Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $62.2500 (3.23%) ($58.2000 - $62.2500) on Mon. Jan. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.2% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $62.2500(3.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 18.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(15%)    PEJ(13%)    XLY(13%)    SPY(12%)    XAR(12%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -3.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.1% (StdDev 6.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.11(7.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.89(13.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.96(27.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   81.2%
Market Cap   $12.737b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 14.87% (three month std-dev: 6.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.09%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.93%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 9.63%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.29%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 7.66%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2013	45.77	48.96	54.89	58.11	58.08	59.59	62.25(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	70	180	29	192	0.04	64%	0.24	63.2	6.2%	0	1.8	69	NAN
2	Jan_11_2013	45.66	47.98	52.42	57.09	56.79	57.53	60.3(8.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	80	20	168	0.04	64%	0.18	68.1	6.2%	0	1.9	66	NAN
3	Jan_10_2013	45.58	47.1	50.38	55.59	56.12	56.57	55.65(-4.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	80	15	149	0.02	62%	-0.02	70.6	6.12%	0	1.4	66	NAN
4	Jan_9_2013	45.59	46.49	48.97	54.6	55.11	56.06	58.05(6.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	150	24	139	0.02	62%	0.09	71.9	6.11%	0	2.1	66	NAN
5	Jan_8_2013	45.55	45.55	47.3	52.59	53.5	55.67	54.3(-4.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	340	29	116	0.02	60%	-0.07	65	6.1%	0	1.8	65	NAN

6	Jan_7_2013	45.58	44.75	46.27	51.09	52.04	54.16	57.15(8.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	80	340	68	117	0.03	60%	0	55.4	6.06%	0	2.7	66	NAN
7	Jan_4_2013	45.58	43.87	44.99	47.01	48.75	51.34	52.8(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	52	480	49	61	0.02	58%	-0.15	35.2	6.02%	0	2.3	64	NAN
8	Jan_3_2013	45.65	43.24	43.97	44.37	45.23	49.92	50.7(5.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	53	780	60	31	0.04	58%	-0.22	20	6.01%	0	2.3	62	NAN
9	Jan_2_2013	45.75	42.76	43.27	42.51	42.41	46.16	48(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	53	610	67	11	0.06	58%	-0.67	11.7	5.99%	0	1.9	58	NAN
10	Dec_31_2012	46.06	42.56	42.75	41.28	40.35	40.54	46.8(27.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	9	-30	18	-17	0.07	58%	-0.28	12.6	6.02%	0	1.7	64	NAN

11	Dec_28_2012	46.19	42.31	42.44	40.86	40.47	38.66	36.75(-7.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-42	-340	-42	-40	0.08	47%	-0.47	16.6	4.9%	0	-2.4	50	NAN
12	Dec_27_2012	46.41	42.56	43.2	42.63	42.01	40.16	39.6(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-29	-350	-38	-3	0.03	50%	-0.45	53.2	4.86%	0	-1.5	51	NAN
13	Dec_26_2012	46.62	42.6	43.66	43.41	43.46	42.27	41.4(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-14	-190	-26	23	0.01	50%	-0.75	69.3	4.84%	0	-0.6	54	NAN
14	Dec_24_2012	46.97	42.44	43.96	44.04	44.06	43.86	41.85(-6.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-30	-11	46	0.01	50%	-0.28	63.2	4.87%	0	-0.2	52	NAN
15	Dec_21_2012	47.1	42.25	43.83	44.34	44.03	44.64	44.7(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	80	6	47	0.02	54%	-0.15	69	4.81%	0	1	50	NAN

16	Dec_20_2012	47.17	41.94	43.27	44.28	43.87	44.25	45.6(4.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	30	12	39	0.01	58%	-0.08	77.3	4.8%	0	1.5	58	NAN
17	Dec_19_2012	47.21	41.56	42.77	43.92	43.8	43.43	43.5(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-70	-0	28	0.01	56%	-0.32	80.6	4.9%	0	0.8	58	NAN
18	Dec_18_2012	47.36	41.3	42.52	43.98	43.65	43.48	44.55(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-50	-8	30	0.02	56%	-0.19	80.3	4.93%	0	1.3	64	NAN
19	Dec_17_2012	47.45	40.98	42.23	43.89	43.95	44.18	43.35(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	40	13	50	0.01	59%	-0.17	77.9	4.93%	0	1	66	NAN
20	Dec_14_2012	47.53	40.58	42.33	43.2	43.47	43.82	44.4(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	80	20	61	0.01	59%	-0.13	50.7	5.01%	0	1.4	70	NAN

21	Dec_13_2012	47.59	40.08	42.1	42.06	42.11	43.73	43.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	27	270	18	53	0	59%	-0.17	21	5.01%	0	1.3	65	NAN
22	Dec_12_2012	47.67	39.67	41.81	41.43	41.16	43.11	43.8(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	310	36	58	0.01	59%	-0.17	6.9	5.09%	0	1.4	65	NAN
23	Dec_11_2012	47.75	39.37	41.39	40.86	40.39	40.48	44.1(10.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-20	18	46	0.01	59%	-0.15	0.3	5.15%	0	1.7	66	NAN
24	Dec_10_2012	47.82	39.14	40.75	40.41	40.18	39.21	39.9(3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-14	-190	-26	21	0.01	54%	-0.25	-0.8	5.05%	0	0.3	57	NAN
25	Dec_7_2012	47.94	39.25	40.53	41.37	41.18	40.29	38.7(-4.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-170	-21	48	0.01	54%		20.2	5.03%	0	-0.2	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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