Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $507.9000 (1.47%) ($500.5500 - $509.8500) on Thu. Jan. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.42% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $507.9000(1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(19%)    PEJ(17%)    QQQ(16%)    SPY(16%)    XLY(16%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -1.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    LQD(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.71% (StdDev 3.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $498.15(1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $485.65(4.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $455.52(11.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   98.5%
Market Cap   $103.926b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 7.9% (three month std-dev: 3.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.41%(43%) Average negative next day return: -3.19%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 6.83%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -3.69%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.08%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.21%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2011	330.38	455.52	485.65	498.15	498.02	501.58	507.9(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	137	50	126	168	0	77%	0.65	94.4	3.42%	0	1.5	83	0
2	Jan_26_2011	328.26	450.48	480.22	491.52	493.75	496.03	500.55(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	112	50	96	159	0.01	77%	0.63	102.7	3.42%	0	1.4	81	0
3	Jan_25_2011	326.19	443.71	475.13	484.59	486.36	494.46	493.8(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	141	130	130	175	0	77%	0.63	93.1	3.42%	0	1.3	81	0
4	Jan_24_2011	324.14	437.11	470.27	477.3	477.53	491.48	496.35(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	249	210	257	226	0.01	77%	0.66	87.4	3.42%	0	1.5	82	0
5	Jan_21_2011	322.02	430.4	462.77	474.33	470.64	478.26	492.15(3.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	225	90	227	220	0.01	77%	0.67	93.9	3.42%	0	1.6	84	0

6	Jan_20_2011	319.89	423.9	455.1	471.63	470.64	463.58	474.75(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	-100	13	139	0	76%	0.62	97.9	3.41%	0	1.3	82	0
7	Jan_19_2011	317.93	417.28	449.43	467.34	469.65	463.03	465.9(1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-108	-80	-166	65	0	76%	0.6	95.2	3.41%	0	1.3	73	0
8	Jan_18_2011	316.03	411.35	444.01	464.01	467.84	475.73	457.35(-5.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	65	140	33	161	0.01	76%	0.58	88.7	3.42%	0	1.1	82	0
9	Jan_14_2011	314.2	405.09	439.34	461.46	463.58	476.27	481.5(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	355	210	367	319	0.02	80%	0.71	77.1	3.33%	0	1.7	92	0
10	Jan_13_2011	312	397.6	431.06	449.1	451.81	459.96	478.65(5.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	259	140	257	265	0.01	78%	0.72	69.1	3.33%	0	1.9	90	0

11	Jan_12_2011	309.78	389.65	422.84	436.26	440.37	450.9	453.3(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	209	200	201	231	0.01	77%	0.63	59.2	3.32%	0	1.6	87	0
12	Jan_11_2011	307.84	383.55	418.13	428.97	431.34	443.66	449.25(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	299	220	303	288	0.01	78%	0.63	53.2	3.32%	0	1.7	89	0
13	Jan_10_2011	305.9	378.24	409.59	421.14	422.06	429.84	444.6(5.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	233	140	227	250	0.01	78%	0.63	52	3.33%	0	1.8	84	0
14	Jan_7_2011	303.97	373.83	401.11	414.06	416.03	419.03	419.7(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	137	60	113	208	0.01	76%	0.54	57.5	3.27%	0	1.4	85	0
15	Jan_6_2011	302.34	370.31	395.45	410.16	412.26	414.28	414.45(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	86	50	51	191	0	75%	0.53	62.6	3.27%	0	1.4	81	0

16	Jan_5_2011	300.74	366.97	390.34	407.16	409.26	413.04	416.85(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	101	80	64	213	0	75%	0.56	68.2	3.3%	0	1.7	84	0
17	Jan_4_2011	299.06	363.73	382.79	405.54	407.12	410.25	410.1(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	157	70	127	245	0	75%	0.55	82.1	3.31%	0	1.7	75	0
18	Jan_3_2011	297.43	360.11	376.39	395.97	402.67	405.49	409.2(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	170	100	150	230	0.01	75%	0.56	85.9	3.31%	0	1.9	68	0
19	Dec_31_2010	295.76	355.68	368.46	385.98	390.33	403.99	400.2(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	177	280	170	196	0.01	75%	0.54	84	3.33%	0	1.9	59	0
20	Dec_30_2010	294.18	351.59	361.73	378.27	379.71	399.84	399.45(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	421	380	466	285	0.04	76%	0.55	82.3	3.34%	0	2.1	62	0

21	Dec_29_2010	292.56	347.66	353.85	370.92	367.82	376.67	408.75(12.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	334	140	374	215	0.02	76%	0.63	87.2	3.32%	0	3	65	0
22	Dec_28_2010	290.74	342.5	345.83	357.15	357.49	359.57	362.25(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	40	50	36	0	73%	0.39	88.8	2.95%	0	1.2	51	0
23	Dec_27_2010	289.6	339.44	344.1	353.91	354.22	358.97	359.25(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	87	100	100	49	0	73%	0.39	78.3	2.98%	0	1.1	57	0
24	Dec_23_2010	288.48	336.67	344.09	347.97	351.34	355.41	361.65(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	153	110	177	82	0	73%	0.42	68	3%	0	1.3	64	0
25	Dec_22_2010	287.28	333.85	342.9	342.36	344.58	349.48	362.7(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	106	120	122	59	0.01	73%		67.7	3.02%	0	1.5	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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