Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $61.6500 (2.24%) ($59.4000 - $62.2500) on Fri. Aug. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.38% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $61.6500(2.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(11%)    DIA(10%)    IWM(10%)    XAR(10%)    JNK(9%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -1.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    TIP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.69% (StdDev 3.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.07(4.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.68(6.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.58(8.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   38.9%
Market Cap   $12.615b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 3.69% (three month std-dev: 3.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.91%(62%) Average negative next day return: -1.21%(38%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 2.99%(31%) Average negative next three day return: -3.04%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.95%(31%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.95%(69%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2014	53.92	56.58	57.68	59.07	58.86	60.21	61.65(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	150	44	66	0.02	52%	0.07	49.1	3.38%	0	2.4	65	0
2	Aug_14_2014	53.88	56.17	56.93	57.84	57.74	58.73	60.3(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	110	35	40	0.02	52%	0.11	24.7	3.39%	0	2	64	0
3	Aug_13_2014	53.82	55.72	56.93	56.97	56.82	57.51	58.35(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	80	14	25	0.01	52%	-0.04	1.6	3.37%	0	1.5	64	0
4	Aug_12_2014	53.84	55.51	56.5	56.88	56.61	56.76	57.9(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	0	12	33	0.01	52%	0.02	-13	3.38%	0	1.4	57	0
5	Aug_11_2014	53.83	55.46	56.35	56.52	56.71	56.14	57.15(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-60	3	29	0.01	52%	0	-16.3	3.38%	0	0.9	57	0

6	Aug_8_2014	53.83	55.58	56.14	56.07	56.39	56.46	55.5(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	30	-7	18	0.01	53%	-0.11	-20.1	3.64%	0	-0	55	0
7	Aug_7_2014	53.89	55.68	56.1	55.83	56.15	57.28	55.95(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	160	15	25	0.01	53%	-0.02	-24.6	3.85%	0	0.1	57	0
8	Aug_6_2014	53.9	55.69	55.9	55.92	55.66	56.33	57.9(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	70	16	34	0.01	48%	-0.06	-27.6	3.86%	0	1.1	70	0
9	Aug_5_2014	53.93	55.74	55.63	56.1	55.6	55.01	56.1(2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-100	-5	31	0.01	48%	-0.07	-18.6	3.98%	0	0.2	55	0
10	Aug_4_2014	53.97	55.77	55.48	56.19	56.25	54.99	54.9(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-150	-18	21	0.01	48%	-0.15	-14.7	3.97%	0	-0.4	45	0

11	Aug_1_2014	54.05	55.96	55.44	56.22	56.57	56.19	54.3(-3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-30	-17	8	0.01	48%	-0.13	-11.6	3.98%	0	-0.8	38	0
12	Jul_31_2014	54.12	56.16	55.42	56.34	56.48	57.51	56.4(-4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	140	17	14	0.01	48%	-0.09	-10.1	3.98%	0	0.1	47	0
13	Jul_30_2014	54.17	56.28	54.92	55.8	55.79	56.94	58.8(3.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	24	140	32	-1	0.02	50%	-0.07	-13.9	3.95%	0	1.1	54	0
14	Jul_29_2014	54.21	56.12	54.45	55.11	54.93	55.44	56.55(2.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	60	15	-32	0	48%	-0.18	-31.8	3.93%	0	0.2	44	0
15	Jul_28_2014	54.31	56.09	54.47	54.72	54.73	54.64	55.05(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10	5	-41	0	48%	-0.24	-45.9	3.99%	0	-0.5	47	0

16	Jul_25_2014	54.44	56.22	54.91	54.57	54.63	54.42	54.9(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-20	-2	-44	0.01	44%	-0.33	-50	4%	0	-0.6	43	0
17	Jul_24_2014	54.62	56.38	55.17	54.36	54.42	54.83	53.7(-2.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	60	8	-43	0	44%	-0.38	-50.6	4.13%	0	-1.2	43	0
18	Jul_23_2014	54.83	56.6	55.45	53.85	53.9	54.85	55.35(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	130	16	-53	0.01	44%	-0.38	-57.1	4.17%	0	-0.6	43	0
19	Jul_22_2014	55.04	56.84	55.82	53.67	53.29	54.01	54.6(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	70	4	-53	0.01	44%	-0.33	-49	4.19%	0	-1	50	0
20	Jul_21_2014	55.22	57.14	56.06	54.21	53.78	52.95	54.3(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-130	-16	-52	0.01	48%	-0.25	-31.6	4.21%	0	-1.2	49	0

21	Jul_18_2014	55.36	57.37	56.52	55.38	55.24	52.58	53.85(5.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-340	-41	-44	0.01	48%	-0.34	-6.2	4.3%	0	-1.5	45	0
22	Jul_17_2014	55.55	57.55	56.98	56.16	56.84	54.6	51.15(-6.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-50	-240	-54	-39	0.02	45%	-0.31	16.3	4.29%	0	-3	39	0
23	Jul_16_2014	55.72	57.87	57.82	57.21	57.82	57.9	54.45(-4.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-20	40	-23	-10	0.02	48%	0	59	4.22%	0	-2.2	44	0
24	Jul_15_2014	55.72	58	58.03	58.2	57.9	59.08	57.3(-4.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	130	19	11	0.03	51%	0.05	106.6	4.22%	0	-0.5	44	0
25	Jul_14_2014	55.69	57.9	57.93	58.14	57.58	57.75	60.15(4.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	12	-10	16	-2	0.02	54%		109.7	4.21%	0	1.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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