Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 17, 2011

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $413.2500 (3.96%) ($397.2000 - $419.7000) on Tue. May. 17, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.49% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $413.2500(3.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(19%)    PEJ(17%)    SPY(16%)    XLY(16%)    QQQ(15%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -1.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    LQD(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.245% (StdDev 2.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $398.01(3.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $389.84(6.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $393.74(4.96%)
To recent high   -15.7%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $84.559b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 2.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.56%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.44%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.49%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2011	439.77	393.74	389.84	398.01	398.78	404.98	413.25(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	154	110	179	80	0.02	50%	0.13	-2.3	2.49%	0	1.9	54	0
2	May_16_2011	439.22	392.82	387.67	390.15	392.39	400.69	397.5(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	231	170	278	90	0.01	47%	-0.1	-30.8	2.47%	0	0.5	48	0
3	May_13_2011	439.65	393	387.45	384.24	384.09	392.57	405.75(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	204	150	253	57	0.02	47%	0.1	-51.9	2.45%	0	1.3	51	0
4	May_12_2011	439.2	392.56	386.21	379.95	378.28	384.09	387.45(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	141	90	184	11	0.01	42%	0.06	-72.5	2.39%	0	-0.6	40	0
5	May_11_2011	438.94	393.21	387.1	379.71	377.81	375.62	386.1(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	23	-60	46	-48	0.01	48%	0.11	-82.9	2.4%	0	-0.8	38	0

6	May_10_2011	438.47	393.99	388.47	380.67	379.22	372.47	373.95(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-231	-140	-254	-162	0.01	45%	0.07	-88.4	2.48%	0	-2.2	29	0
7	May_9_2011	438.18	395.69	391.04	384.87	386.91	380.01	367.95(-4.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-184	-110	-203	-127	0.02	45%	0.09	-82.8	2.48%	0	-3.4	20	0
8	May_6_2011	437.78	397.98	394.56	390.78	392.77	385.97	384.3(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-186	-110	-210	-112	0.02	45%	0.12	-90.8	2.46%	0	-2.3	25	0
9	May_5_2011	437.26	399.33	396.12	393.21	396.53	393.81	386.25(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-133	-20	-150	-80	0.01	45%	0.15	-97.9	2.48%	0	-2.3	35	0
10	May_4_2011	436.59	400.98	397.61	395.46	398.94	399.56	390.9(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	40	4	-11	0.01	45%	0.14	-82.6	2.49%	0	-1.6	37	0

11	May_3_2011	436	402.27	398.35	397.47	398.8	399.24	394.95(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	6	20	10	-5	0.01	45%	0.11	-72.5	2.49%	0	-1.1	39	0
12	May_2_2011	435.51	402.67	398.65	398.25	399.38	398.33	397.5(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10	-0	-11	0	49%	0.08	-77.6	2.49%	0	-0.8	35	0
13	Apr_29_2011	435.15	403.56	399.14	399	399.23	398.36	396.45(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10	-48	-33	0.01	49%	0.1	-88	2.57%	0	-1	28	0
14	Apr_28_2011	434.7	405.06	399.44	399.51	399.82	400.43	397.5(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	10	10	-15	0	44%	0.11	-88.7	2.59%	0	-0.9	31	0
15	Apr_27_2011	434.23	406.37	399.75	400.08	399.42	400.11	400.95(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	10	17	-18	0.01	44%	0.1	-101.7	2.77%	0	-0.6	26	0

16	Apr_26_2011	433.78	407.33	399.79	399.36	399.45	399.21	398.85(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-0	13	-30	0.01	44%	0.14	-123	2.78%	0	-0.9	28	0
17	Apr_25_2011	433.18	407.87	400.55	399.09	399.08	398.74	401.25(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10	-11	-39	0.01	44%	0.45	-156.8	2.79%	0	-0.7	51	0
18	Apr_21_2011	431.22	409.85	401.51	399.36	398.51	399.69	399(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	10	3	-35	0.01	46%	0.18	-98	2.77%	0	-0.7	38	0
19	Apr_20_2011	430.45	412.88	402.65	399.39	398.71	399.41	400.35(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	27	10	45	-26	0.01	46%	0.22	-80.2	2.81%	0	-0.6	33	0
20	Apr_19_2011	429.52	416.13	404.46	399.42	397.99	397.32	397.35(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-20	-22	-56	0	46%	0.24	-67.2	2.82%	0	-0.8	34	0

21	Apr_18_2011	428.51	419.68	406.41	400.29	398.72	398.01	397.5(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-20	-30	-59	0	43%	0.23	-57.7	2.83%	0	-0.9	37	0
22	Apr_15_2011	427.54	423.43	407.02	402.18	400.12	398.66	402.6(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-40	-43	-62	0.02	43%	-0.06	-52	2.89%	0	-0.8	48	0
23	Apr_14_2011	427.8	426.58	408.33	404.07	402.63	399.43	399.15(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-83	-70	-82	-85	0.01	43%	0.23	-49.5	2.91%	0	-1	33	0
24	Apr_13_2011	426.83	429.57	411.14	406.44	406.64	401.57	400.5(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-110	-90	-111	-106	0.01	47%	0.24	-51	2.91%	0	-1.1	28	0
25	Apr_12_2011	425.8	432.07	413.58	410.31	409.65	405.83	401.7(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-140	-70	-144	-127	0.01	47%		-53.2	3.01%	0	-1.2	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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