Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $85.3500 (8.8%) ($74.2500 - $86.2500) on Mon. Dec. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.23% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $85.3500(8.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 11% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 34% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(14%)    PEJ(12%)    XAR(12%)    XLY(12%)    SPY(11%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -2.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.115% (StdDev 4.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 13.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $69(23.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.9(44.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.33(69.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   158.6%
Market Cap   $17.464b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 25.63% (three month std-dev: 4.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 8.75%(20%) Average negative next day return: -5.17%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 23.24%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -19.86%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 29.78%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.8%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2013	40.66	50.33	58.9	69	69.61	78.45	85.35(8.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	294	920	204	564	0.18	78%	1.12	71.2	4.23%	0	2.7	93	NAN
2	Dec_27_2013	40.21	47.99	54.43	62.19	62.67	69.77	78.45(15.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	275	820	208	475	0.21	76%	0.95	69.2	4.13%	0	3	91	NAN
3	Dec_26_2013	39.83	45.94	50.31	56.22	56.06	60.77	67.65(15.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	198	580	141	369	0.05	71%	0.58	69.6	3.72%	0	3	86	NAN
4	Dec_24_2013	39.6	44.43	47.39	52.14	52.49	55.57	58.65(6.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	172	430	127	305	0.04	63%	0.43	72.6	3.29%	0	2.7	81	NAN
5	Dec_23_2013	39.43	43.41	45.43	49.32	49.37	51.36	54.9(7.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	105	290	72	203	0.03	61%	0.36	72.3	3.48%	0	2.7	79	NAN

6	Dec_20_2013	39.29	42.56	43.95	47.16	47.35	49.41	51.3(5.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	89	320	70	145	0.04	58%	0.26	70.8	3.39%	0	2.6	63	NAN
7	Dec_19_2013	39.19	41.9	42.87	45.39	45.37	47.38	48.6(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	84	310	76	107	0.03	56%	0.18	65.5	3.33%	0	2.5	65	NAN
8	Dec_18_2013	39.12	41.36	42.15	43.41	43.45	45.3	47.25(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	67	300	68	63	0.03	56%	0.15	46.8	3.33%	0	2.5	67	NAN
9	Dec_17_2013	39.06	40.9	41.59	41.88	41.62	43.35	44.55(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	47	270	52	32	0.01	54%	0.08	29.9	3.25%	0	1.9	65	NAN
10	Dec_16_2013	39.03	40.57	41.25	40.92	40.45	41.61	44.1(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	35	170	42	13	0.01	54%	0.05	7.4	3.25%	0	1.9	64	NAN

11	Dec_13_2013	39.01	40.33	41.22	40.26	39.91	39.89	42.45(9.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-30	11	6	0.01	52%	0.03	-7.7	3.22%	0	1.3	62	NAN
12	Dec_12_2013	39	40.19	41.12	40.02	40.15	39.29	38.7(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-140	-29	-4	0.01	46%	-0.08	-11.8	3%	0	-0.9	53	NAN
13	Dec_11_2013	39.03	40.29	41.33	40.68	40.88	39.94	39.6(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-21	-150	-35	22	0.01	46%	-0.08	2.8	3%	0	-0.4	60	NAN
14	Dec_10_2013	39.06	40.32	41.34	41.22	41.7	41.01	39.75(-2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-80	-24	47	0.01	46%	-0.05	16.3	3%	0	-0.4	59	NAN
15	Dec_9_2013	39.08	40.43	41.35	41.58	42.17	41.81	40.8(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-20	-24	65	0.01	46%	-0.05	36.9	3%	0	0.2	64	NAN

16	Dec_6_2013	39.1	40.45	41.18	42.3	42.5	42.39	41.25(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-0	-8	92	0.01	46%	-0.05	65.8	3%	0	0.5	57	NAN
17	Dec_5_2013	39.12	40.38	40.96	42.39	42.88	42.54	42(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-20	9	98	0.03	46%	-0.03	74.7	2.99%	0	1	57	NAN
18	Dec_4_2013	39.13	40.25	40.59	42.06	42.42	42.6	42.3(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	60	5	78	0.01	46%	-0.05	70.7	3.01%	0	1.3	56	NAN
19	Dec_3_2013	39.15	40.07	40.2	41.46	41.88	43.23	41.55(-6.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	260	32	65	0.02	49%	-0.05	59.2	3%	0	1	56	NAN
20	Dec_2_2013	39.17	39.85	39.85	41.04	40.98	42.24	44.4(6.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	55	210	58	46	0.03	53%	0	41.3	2.95%	0	2.8	55	NAN

21	Nov_29_2013	39.17	39.42	39.32	39.93	39.93	40.54	41.7(3.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	22	110	31	-5	0	47%	-0.2	12.3	2.87%	0	1.5	49	NAN
22	Nov_27_2013	39.25	39.22	39.12	39.36	39.36	39.71	40.35(2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	60	19	-27	0	42%	-0.1	-5.1	2.83%	0	0.8	52	NAN
23	Nov_26_2013	39.29	39.16	39.1	38.91	38.99	39.32	39.3(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	70	12	-37	0.01	42%	-0.1	-12.9	2.89%	0	0.1	51	NAN
24	Nov_25_2013	39.33	39.18	39.17	38.73	38.68	39	39.45(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	50	12	-38	0	42%	-0.1	-14.6	2.89%	0	0.2	54	NAN
25	Nov_22_2013	39.37	39.19	39.4	38.46	38.56	38.65	38.85(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	20	4	-25	0	49%		-16.9	2.98%	0	-0.2	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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