Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $45.6000 (5.92%) ($44.4000 - $48.0000) on Thu. Apr. 11, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.53% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $45.6000(5.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(15%)    PEJ(13%)    XLY(13%)    SPY(12%)    XAR(12%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -2.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.265% (StdDev 4.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.47(4.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.06(3.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.2(3.17%)
To recent high   -26.7%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $9.331b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 5.25% (three month std-dev: 4.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.8%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.63%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2013	46.06	44.2	44.06	43.47	43.8	44.76	45.6(5.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	18	180	28	-11	0.04	51%	0.17	-6.1	4.53%	0	0.6	68	0
2	Apr_10_2013	45.98	44.1	44.33	43.05	42.85	43.16	43.05(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	40	1	-8	0.02	48%	0.11	-11.7	4.59%	0	-0.5	58	0
3	Apr_9_2013	45.93	44.1	44.88	43.23	42.9	42.84	43.5(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-30	0	13	0.02	52%	0.13	-6.9	4.62%	0	-0.3	57	0
4	Apr_8_2013	45.87	44.21	45.03	43.35	43.14	42.54	42.45(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-110	-15	10	0.02	52%	0.17	-9.4	4.7%	0	-0.8	48	0
5	Apr_5_2013	45.79	44.29	45.02	44.04	43.72	42.96	42.75(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-14	-140	-21	8	0.01	56%	0.2	0.4	4.82%	0	-0.7	44	0

6	Apr_4_2013	45.7	44.34	44.8	44.73	44.72	43.74	43.5(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-17	-150	-24	3	0.01	56%	0.18	8.3	4.85%	0	-0.4	47	0
7	Apr_3_2013	45.62	44.37	44.62	45.81	45.77	44.48	43.95(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-17	-200	-27	13	0.01	56%	0.13	23.2	4.88%	0	-0.2	52	0
8	Apr_2_2013	45.56	44.36	44.43	46.8	46.73	45.69	44.1(-3.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-160	-18	24	0.02	56%	0.09	32.1	4.94%	0	-0.1	49	0
9	Apr_1_2013	45.52	44.43	44.45	46.92	47.17	47.06	45.9(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-0	5	38	0.02	56%	0.11	37.7	4.92%	0	0.7	56	0
10	Mar_28_2013	45.47	44.28	44.44	46.08	46.35	47.76	46.2(-5.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	230	22	33	0.02	62%	0.13	18.7	6.02%	0	0.9	56	0

11	Mar_27_2013	45.41	44.15	44.35	44.79	44.7	47.27	48.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.9	36	400	39	27	0.08	62%	0.24	-3.3	6.05%	0	2.2	62	0
12	Mar_26_2013	45.3	43.86	43.79	43.26	43.03	44.94	48.9(9.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	33	290	41	8	0.03	62%	0.24	-34.9	6.08%	0	2.6	60	0
13	Mar_25_2013	45.19	43.66	43.34	41.82	41.65	42.12	44.7(7.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	2	70	9	-20	0.02	59%	0.2	-83.4	5.97%	0	0.7	53	0
14	Mar_22_2013	45.1	43.59	43.19	41.73	41.74	41.11	41.7(4.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-100	-13	-35	0.01	54%	0.04	-98.7	5.96%	0	-1.1	40	0
15	Mar_21_2013	45.08	43.87	43.41	42.63	42.8	41.18	39.75(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-26	-250	-25	-27	0.01	54%	0.02	-99.8	5.98%	0	-2.3	44	0

16	Mar_20_2013	45.07	44.22	43.83	43.8	44.01	42.38	41.25(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-240	-26	-14	0.03	55%	-0.09	-101.6	5.97%	0	-1.8	44	0
17	Mar_19_2013	45.11	44.54	44.15	44.31	44.94	44.42	41.7(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-13	-40	-16	-2	0.04	55%	-0.07	-88.2	6%	0	-1.4	47	0
18	Mar_18_2013	45.14	44.99	44.38	45	45.14	45.64	44.25(-4.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	90	4	11	0.01	55%	0.07	-97.4	5.96%	0	-0.4	46	0
19	Mar_15_2013	45.11	45.37	44.49	44.82	44.85	45.47	46.2(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	100	14	17	0.02	55%	0.11	-72.4	5.9%	0	0.3	58	0
20	Mar_14_2013	45.06	45.7	44.15	44.34	44.22	44.64	45.6(4.11%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	6	60	8	-1	0.01	55%	0.07	-55.6	5.95%	0	-0	45	0

21	Mar_13_2013	45.03	45.96	43.97	43.92	43.98	44.23	43.8(-2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-0	40	4	-13	0.01	55%	0.18	-51.3	5.93%	0	-0.6	43	0
22	Mar_12_2013	44.95	46.38	43.95	43.98	43.78	43.8	45.15(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10	3	-21	0.01	55%	0.13	-42.1	5.91%	0	-0.3	44	0
23	Mar_11_2013	44.89	46.95	43.96	43.68	43.77	43.73	43.35(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-0	-5	-39	0.01	59%	0	-27	5.89%	0	-0.8	32	0
24	Mar_8_2013	44.89	47.28	43.99	44.1	44.03	43.76	43.8(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-50	-0	-50	0.01	59%	0	-23.1	6%	0	-0.8	30	0
25	Mar_7_2013	44.89	47.51	44.32	43.92	44.24	43.82	43.5(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-40	-4	-65	0.02	59%		-22.6	6.05%	0	-1	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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