Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $57.9000 (-4.22%) ($55.6500 - $60.1500) on Wed. Jun. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.23% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $57.9000(-4.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(11%)    XLE(11%)    DIA(10%)    PEJ(10%)    XAR(10%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -2.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.615% (StdDev 5.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.95(-1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.75(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.48(8.26%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   37.9%
Market Cap   $11.847b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 7.74% (three month std-dev: 5.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(17%) Average negative next day return: -3.21%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.43%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.96%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 5.5%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.65%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2014	55.08	53.48	56.75	58.95	59.11	59.49	57.9(-4.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	50	-2	90	0.02	47%	0.04	64.6	5.23%	0	1.1	78	INF
2	Jun_24_2014	55.06	53.17	56.07	58.71	58.75	60.11	60.45(-0.25%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.4	46	160	25	109	0.02	47%	0.02	71.5	5.25%	0	1.8	92	INF
3	Jun_23_2014	55.05	52.71	55.08	57.9	57.65	58.72	60.6(3.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	47	120	25	112	0.03	47%	-0.05	78.5	5.25%	0	2.1	93	INF
4	Jun_20_2014	55.08	52.17	54.05	56.76	56.86	57.39	58.8(3.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	70	22	104	0.02	47%	-0.13	87	5.27%	0	2	77	INF
5	Jun_19_2014	55.15	51.49	53.29	55.44	55.99	56.57	57(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	100	18	88	0.02	47%	-0.11	78.5	5.31%	0	1.7	62	INF

6	Jun_18_2014	55.21	50.93	52.59	54.21	54.64	56.33	56.7(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	240	24	69	0.02	47%	-0.16	70	5.37%	0	1.9	56	INF
7	Jun_17_2014	55.3	50.45	51.61	53.01	53.36	55.41	56.4(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	290	40	51	0.04	47%	-0.16	66.7	5.38%	0	2.1	58	INF
8	Jun_16_2014	55.39	49.94	50.56	51.84	51.78	52.95	54.9(5.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	150	27	20	0.02	47%	-0.23	61.1	5.4%	0	1.9	56	INF
9	Jun_13_2014	55.52	49.49	49.88	50.97	50.76	51.32	52.2(2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	60	8	-3	0.01	47%	-0.39	53.7	5.38%	0	1.1	54	INF
10	Jun_12_2014	55.74	49.11	49.75	50.85	50.61	50.61	50.85(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10	6	7	0.01	47%	-0.5	54.3	5.38%	0	0.7	65	INF

11	Jun_11_2014	56.02	48.84	49.92	50.7	50.5	50.19	50.7(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	7	-50	3	19	0.01	47%	-0.46	49.5	5.38%	0	0.7	63	INF
12	Jun_10_2014	56.28	48.59	50.03	49.95	50.17	50.62	50.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	80	11	22	0.01	47%	-0.11	36.7	5.42%	0	0.7	58	INF
13	Jun_9_2014	56.34	48.38	50.03	49.02	49.2	50.8	50.55(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	240	19	25	0.02	47%	-0.39	16.7	5.42%	0	0.8	60	INF
14	Jun_6_2014	56.56	48.18	50.15	48.6	48.11	49.72	51.6(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	200	21	30	0.01	44%	-0.35	1.8	5.48%	0	1.3	63	INF
15	Jun_5_2014	56.76	47.72	49.55	48.54	47.84	47.6	50.1(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-80	1	24	0.01	44%	-0.47	-17.7	5.46%	0	0.8	64	INF

16	Jun_4_2014	57.03	47.53	49.16	49.14	48.59	46.51	46.95(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-330	-31	22	0.01	41%	-0.49	-21.9	5.39%	0	-0.2	57	INF
17	Jun_3_2014	57.31	47.6	49.25	50.16	50.16	48.09	45.9(-5.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-21	-290	-40	36	0.02	41%	-0.42	-17.2	5.43%	0	-0.6	54	INF
18	Jun_2_2014	57.55	47.92	49.37	51.39	51.44	50.68	48.45(-5.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-100	-20	63	0.01	41%	-0.31	0.6	5.44%	0	0.2	58	INF
19	May_30_2014	57.73	48.14	49.17	51.81	51.96	52.23	51.3(-3.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	50	14	83	0.01	43%	-0.26	9.7	5.44%	0	1	63	INF
20	May_29_2014	57.88	48.23	48.5	50.61	50.97	52.2	53.1(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	38	190	25	78	0.01	43%	-0.16	-0.1	5.47%	0	1.4	78	INF

21	May_28_2014	57.97	48.16	47.69	49.17	49.23	51.69	52.05(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	39	350	32	60	0.02	43%	-0.24	-16.9	5.51%	0	1.1	61	INF
22	May_27_2014	58.11	48.1	47.03	48.24	47.94	49.74	52.05(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	240	42	46	0.02	43%	-0.43	-28.8	5.54%	0	1.2	56	INF
23	May_23_2014	58.36	47.9	46.39	47.13	46.79	46.76	50.55(11.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-30	13	6	0.03	54%	-0.36	-45.8	6.39%	0	0.8	46	INF
24	May_22_2014	58.57	47.82	45.96	46.23	46.34	46.14	45.3(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-20	-3	-22	0.02	49%	-0.24	-50.8	6.27%	0	-0.7	34	INF
25	May_21_2014	58.71	48.23	45.67	46.05	46.14	46.82	45.9(-3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	110	5	-43	0.01	49%		-43.4	6.32%	0	-0.6	34	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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