Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 17, 2013

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $44.5500 (1.02%) ($43.6500 - $45.3000) on Tue. Dec. 17, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.25% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $44.5500(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(14%)    PEJ(13%)    XAR(12%)    XLY(12%)    QQQ(11%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -1.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.625% (StdDev 3.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.88(6.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.59(7.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.9(8.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   35%
Market Cap   $9.116b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 4.82% (three month std-dev: 3.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.88%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.71%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.47%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 9.72%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.44%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2013	39.06	40.9	41.59	41.88	41.62	43.35	44.55(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	47	270	52	32	0.01	54%	0.08	29.9	3.25%	0	1.9	65	0
2	Dec_16_2013	39.03	40.57	41.25	40.92	40.45	41.61	44.1(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	35	170	42	13	0.01	54%	0.05	7.4	3.25%	0	1.9	64	0
3	Dec_13_2013	39.01	40.33	41.22	40.26	39.91	39.89	42.45(9.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-30	11	6	0.01	52%	0.03	-7.7	3.22%	0	1.3	62	0
4	Dec_12_2013	39	40.19	41.12	40.02	40.15	39.29	38.7(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-140	-29	-4	0.01	46%	-0.08	-11.8	3%	0	-0.9	53	0
5	Dec_11_2013	39.03	40.29	41.33	40.68	40.88	39.94	39.6(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-21	-150	-35	22	0.01	46%	-0.08	2.8	3%	0	-0.4	60	0

6	Dec_10_2013	39.06	40.32	41.34	41.22	41.7	41.01	39.75(-2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-80	-24	47	0.01	46%	-0.05	16.3	3%	0	-0.4	59	0
7	Dec_9_2013	39.08	40.43	41.35	41.58	42.17	41.81	40.8(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-20	-24	65	0.01	46%	-0.05	36.9	3%	0	0.2	64	0
8	Dec_6_2013	39.1	40.45	41.18	42.3	42.5	42.39	41.25(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-0	-8	92	0.01	46%	-0.05	65.8	3%	0	0.5	57	0
9	Dec_5_2013	39.12	40.38	40.96	42.39	42.88	42.54	42(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-20	9	98	0.03	46%	-0.03	74.7	2.99%	0	1	57	0
10	Dec_4_2013	39.13	40.25	40.59	42.06	42.42	42.6	42.3(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	60	5	78	0.01	46%	-0.05	70.7	3.01%	0	1.3	56	0

11	Dec_3_2013	39.15	40.07	40.2	41.46	41.88	43.23	41.55(-6.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	260	32	65	0.02	49%	-0.05	59.2	3%	0	1	56	0
12	Dec_2_2013	39.17	39.85	39.85	41.04	40.98	42.24	44.4(6.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	55	210	58	46	0.03	53%	0	41.3	2.95%	0	2.8	55	0
13	Nov_29_2013	39.17	39.42	39.32	39.93	39.93	40.54	41.7(3.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	22	110	31	-5	0	47%	-0.2	12.3	2.87%	0	1.5	49	0
14	Nov_27_2013	39.25	39.22	39.12	39.36	39.36	39.71	40.35(2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	60	19	-27	0	42%	-0.1	-5.1	2.83%	0	0.8	52	0
15	Nov_26_2013	39.29	39.16	39.1	38.91	38.99	39.32	39.3(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	70	12	-37	0.01	42%	-0.1	-12.9	2.89%	0	0.1	51	0

16	Nov_25_2013	39.33	39.18	39.17	38.73	38.68	39	39.45(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	50	12	-38	0	42%	-0.1	-14.6	2.89%	0	0.2	54	0
17	Nov_22_2013	39.37	39.19	39.4	38.46	38.56	38.65	38.85(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	20	4	-25	0	49%	-0.03	-16.9	2.98%	0	-0.2	61	0
18	Nov_21_2013	39.38	39.24	39.65	38.61	38.38	38.35	38.85(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-20	-9	-1	0	47%	-0.15	-7.1	3.06%	0	-0.3	66	0
19	Nov_20_2013	39.44	39.29	39.76	38.85	38.74	38.46	38.1(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-60	-12	14	0	51%	-0.15	7.4	3.1%	0	-0.9	54	0
20	Nov_19_2013	39.5	39.33	39.91	39.33	39.23	38.4	38.4(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-160	-18	24	0.01	48%	-0.13	25.1	3.23%	0	-0.7	48	0

21	Nov_18_2013	39.55	39.38	39.98	39.66	39.6	39.02	38.1(-3.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-20	-110	-34	22	0.01	48%	-0.15	33.8	3.3%	0	-0.9	45	0
22	Nov_15_2013	39.61	39.43	39.93	40.47	40.3	40.07	39.6(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-50	-12	42	0	50%	-0.1	54.5	3.27%	0	0.1	50	0
23	Nov_14_2013	39.65	39.34	39.6	40.83	40.83	40.18	40.05(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-110	-6	39	0	50%	-0.05	65	3.27%	0	0.5	51	0
24	Nov_13_2013	39.67	39.19	39.38	40.8	40.97	40.54	40.5(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-60	-10	28	0	50%	0.03	71	3.28%	0	0.8	52	0
25	Nov_12_2013	39.66	39	39.25	40.56	40.9	41.48	40.05(-4.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	120	9	32	0.01	50%		79.3	3.28%	0	0.7	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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