Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $369.3000 (-3.19%) ($367.2000 - $382.5000) on Tue. Jul. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.21% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $369.3000(-3.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(19%)    PEJ(17%)    QQQ(16%)    SPY(16%)    XLY(16%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -1.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    LQD(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.105% (StdDev 2.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

Resistance Level   $398.56
5 Day Moving Average   $367.29(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $376.16(-1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $398.56(-7.34%)
To recent high   -18.3%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $75.566b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 6.63% (three month std-dev: 2.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.46%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.76%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 6.61%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2011	419.6	398.56	376.16	367.29	369.69	375.93	369.3(-3.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	35	140	93	-140	0.01	49%	-0.25	-68.6	2.21%	0	-1.1	31	0
2	Jul_25_2011	420.65	402.11	379.63	366.93	365.71	374.24	381.45(2.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	189	150	279	-82	0.01	51%	-0.23	-69.2	2.17%	0	-0.8	35	0
3	Jul_22_2011	421.62	405.5	383.03	364.92	363.88	363.45	373.35(3.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	21	-20	85	-171	0.01	50%	-0.25	-65.3	2.16%	0	-1.1	32	0
4	Jul_21_2011	422.67	408.72	388.34	370.08	367.26	357.19	361.05(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-320	-210	-321	-315	0.01	47%	-0.22	-62.2	2.13%	0	-1.7	26	0
5	Jul_20_2011	423.62	412.81	394.69	375.66	377.2	364.31	351.3(-4.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-448	-230	-477	-362	0.02	45%	-0.26	-60.1	2.09%	0	-2.3	19	0

6	Jul_19_2011	424.71	417.57	402.41	386.22	386.9	377.33	367.5(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-426	-170	-459	-328	0.01	48%	-0.29	-57.6	2.03%	0	-2.2	18	0
7	Jul_18_2011	425.93	421.59	408.18	393.93	395.4	390.1	371.4(-6.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-267	-80	-276	-239	0.01	48%	-0.28	-52.7	2.02%	0	-2.5	18	0
8	Jul_15_2011	427.14	424.87	413.6	403.53	401.78	396.47	399.15(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-240	-110	-246	-221	0.01	55%	-0.17	-50.5	1.83%	0	-1.6	21	0
9	Jul_14_2011	427.86	426.8	415.94	409.62	408.71	400.71	388.95(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-289	-140	-307	-234	0.01	53%	-0.13	-42.2	1.8%	0	-2.5	27	0
10	Jul_13_2011	428.41	429.18	419.65	416.73	415.4	407.08	404.1(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-342	-150	-373	-247	0.01	57%	-0.11	-36.9	1.74%	0	-2.1	30	0

11	Jul_12_2011	428.88	430.94	423.09	421.11	420.28	416.72	406.05(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-247	-70	-266	-190	0.01	57%	-0.05	-32.5	1.74%	0	-2.4	30	0
12	Jul_11_2011	429.11	432.26	426.62	424.44	423.52	423.71	419.4(-2.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-12	-0	8	-71	0.01	62%	-0.08	-34	1.7%	0	-1.5	34	0
13	Jul_8_2011	429.47	433.08	429.71	425.04	422.78	423.84	429.6(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	16	0	36	-45	0.01	66%	-0.11	-36.8	1.68%	0	-0.4	50	0
14	Jul_7_2011	429.95	433.16	430.37	423.39	421.88	423.32	424.5(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	21	10	44	-50	0.01	66%	-0.09	-47.9	1.67%	0	-1.1	44	0
15	Jul_6_2011	430.32	433.63	431.94	423.18	422.12	421.73	426(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10	4	-61	0.01	66%	-0.12	-50.5	1.69%	0	-1	47	0

16	Jul_5_2011	430.84	434.36	433.53	425.67	423.69	420.43	422.7(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-143	-70	-154	-111	0.01	69%	-0.25	-44.2	1.69%	0	-1.5	42	0
17	Jul_1_2011	431.91	435.24	435.77	429.33	428.34	422.51	422.4(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-215	-100	-247	-120	0.01	64%	-0.08	-34.5	1.79%	0	-1.8	48	0
18	Jun_30_2011	432.24	436.15	436.92	435.21	434.78	426.96	421.35(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-242	-130	-285	-112	0.01	64%	-0.1	-15.5	1.82%	0	-2.2	45	0
19	Jun_29_2011	432.67	437.13	438.57	438.3	439.58	434.18	423.45(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-222	-80	-267	-88	0.01	64%	-0.1	2.9	1.82%	0	-2.3	48	0
20	Jun_28_2011	433.1	437.69	439.74	441.69	441.26	442.59	438.45(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-55	20	-75	4	0.01	58%	-0.11	33.3	1.8%	0	0.1	54	0

21	Jun_27_2011	433.59	437.87	439.64	442.41	441.64	444.98	441(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	116	50	127	82	0.02	58%	-0.14	56.1	2.06%	0	0.6	50	0
22	Jun_24_2011	434.2	437.76	438.54	443.16	441.2	439.93	451.8(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	67	-30	70	56	0.14	56%	-0.13	70.5	2.11%	0	2.6	57	0
23	Jun_23_2011	434.76	437.2	436.69	439.17	439.57	438.3	436.8(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-73	-20	-89	-25	0.01	52%	-0.16	84.2	2.07%	0	-0.1	48	0
24	Jun_22_2011	435.47	436.94	436.11	438.96	438.82	442.46	440.4(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	60	79	36	0.01	52%	-0.1	97.2	2.07%	0	0.7	50	0
25	Jun_21_2011	435.91	435.94	435.32	437.43	436.29	440.83	442.05(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	153	70	180	71	0.01	52%		72.5	2.07%	0	1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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