
18	Jul_24_2006	189.08	191.46	208.65	208	208.13	218.13	220(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	83	340	98	39	0	75%	0.92	0	9.13%	0	8.9	65	0
19	Jul_21_2006	187.36	191.46	203.45	202	201.25	205.63	220(10%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	140	42	17	0	75%	1.04	0	9.37%	0	9.1	65	0
20	Jul_20_2006	185.44	191.46	197.66	202.5	200.31	198.13	200(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-110	-11	-4	0	72%	0.49	0	9.46%	0	8.5	67	0

21	Jul_19_2006	184.53	191.46	194.9	208	204.22	196.88	200(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-49	-310	-57	-23	0	72%	0.56	0	9.76%	0	8.3	67	0
22	Jul_18_2006	183.5	191.46	192.51	214	211.56	202.5	200(5.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-330	-45	-18	0	72%	0.65	0	10.09%	0	8.2	68	0
23	Jul_17_2006	182.32	191.46	190.52	209	213.28	211.56	190(-14.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	0	-16	-6	0	72%	0.32	0	10.43%	0	7.6	50	0
24	Jul_14_2006	181.73	191.46	189.61	204	205.47	220.63	222.5(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	72	540	84	34	0	90%	1.91	0	9.65%	0	8.6	50	0
25	Jul_13_2006	178.33	191.46	183.23	191.5	192.19	215	227.5(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	154	840	181	72	0	90%		0	9.93%	0	9.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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