Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $152.1000 (6.96%) ($141.7500 - $153.1500) on Thu. Feb. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.56% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $152.1000(6.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS declines -6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    PEJ(16%)    QQQ(14%)    SPY(14%)    XLY(14%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -1.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    LQD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.78% (StdDev 3.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $134.17(-11.79%)
Resistance Level   $157.85
5 Day Moving Average   $143.31(6.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $148.23(2.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $157.85(-3.64%)
To recent high   -34.5%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $31.122b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 7.71% (three month std-dev: 3.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.72%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.75%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.27%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -31.62%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2012	207.87	157.85	148.23	143.31	141.84	143.16	152.1(6.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	32	30	69	-79	0.02	37%	-0.64	-66.4	3.56%	0	-0.5	32	NAN
2	Feb_1_2012	209.2	159.15	148.49	142.89	141.92	138.32	142.2(5.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-200	-55	-129	0.02	31%	-0.67	-59.1	4.2%	0	-1.3	19	NAN
3	Jan_31_2012	210.62	161.22	150.15	144.9	145.03	140.53	134.55(-3.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-111	-210	-98	-150	0.04	27%	-0.67	-47.7	4.15%	0	-2	5	NAN
4	Jan_30_2012	212.05	163.25	152.93	148.44	148.73	145.52	140.1(-5.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-93	-150	-79	-135	0.01	27%	-0.66	-42.4	4.14%	0	-1.9	6	NAN
5	Jan_27_2012	213.46	164.96	155.93	151.92	151.45	149.53	147.6(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-67	-100	-52	-112	0.01	37%	-0.66	-33.7	4.11%	0	-1.6	7	NAN

6	Jan_26_2012	214.87	166.36	158.25	153.75	153.8	151.93	150(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	-80	-28	-92	0.01	37%	-0.67	-24.4	4.42%	0	-1.6	8	NAN
7	Jan_25_2012	216.33	167.16	160.54	154.92	154.93	153.38	152.25(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-52	-70	-37	-95	0.01	35%	-0.64	-16.3	4.43%	0	-1.6	7	NAN
8	Jan_24_2012	217.73	167.8	162.58	156.27	156.07	155.66	152.25(-3.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-42	-20	-25	-93	0.01	35%	-0.31	-9.1	4.44%	0	-1.8	6	NAN
9	Jan_23_2012	218.41	168.47	164.66	158.13	157.61	156.49	157.5(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-60	-23	-85	0.01	35%	-0.6	-0.6	4.46%	0	-1.4	34	NAN
10	Jan_20_2012	219.72	168.66	166.38	160.65	160.03	156.48	156.75(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-63	-170	-55	-87	0.01	35%	-0.66	3.5	4.46%	0	-1.6	34	NAN

11	Jan_19_2012	221.17	168.84	168.23	163.56	163.29	158.73	155.85(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-86	-200	-85	-87	0.01	35%	-0.68	7.7	4.46%	0	-1.8	31	NAN
12	Jan_18_2012	222.68	168.69	170.66	167.04	166.46	163.58	159(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-72	-130	-76	-59	0.01	40%	-0.62	10.3	4.46%	0	-1.4	50	NAN
13	Jan_17_2012	224.06	168.59	173.18	169.8	169.51	167.85	161.55(-5.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-70	-33	-15	0.01	43%	-0.88	13.2	4.63%	0	-1	53	NAN
14	Jan_13_2012	226.06	168.53	174.49	172.02	171.3	169.35	170.1(-0.7%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-21	-90	-29	2	0.01	45%	-0.48	15.8	4.62%	0	0.2	61	NAN
15	Jan_12_2012	227.15	168.39	174.79	172.95	172.3	171.17	171.3(-1.13%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-21	-60	-32	14	0.01	43%	-0.52	22.1	4.64%	0	0.3	67	NAN

16	Jan_11_2012	228.33	168.28	175.17	173.67	173.56	173.25	173.25(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10	-8	40	0.01	43%	-0.51	27.2	4.65%	0	0.6	71	NAN
17	Jan_10_2012	229.5	167.98	174.33	174.96	174	173.44	172.8(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-40	-22	51	0.01	43%	-0.49	31	4.66%	0	0.5	77	NAN
18	Jan_9_2012	230.63	167.67	173.46	177.21	175.91	173.88	172.65(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-100	-18	71	0.01	43%	-0.53	40.4	4.66%	0	0.6	68	NAN
19	Jan_6_2012	231.86	167.16	172.65	177.3	177.6	174.57	174.75(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-110	-31	72	0.01	41%	-0.47	40.7	4.71%	0	0.9	64	NAN
20	Jan_5_2012	232.95	166.44	171.17	176.82	177.08	177.94	174.9(-2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	40	-26	68	0.01	41%	-0.52	35.5	4.71%	0	1	55	NAN

21	Jan_4_2012	234.17	165.86	169.53	176.76	176.72	180.64	179.7(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	150	73	101	0.01	41%	-0.54	40.7	4.71%	0	1.6	56	NAN
22	Jan_3_2012	235.43	165.26	166.55	173.52	173.87	176.23	184.05(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	76	100	76	75	0.04	39%	-0.84	40.9	4.71%	0	2.4	60	NAN
23	Dec_30_2011	237.43	164.18	163.49	169.26	169.41	172.8	173.1(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	140	33	31	0.01	36%	-0.56	40.8	4.76%	0	1.4	54	NAN
24	Dec_29_2011	238.77	163.69	161.96	167.34	167.1	171.51	172.35(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	72	180	83	40	0.03	36%	-0.56	43.4	4.76%	0	1.5	58	NAN
25	Dec_28_2011	240.11	163.44	161.29	164.67	164.21	166.01	174.6(6.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	54	70	63	25	0.02	35%		34.6	4.78%	0	2	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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