Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $76.6500 (3.23%) ($74.1000 - $79.5000) on Wed. Jan. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.84% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $76.6500(3.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 4.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(14%)    PEJ(12%)    XAR(12%)    XLY(12%)    SPY(11%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -2.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.42% (StdDev 4.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.29(9.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.59(11.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.48(17.06%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   113.8%
Market Cap   $15.684b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 15.65% (three month std-dev: 4.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.2%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.54%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -11.21%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.02%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2014	44.1	65.48	68.59	70.29	70.63	74.36	76.65(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	380	80	4	0.08	67%	0.87	76.9	4.84%	0	1.1	67	NAN
2	Jan_14_2014	43.72	63.89	68.66	67.29	67.46	70.29	74.25(8.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	300	60	5	0.09	68%	0.78	64.9	4.84%	0	0.9	69	NAN
3	Jan_13_2014	43.38	62.35	69.53	65.61	65.06	66.9	68.4(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	170	30	31	0.07	66%	0.63	58	4.78%	0	0.5	69	NAN
4	Jan_10_2014	43.11	60.95	70.47	65.07	64.61	64.63	66.15(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-20	8	67	0.03	67%	0.65	52.3	4.81%	0	0.4	70	NAN
5	Jan_9_2014	42.83	59.69	70.71	65.73	65.06	63.23	66(7.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-230	-31	98	0.02	67%	0.71	50	4.8%	0	0.5	71	NAN

6	Jan_8_2014	42.53	58.44	70.16	66.66	66.78	64.59	61.65(-6.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-220	-57	133	0.04	66%	0.54	49.9	4.75%	0	0.2	71	NAN
7	Jan_7_2014	42.3	57.46	69.74	70.2	68.55	66.9	65.85(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-240	-72	208	0.03	68%	0.71	55.9	4.66%	0	0.6	76	NAN
8	Jan_6_2014	42	56.26	68.51	74.1	72.74	68.96	65.7(-5.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	42	-420	-48	313	0.04	68%	0.7	65.1	4.67%	0	0.6	77	NAN
9	Jan_3_2014	41.71	55.09	67.02	76.65	75.9	70.2	69.45(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	43	-560	-77	404	0.04	71%	0.75	72.8	4.59%	0	1	83	NAN
10	Jan_2_2014	41.4	53.7	64.96	76.29	77.48	76.52	70.65(-10.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	97	-40	-29	474	0.13	69%	0.83	75.2	4.58%	0	1.1	82	NAN

11	Dec_31_2013	41.06	52.21	62.46	73.89	75.68	81.6	79.35(-7.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	223	620	110	560	0.08	74%	0.98	73.7	4.36%	0	1.9	90	NAN
12	Dec_30_2013	40.66	50.33	58.9	69	69.61	78.45	85.35(8.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	294	920	204	564	0.18	78%	1.12	71.2	4.23%	0	2.7	93	NAN
13	Dec_27_2013	40.21	47.99	54.43	62.19	62.67	69.77	78.45(15.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	275	820	208	475	0.21	76%	0.95	69.2	4.13%	0	3	91	NAN
14	Dec_26_2013	39.83	45.94	50.31	56.22	56.06	60.77	67.65(15.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	198	580	141	369	0.05	71%	0.58	69.6	3.72%	0	3	86	NAN
15	Dec_24_2013	39.6	44.43	47.39	52.14	52.49	55.57	58.65(6.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	172	430	127	305	0.04	63%	0.43	72.6	3.29%	0	2.7	81	NAN

16	Dec_23_2013	39.43	43.41	45.43	49.32	49.37	51.36	54.9(7.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	105	290	72	203	0.03	61%	0.36	72.3	3.48%	0	2.7	79	NAN
17	Dec_20_2013	39.29	42.56	43.95	47.16	47.35	49.41	51.3(5.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	89	320	70	145	0.04	58%	0.26	70.8	3.39%	0	2.6	63	NAN
18	Dec_19_2013	39.19	41.9	42.87	45.39	45.37	47.38	48.6(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	84	310	76	107	0.03	56%	0.18	65.5	3.33%	0	2.5	65	NAN
19	Dec_18_2013	39.12	41.36	42.15	43.41	43.45	45.3	47.25(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	67	300	68	63	0.03	56%	0.15	46.8	3.33%	0	2.5	67	NAN
20	Dec_17_2013	39.06	40.9	41.59	41.88	41.62	43.35	44.55(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	47	270	52	32	0.01	54%	0.08	29.9	3.25%	0	1.9	65	NAN

21	Dec_16_2013	39.03	40.57	41.25	40.92	40.45	41.61	44.1(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	35	170	42	13	0.01	54%	0.05	7.4	3.25%	0	1.9	64	NAN
22	Dec_13_2013	39.01	40.33	41.22	40.26	39.91	39.89	42.45(9.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-30	11	6	0.01	52%	0.03	-7.7	3.22%	0	1.3	62	NAN
23	Dec_12_2013	39	40.19	41.12	40.02	40.15	39.29	38.7(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-140	-29	-4	0.01	46%	-0.08	-11.8	3%	0	-0.9	53	NAN
24	Dec_11_2013	39.03	40.29	41.33	40.68	40.88	39.94	39.6(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-21	-150	-35	22	0.01	46%	-0.08	2.8	3%	0	-0.4	60	NAN
25	Dec_10_2013	39.06	40.32	41.34	41.22	41.7	41.01	39.75(-2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-80	-24	47	0.01	46%		16.3	3%	0	-0.4	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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